Does anything rule Bury out?

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  • Wyatt Earp
    replied
    Originally posted by Errata View Post
    You have stated the argument that a serial killer can change his MO and patterns if he truly wants to. An argument I have never disagreed with. What you have failed to present is a pressing reason why Jack the Ripper would change his MO in the case of Ellen Bury…

    You think it was him. I get it. We all get it…But you cannot ask for a discussion based on something that doesn't exist. Proof.
    Errata, you’re still not grasping how it is that Bury can be identified as the Ripper (I’ve reproduced the argument again, below). It’s not necessary for me to prove anything with Bury. It’s only necessary for me to demonstrate that he cannot be ruled out—and that has been accomplished.

    Originally posted by Wyatt Earp View Post
    William Bury’s signature as displayed in his murder of Ellen Bury is a close match with Jack the Ripper’s signature as described by Keppel et al.

    There are three possibilities:

    1. William Bury was a copycat killer.
    2. The close signature match was simply a coincidence.
    3. William Bury was Jack the Ripper.

    For the reasons described in my article, 1 and 2 can be ruled out, but 3 cannot.

    Ergo, William Bury was Jack the Ripper.

    Leave a comment:


  • Wyatt Earp
    replied
    Errata, perhaps if I used a specific example, it would help you to understand the mistake you’re making.

    There are posters here who feel there are reasons to believe the Ripper was Jewish. There are also posters here who feel there are reasons to believe the Ripper was not Jewish. Certainly it has not been definitely established that the Ripper was Jewish.

    I hope you can see, then, that it would be foolish, and perhaps arrogant, for any poster to declare, “William Bury can be ruled out because he wasn’t Jewish.”

    This is precisely the mistake, however, that you’ve been making in this thread—you’re confusing your personal opinions with things that are definitely established. You haven’t ruled Bury out, all you’ve done is express your personal opinions.

    You seem to believe that the Ripper would have fled the Princes Street crime scene, and you’ve provided some evidence to support your view (“he had always fled before”). I’ve explained why the Ripper might not have fled the Princes Street crime scene, and I’ve provided some evidence to support my view (Lt. Parr’s trial testimony that Bury feared being apprehended as the Ripper). Certainly it is not something definitely established that the Ripper would have fled the Princes Street crime scene.

    I hope you can see, then, that it is foolish, and perhaps arrogant, to declare, “William Bury can be ruled out because he didn’t flee the Princes Street crime scene.”

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  • gnote
    replied
    Originally posted by Errata View Post

    You think it was him. I get it. We all get it. In fact I even get that you think I'm insane to disagree with you. Loud and clear. But you cannot ask for a discussion based on something that doesn't exist. Proof.
    Agreed. Discussing/arguing with suspect "advocates" is as worthwhile as talking to evangelicals. It leads absolutely nowhere but the evangelical is happy to talk about it ad nauseam from the lofty position of "you can't 100% prove it wrong".

    Therefore it must be correct.

    I've already posted that i thought Bury was one of the better suspects but of course that's not near good enough. At this point Wheat and Earp can go participate in a "Does anything rule out Van Gogh" thread.

    Leave a comment:


  • Errata
    replied
    Originally posted by Wyatt Earp View Post
    Sorry, Errata, but you have not ruled Bury out. You might imagine that you have, but you haven't.

    You've expressed a variety of personal opinions; "I don't think the Ripper would have done this" and "I don't think the Ripper would have done that" and so forth. All of these opinions can be and often have been reasonably countered.

    In some cases, your opinions are misinformed, such as your earlier contention that the absence of a cut throat rules Bury out. In other cases, your opinions have included false information, such as your contention that Bury had been fired just before leaving London.

    You have presented no firm and objective basis for ruling out the possibility that William Bury was Jack the Ripper.
    Only because you are looking for empirical proof that could not possibly have survived 130 years. My own standards are less demanding. I'm perfectly fine with ruling someone out for being merely very unlikely. Opinions are all we have in this game. Proof doesn't exist anymore.

    I think a throat cut does rule Bury out. And I think the loss of his job dictating his decision to move. I was under the impression he was an agent for his supplier. And I got that position mixed up with his getting fired earlier in the year. Mea Culpa. I don't see why the error matters in the slightest since his boss or lack of one has absolutely nothing to do with anything, but whatever.

