Hi Ben,
Your argument requires that there be some sort of connection between the BS man and Jack. In other words, it is implausible that Jack could show up just a few minutes after the BS man left the scene. But there is NO connection between them. What the BS man did or did not do has no impact on Jack. Let's say for the sake of argument that Jack arrived on the scene at 1:00 or pick any time for that matter. He would still arrive at that time even if the BS man had never been born.
c.d.
Your argument requires that there be some sort of connection between the BS man and Jack. In other words, it is implausible that Jack could show up just a few minutes after the BS man left the scene. But there is NO connection between them. What the BS man did or did not do has no impact on Jack. Let's say for the sake of argument that Jack arrived on the scene at 1:00 or pick any time for that matter. He would still arrive at that time even if the BS man had never been born.
c.d.

- would be to assess the evidence first and then see how it impacts on those two theories. I can't, for the life of me, understand how anyone can arrive at the assumption that the attacker wasn't the killer unless those preconceptions were firmly in place. For what it's worth, having assessed the evidence, I don't see how it renders either 1) or 2) any less likely to be correct.
Sink the Bismark
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