Hi,
Ok, I've been working on my simulation program some more, and it's coming along nicely, thank you very much. Anyway, I've been toying with the idea that starts with the Church Passage Couple (CPC) being Eddowes and JtR. This is not a proven fact, so we're just considering one of multiple possibilities here. Also, I'm working on the idea that Eddowes, after being released from the police station, headed to St. Botolph's Church as this was an area known to be frequented by women engaging in prostitution, which the circumstances suggest she was doing (it was out of necessity that this was a very common practice for women in the area at the time). So that gives us a possible location for Eddowes and JtR to meet.
Now, PC Harvey passes the post office at 1:28. Based upon his estimated patrol speed, he had previously passed Church Passage at 1:23. He states he had seen nothing suspicious, and the police were to be on the look out for couples. I think it's safe to say, therefore, the CPC were not there at 1:23. They are there when Lawende and company leave the club. They get up to leave at 1:30 by Lawende's watch, but don't leave until 1:33-1:34 (Leve) or 1:35 (Lawende), and they see the CPC standing there. So, they must have arrived sometime after 1:23 and before 1:33 (possibly shortly after 1:30, if Lawende and co waited outside the club before leaving, but there's no shelter there so that seems counter productive).
Now, if the CPC get to Church Passage, given PC Harvey doesn't report seeing them, I was wondering if there is a time window when they might be able to move from St. Botolph's and get to Duke Street and up to Church Passage without PC Harvey noticing them. And, it looks like there is a good candidate, that makes a nice "just so" story that we all so love to hear.
Ok, at roughly 1:25:36, PC Harvey (Blue at the bottom) has just patrolled Church Passage and now has come out of Duke Street and has turned up towards Mitre Street. That puts his back towards St. Botolph's and let's consider the idea that Eddowes and JtR are there (Green; CPC). Things look like this:
It's possible that they see PC Harvey head away after coming out of Duke Street (by coincidence, they're not "scoping the area"). But, having agreed to a transaction, they slip in behind him. At an average walking pace, they would get to the entrance of Duke Street at 1:26:10, so in about 34 seconds. PC Harvey would still be heading towards Mitre Street, still with his back to them. So now things are like this:
From there, it's a short stroll to Church Passage, which they would reach at 1:27:02 (don't pay too much attention to the precision of these, I know I'm reporting to the second, but that's just how the simulation works. Obviously, people don't move at a constant speed, so there's going to be some wiggle room. However, notice that one could allow for quite large margins of error here and get effectively the same result).
So now, things look like this:
And now PC Harvey is on his return leg, away from Mitre Street and heading towards the Post Office. The CPC are still out of sight, and he's not seen them enter Duke Street. While we don't really know if this is when, or how they arrived at that location, we do know they are there at 1:33 (Leve) or 1:35 (Lawende), who give those times as to when they left the club.
But for now, PC Harvey is heading to the Post Office, where he'll check the time and it will be 1:28. We know that on his next round when he reaches Church Passage (1:41) the couple spotted by Lawende and company are no longer there. And we know the next time he's roughly in this spot, Eddowes will have been murdered, and PC Harvey will be responding to Morris's whistle.
No, I'm not claiming I know this happened. It's just one scenario that doesn't require anything magical to happen. In fact, it all looks a bit ordinary and mundane, and you know, life is generally pretty ordinary and mundane.
But, to be fair, I've not tried setting up other possibilities yet as I was mostly interested in seeing if the idea I've been mulling over about them meeting at St. Botolph's became difficult (i.e. no way for them to get there without being spotted). However, it's also possible that the CPC is Eddowes and JtR but they met north of Church Passage, and came down Duke Street following after PC Harvey, and that is easy to work as well (PC Watkins, while he pops out onto Duke Street briefly when he exits St James Place, isn't there for long, so he's easy enough to by pass). And of course, if the CPC isn't Eddowes and JtR, then none of this matters. However, the story I've just told does fit what we know, and seems to me to be reasonable, and so is probably worth taking the time to have a beer over and ponder.