    You have stated the argument that a serial killer can change his MO and patterns if he truly wants to. An argument I have never disagreed with. What you have failed to present is a pressing reason why Jack the Ripper would change his MO in the case of Ellen Bury. I have also stated that an emotional connection to a victim produces more violence from the killer, not less. You ignored that. Yes a serial killer can reign it in. It doesn't happen often, but it happens. But every example to be found in all of Western history there is a very real reason they tone it down. They are interrupted, there is some kind of technical error, like a knife breaks, or he didn't bring the pliers or something. You give no reason. A reason might exist, but you clearly have no idea what it could be. You are arguing that this serial killer behaved in a way that less than 10% of serial killers do, and give no reason why the aberration occurs when there is always a reason.

    The fact that it has happened a few times is not a good enough reason to assume it did happen. Some serial killers have killed more than 30 people. Because that has happened are we honor bound to look for even more possible victims to ascribe to Jack? Women are serial killers. Do we need to absolutely rule out the idea that Ellen did this to herself as a sort of deathbed confessional? Or are you convinced that despite the fact that it might be true, Jack didn't kill 50 people, and did not go by the name of Ellen Bury?

    You think it was him. I get it. We all get it. In fact I even get that you think I'm insane to disagree with you. Loud and clear. But you cannot ask for a discussion based on something that doesn't exist. Proof.

    Leave a comment:


  • John Wheat
    replied
    Originally posted by Errata View Post
    Actually, I can rule him out and I have. For a lot of reasons. This is not a court of law, nor is this a scientific inquiry. I have said before that neither or a court nor a scientist can rule out the ghost of Ulysses S. Grant as Jack the Ripper. So if we are asked to rule someone out based on that standard, we can't rule out most people who were alive at the time. In which case my money is on Grant, who has the benefit of being all ghostly, able to walk through walls and disappear...

    But if we are being asked if we can rule him out for any reason that is remotely logical, of course we can rule him out...

    I think it was a horrible domestic murder perpetrated by a bully and abuser unable to consider anything other than his own comfort...

    I don't think he was Jack. I can make any number of arguments for that opinion. What rules him out in my mind was his reaction after the murder. I don't think anyone with a few bodies under their belt reacts so bizarrely. I don't think Jack was a genius, but I don't think he was that dumb.

    Feel free to disagree. I'm fine with that. But as far as I'm concerned, that rules Bury out. It's something of an Occam's Razor thing. Too many ifs are required to make him the Ripper.
    To Errata

    The comments about Ulysses Grant are ridiculous. I think you'll find many serial killer were bully's and abusers. Again you mention Bury as being dumb this is your opinion. I think you'll find Bury did run all the way to Dundee. At the end of the day absolutely nothing you or anyone else has mentioned on this thread remotely rules Bury out of being Jack the Ripper.

    Cheers John
    Last edited by John Wheat; 01-22-2015, 07:11 PM.

    Leave a comment:


  • John Wheat
    replied
    [QUOTE=Errata;328005 You have to be either incredibly stupid or incredibly arrogant to think that confessing to mutilating your wife who committed suicide is going to be believed. [/QUOTE]

    To Errata

    The key word there is arrogant. I suggest Bury was arrogant enough to think that confessing to mutilating your wife who committed suicide is going to be believed.

    Cheers John

    Leave a comment:


  • Wyatt Earp
    replied
    Originally posted by Errata View Post
    Actually, I can rule him out and I have. For a lot of reasons.
    Sorry, Errata, but you have not ruled Bury out. You might imagine that you have, but you haven't.

    You've expressed a variety of personal opinions; "I don't think the Ripper would have done this" and "I don't think the Ripper would have done that" and so forth. All of these opinions can be and often have been reasonably countered.

    In some cases, your opinions are misinformed, such as your earlier contention that the absence of a cut throat rules Bury out. In other cases, your opinions have included false information, such as your contention that Bury had been fired just before leaving London.

    You have presented no firm and objective basis for ruling out the possibility that William Bury was Jack the Ripper.

    Leave a comment:


  • GregBaron
    replied
    Get off your high horse mate...

