Originally posted by Herlock Sholmes
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You place a great deal of faith in times quoted by Eagle and Spooner. Eagle was basing his times on his leaving to walk his girlfriend home between "half-past eleven and a quarter to twelve o'clock". He specifically stated that he did not look at the clock in the club so his time was based on a starting time with a 15 minute margin of error and an estimate of time interval of about an hour. You place more reliance on this guess than the time given by Lamb, suggesting that he was 7 minutes out in an estimate of 7 minutes? As for Spooner, his starting time was a pub closure, as though that was an exact time for all patrons, and follows on with confusing and contradictory estimates after that. It is not reasonable that estimates of long periods of time, with shaky starting points, made in hindsight by people who had no reason to know the time, can be more reliable that short estimates made by police constables.
Blackwell's pocket watch was, as testified, eight minutes slow compared to his house clock (and probably the tobacconist clock). If this correction is applied his time of death matches more closely the time of death estimate of Phillips. You are taking as gospel the word of Diemshitz at the inquest that he looked at the tobacconist clock, even though he never mentioned that in any of the newspaper interviews. You are taking Diemshitz time over that of two police constables, a doctor's assistant, Detective Inspector Reid, Dr Phillips, Fanny Mortimer and four other witnesses.
I would suggest that the understandable human errors are those made by Eagle and Spooner, and Diemshitz time was a matter of "the truth can be adjusted". You are using as a starting point a locked in time of Diemshitz clock time of 1AM. I am using as a starting point the evidence of the police, Johnson and Dr Phillips. I note that you did not challenge my time calculations. I would like to keep our discussion on an amicable basis and would just ask you to put aside for a moment the Diemshitz times and look critically at the times that I have proposed.
Cheers, George
P.S. Just a comment on your question in your last post to Michael:If Eagle had found Lamb before 1.00 how do we explain the length of time that would have been taken by 436H to get to Johnson unless he’d taken a ridiculously circuitous route?
Eagle finds Lamb between Batty and Cristian Streets at two mintes to one. Lamb proceeds to the yard, assesses that there is a murder and sends 436H back to 100 Commercial Road to arrive there at 1:02. How is 4 minutes a long time for this process?
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