- Jeff
Ok, I've been working on my simulation program some more, and it's coming along nicely, thank you very much. Anyway, I've been toying with the idea that starts with the Church Passage Couple (CPC) being Eddowes and JtR. This is not a proven fact, so we're just considering one of multiple possibilities here. Also, I'm working on the idea that Eddowes, after being released from the police station, headed to St. Botolph's Church as this was an area known to be frequented by women engaging in prostitution, which the circumstances suggest she was doing (it was out of necessity that this was a very common practice for women in the area at the time). So that gives us a possible location for Eddowes and JtR to meet.
Now, PC Harvey passes the post office at 1:28. Based upon his estimated patrol speed, he had previously passed Church Passage at 1:23. He states he had seen nothing suspicious, and the police were to be on the look out for couples. I think it's safe to say, therefore, the CPC were not there at 1:23. They are there when Lawende and company leave the club. They get up to leave at 1:30 by Lawende's watch, but don't leave until 1:33-1:34 (Leve) or 1:35 (Lawende), and they see the CPC standing there. So, they must have arrived sometime after 1:23 and before 1:33 (possibly shortly after 1:30, if Lawende and co waited outside the club before leaving, but there's no shelter there so that seems counter productive).
Now, if the CPC get to Church Passage, given PC Harvey doesn't report seeing them, I was wondering if there is a time window when they might be able to move from St. Botolph's and get to Duke Street and up to Church Passage without PC Harvey noticing them. And, it looks like there is a good candidate, that makes a nice "just so" story that we all so love to hear.
Ok, at roughly 1:25:36, PC Harvey (Blue at the bottom) has just patrolled Church Passage and now has come out of Duke Street and has turned up towards Mitre Street. That puts his back towards St. Botolph's and let's consider the idea that Eddowes and JtR are there (Green; CPC). Things look like this:
It's possible that they see PC Harvey head away after coming out of Duke Street (by coincidence, they're not "scoping the area"). But, having agreed to a transaction, they slip in behind him. At an average walking pace, they would get to the entrance of Duke Street at 1:26:10, so in about 34 seconds. PC Harvey would still be heading towards Mitre Street, still with his back to them. So now things are like this:
From there, it's a short stroll to Church Passage, which they would reach at 1:27:02 (don't pay too much attention to the precision of these, I know I'm reporting to the second, but that's just how the simulation works. Obviously, people don't move at a constant speed, so there's going to be some wiggle room. However, notice that one could allow for quite large margins of error here and get effectively the same result).
So now, things look like this:
And now PC Harvey is on his return leg, away from Mitre Street and heading towards the Post Office. The CPC are still out of sight, and he's not seen them enter Duke Street. While we don't really know if this is when, or how they arrived at that location, we do know they are there at 1:33 (Leve) or 1:35 (Lawende), who give those times as to when they left the club.
But for now, PC Harvey is heading to the Post Office, where he'll check the time and it will be 1:28. We know that on his next round when he reaches Church Passage (1:41) the couple spotted by Lawende and company are no longer there. And we know the next time he's roughly in this spot, Eddowes will have been murdered, and PC Harvey will be responding to Morris's whistle.
No, I'm not claiming I know this happened. It's just one scenario that doesn't require anything magical to happen. In fact, it all looks a bit ordinary and mundane, and you know, life is generally pretty ordinary and mundane.
But, to be fair, I've not tried setting up other possibilities yet as I was mostly interested in seeing if the idea I've been mulling over about them meeting at St. Botolph's became difficult (i.e. no way for them to get there without being spotted). However, it's also possible that the CPC is Eddowes and JtR but they met north of Church Passage, and came down Duke Street following after PC Harvey, and that is easy to work as well (PC Watkins, while he pops out onto Duke Street briefly when he exits St James Place, isn't there for long, so he's easy enough to by pass). And of course, if the CPC isn't Eddowes and JtR, then none of this matters. However, the story I've just told does fit what we know, and seems to me to be reasonable, and so is probably worth taking the time to have a beer over and ponder.
- Jeff
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