    His cart in my mind would greatly help him:

    he lived in Bow-so for ease in getting back and forth.
    If questioned, he had a reason for being out-he was working.
    he could use the cart to conceal things, including himself.

    I would imagine he would park somewhere nearby, go to a pub, drink and start trolling for victims.

    It would serve him as kind of a mobile bolt hole-kind of like how modern serial killers use their cars. except I doubt he picked them up in it! But I guess he could have even done that!
    I essentially agree with you Abby but am again wondering about the specifics.

    Did he have knives, spare clothes, blood cleaning rags, a bucket of water, a fake mustache and hat etc. in his cart...

    Did he park near or far.....far would entail more walking with knife and blood...did he park on Dorset street for MJK, around the corner of Buck's row
    with Polly, halfway between Mitre Square and Berner Street for Stride/Eddowes...Did he troll down Ghoulston Street and drop the apron.......or did he do most of his work on foot with a specified getaway location a bit off the murder scenes....?

    The buggy adds another layer of possibilities and/or problems....Would a horse freak out at the smell of blood...?

    Do cops give a free pass to a dude passing in a cart ?

    As far as I know there is no mention of any carts by anyone in any of the murder investigations....

    How commonplace were such transports?

    Just curious what y'all think about the likelihood of Jtr being a horse-and-buggy man a la Bury...




    Greg

    Leave a comment:


  • Abby Normal
    replied
    Originally posted by Errata View Post
    Actually, I can rule him out and I have. For a lot of reasons. This is not a court of law, nor is this a scientific inquiry. I have said before that neither or a court nor a scientist can rule out the ghost of Ulysses S. Grant as Jack the Ripper. So if we are asked to rule someone out based on that standard, we can't rule out most people who were alive at the time. In which case my money is on Grant, who has the benefit of being all ghostly, able to walk through walls and disappear.

    But if we are being asked if we can rule him out for any reason that is remotely logical, of course we can rule him out.

    The only concrete similarity between the murder of Ellen Bury and any of the C5 is abdominal mutilation. And it's not even the same kind of mutilation.

    That being the case, every other part of that murder, confession, anything at all touching the case is up for debate. I don't think the murder was similar enough to look like Jack the Ripper, I don't Bury behaved like a serial killer, much less Jack the Ripper. I think it was a horrible domestic murder perpetrated by a bully and abuser unable to consider anything other than his own comfort.

    I don't think he was Jack. I can make any number of arguments for that opinion. What rules him out in my mind was his reaction after the murder. I don't think anyone with a few bodies under their belt reacts so bizarrely. I don't think Jack was a genius, but I don't think he was that dumb.

    Feel free to disagree. I'm fine with that. But as far as I'm concerned, that rules Bury out. It's something of an Occam's Razor thing. Too many ifs are required to make him the Ripper.
    Fair enough Errata.
    And I actually agree with a lot of what you say, I just don't think its enough
    to rule him out.

    Leave a comment:


  • Harry D
    replied
    It comes back to what I said before, though: We can't presume what Jack was or wasn't capable of without knowing who he was. Obviously, we can only avail ourselves of the evidence from the murders themselves, but beyond that we don't know what the murderer's state of mind was like after his last victim. This is all based on the fact that the Ripper never got caught, therefore he must've been a master criminal. I still think that he was one lucky boy, attacking and mutilating women on public streets patrolled by the police, or in confined spaces like someone's backyard or a hovel. And all within a localized area, as well. That shows an incredible element of risk or stupidity, but those are narrow margins depending on if the murderer is caught or not.

    Leave a comment:


  • Errata
    replied
    Originally posted by Abby Normal View Post
    Hi Errata

    ***

    Sorry, but you cant rule bury out (the whole topic of this thread)on the facts surrounding his murder of his wife just because its different. Yes, it appears un ripper like. yes their are differences.
    Different circumstances, different mental state etc. Ive said it before-serial killers (and their victims for that matter, humans for that matter) are not robots.


    The mere fact that Bury is even a suspect at all is because he MURDERED his wife, in similar enough fashion, and police at that time believed he should be checked out-like any good cop would do.

    So the main reason that you and others are arguing what rules bury out is actually what ruled him in.
    Actually, I can rule him out and I have. For a lot of reasons. This is not a court of law, nor is this a scientific inquiry. I have said before that neither or a court nor a scientist can rule out the ghost of Ulysses S. Grant as Jack the Ripper. So if we are asked to rule someone out based on that standard, we can't rule out most people who were alive at the time. In which case my money is on Grant, who has the benefit of being all ghostly, able to walk through walls and disappear.

    But if we are being asked if we can rule him out for any reason that is remotely logical, of course we can rule him out.

    The only concrete similarity between the murder of Ellen Bury and any of the C5 is abdominal mutilation. And it's not even the same kind of mutilation.

    That being the case, every other part of that murder, confession, anything at all touching the case is up for debate. I don't think the murder was similar enough to look like Jack the Ripper, I don't Bury behaved like a serial killer, much less Jack the Ripper. I think it was a horrible domestic murder perpetrated by a bully and abuser unable to consider anything other than his own comfort.

    I don't think he was Jack. I can make any number of arguments for that opinion. What rules him out in my mind was his reaction after the murder. I don't think anyone with a few bodies under their belt reacts so bizarrely. I don't think Jack was a genius, but I don't think he was that dumb.

    Feel free to disagree. I'm fine with that. But as far as I'm concerned, that rules Bury out. It's something of an Occam's Razor thing. Too many ifs are required to make him the Ripper.

    Leave a comment:


  • Errata
    replied
    Originally posted by John Wheat View Post
    To Errata

    I suggest Bury didn't run because he was afraid there would be a manhunt for him as the Ripper. I'm sure I've mentioned this before but maybe Bury tried to move the box himself and wasn't able to, a dead weight isn't light. Maybe Bury's plan was to dump the body along with the box and when this failed he was left with few options.

    Cheers John
    But even evading a manhunt is better than hanging. It really was ridiculously easy to disappear. Especially if you have up to a week's head start. In truth it's still easy to disappear. But even that's not the point. You have to be either incredibly stupid or incredibly arrogant to think that confessing to mutilating your wife who committed suicide is going to be believed. But that level of stupid or arrogant does not invest the amount of effort into escaping the way Jack did. It was kind of his thing.

    Bury screwed up. And that happens. Jack the Ripper was a runner, to the detriment of his mutilations. He rushed, he hurried, and he made damn sure he was not on the scene when people found the body. If Bury was Jack, he should have run. That should have been his primary instinct. But Bury didn't even try. That's very strange, and the only thing that explains it is that running didn't occur to him. But it occurred to Jack all the time. If Bury were Jack, running would have been right up there in terms of how to handle what happened. Lord knows Jack had practice.

    Yeah living on the run sucks. But he had time. It was February. Turn all of the heating off and he could have had months before the smell of the corpse alerted anybody. Bu then he could have been established as George Smith in Abilene Texas. Sure they would look for Bury, but how would they find him? What on earth prevented him from running? A manhunt he could have put off for a long time? His reputation? Didn't want to tarnish the family name? He was hanged. Don't most things have to be better than that?

    Leave a comment:


  • Abby Normal
    replied
    Originally posted by GregBaron View Post
    Hi all,

    Long time...



    Bundy always murdered strangers as do most serials....he never confessed until trying to save his own arse and then only to a select few...

    What I'd like to see from you Buryites is a logistical analysis. I'm interested in his horse and buggy and where he may have parked it for the various crimes and what he had within it and how he drove off without notice or interrogation by anyone (assuming) etc.

    This won't get us anywhere but could make for some very intriguing speculation....


    Greg
    Hi Greg
    His cart in my mind would greatly help him:

    he lived in Bow-so for ease in getting back and forth.
    If questioned, he had a reason for being out-he was working.
    he could use the cart to conceal things, including himself.

    I would imagine he would park somewhere nearby, go to a pub, drink and start trolling for victims.

    It would serve him as kind of a mobile bolt hole-kind of like how modern serial killers use their cars. except I doubt he picked them up in it! But I guess he could have even done that!

    Leave a comment:


  • Abby Normal
    replied
    Originally posted by Errata View Post
    It's worth pointing out that while Kemper was apparently "done" killing, he called the cops from the border and turned himself in because he was afraid of getting shot during arrest if he didn't turn himself in. He was friends with some of the cops, he had involved himself in the investigations, and he knew they would be super pissed off to find out he was the killer. He considered it a preemptive strike.

    Bundy devolved. And that is a specific thing. It's about killing in progressively shorter intervals with more brutality and less care. It happens when the killer either starts to feel trapped by impending capture or has realized that the killing will never solve the problem they are trying to solve. Bundy's devolution was mostly due to having been caught. There was also a small part that was because he wasn't satisfied by it anymore. It's why the Florida killings bore little resemblance to the previous ones, and it's why he targeted a 13 year old girl. Either way, devolving is about realizing that the end is nigh. Not necessarily in sight, but inevitable. A single sloppy kill with no attempt to escape either suspicion or punishment is not at all the same thing.

    Ellen Bury's murder was not devolving. It was simply different. Yes there were similarities, but it was different. It was sloppy. There is no psychological reason for that, no pattern of behavior. It just happens. And it happens to serial killers. They get sloppy. What they don't do is completely lose the ability to make a run for it, but they get sloppy. They have bad days. They even turn themselves in. But this would be the first time I'm aware of where a serial killer turned himself in, not for murder, but for the dubious "crime" of mutilating and boxing up an already dead body. Didn't get caught over the body and gave that excuse, but turned himself in for it. That's new. No wonder the first cop passed him up the chain with "You gotta hear this!". He was probably crying from laughing so hard at the lameness of this excuse. This is the behavior that does not lend itself to successful serial killing. Even living on the run gave him a better chance than the "she was already dead at the time" excuse. But he didn't run. He didn't even try.
    Hi Errata

    It's worth pointing out that while Kemper was apparently "done" killing, he called the cops from the border and turned himself in because he was afraid of getting shot during arrest if he didn't turn himself in.
    In kempers own words he said the main reason he turned himself in because he felt it was getting out of control and he was burned out.

    He considered it a preemptive strike.
    How do you know that bury didn't consider this a "pre-emptive strike"? Sure sounds like one to me, however lame it was.

    It's about killing in progressively shorter intervals with more brutality and less care. It happens when the killer either starts to feel trapped by impending capture or has realized that the killing will never solve the problem they are trying to solve
    Sounds like Bury to me!

    A single sloppy kill with no attempt to escape either suspicion or punishment is not at all the same thing.
    But Bury did try to attempt to escape suspicion and punishment! He lied to the police and said she killed herself.


    But this would be the first time I'm aware of where a serial killer turned himself in, not for murder, but for the dubious "crime" of mutilating and boxing up an already dead body.
    Well, that's pretty specific.

    Didn't get caught over the body and gave that excuse, but turned himself in for it.
    Bury did not turn himself in!!!!

    Sorry, but you cant rule bury out (the whole topic of this thread)on the facts surrounding his murder of his wife just because its different. Yes, it appears un ripper like. yes their are differences.
    Different circumstances, different mental state etc. Ive said it before-serial killers (and their victims for that matter, humans for that matter) are not robots.


    The mere fact that Bury is even a suspect at all is because he MURDERED his wife, in similar enough fashion, and police at that time believed he should be checked out-like any good cop would do.

    So the main reason that you and others are arguing what rules bury out is actually what ruled him in.

    Leave a comment:


  • Abby Normal
    replied
    Originally posted by gnote View Post
    Kemper's actions still look like a man in control. After murdering his mother he coldly lured over yet another victim. Then when interrogated he admitted to the other murders. If Bury did in fact break down mentally i suggest he would have done the same.

    Bundy and the sorority house was escalation but against strangers and he fled the scene. When captured he likewise confessed.

    Conversely Bury sounded terrified of being put up as the ripper. Sociopaths (which almost surely Jack was) typically don't exhibit those signs of fear.

    I don't personally find Bury's behavior congruous with these two. That said he was a different person and we can't expect to find a perfect logical consistency with people's actions, let alone in comparing serial killers.

    Even though my opinion is he was not Jack the Ripper i still find him one of the better suspects and I wouldn't be shocked to find out he was.

    If we are to get back to the thread title alone, then the answer would be no, nothing rules Bury out. What rules out any suspect though? Short answer seems to be providing documentation the individual was in another country or in prison. Outside that there is no other way.
    Hi Gnote
    good post. I don't necessarily agree (except for your paragraphs 4 and 6) but I see your points.

    Leave a comment:

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