I don't think you can extrapolate too much from Victorian crime statistics, really.
Many weren't collected in any sort of comprehensive way at all, they were often lodged and collated in a way that would be unacceptable today.
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Probibility of Martha Tabram Being a JtR Victim
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That same year, 2012, city of London had 14 sharp instrument related offences [not murders, just crimes].
Sharp instrument offences include broken bottle and "glassing" offences, it makes 11 in 1888 seem less rare.
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G'day again Dave
Also I'm not sure that 11 in the year, in a fairly small area, really rates as rare.
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You may be right GUT, but every time I hear how rare this sort of crime was, something inside of me sort of twitches...but, thereagain, perhaps I'm simply over-suspicious...
All the best
Dave
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Originally posted by Cogidubnus View PostSo come along folks, we have "evidence" that knife murders are relatively rare in London at this time...this being based on officially-derived statistics... which are often quoted as proving that knife murderers were a rare breed in 19th century London.
But we also now have a separate knife killer for Tabram, a separate one for however many of the canonical five, a separate one for McKenzie, a separate one for Coles, and now a separate one for Wolf Vanderlinden's discovery (Wolf or Wohlen)...not to mention all the torso killings ...and this doesn't include that inconvenient third killing the night of the double event...and...how many more are going to come to light?
I have to ask...just how many rare types of killer were there floating around in a small area of London between 1888 and say 1892...something, somewhere, stinks, and I suspect it may be the official statistics...
Cheers
Dave
G'day Dave
But even if we accept that there were only 11 knife killings in '88, that doesn't exclude 11 killers. The same stats show, from memory, 6 in '87 and '89 [for the same area] and each of those were committed be individual killers
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So come along folks, we have "evidence" that knife murders are relatively rare in London at this time...this being based on officially-derived statistics... which are often quoted as proving that knife murderers were a rare breed in 19th century London.
But we also now have a separate knife killer for Tabram, a separate one for however many of the canonical five, a separate one for McKenzie, a separate one for Coles, and now a separate one for Wolf Vanderlinden's discovery (Wolf or Wohlen)...not to mention all the torso killings ...and this doesn't include that inconvenient third killing the night of the double event...and...how many more are going to come to light?
I have to ask...just how many rare types of killer were there floating around in a small area of London between 1888 and say 1892...something, somewhere, stinks, and I suspect it may be the official statistics...
Cheers
Dave
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Originally posted by SirJohnFalstaff View PostCould it be possible that JtR learned something from Tabram's murder?
One theory is that Tabram's murder happened by accident and in a fit of anger and rage. It is likely that the homicidal rage had been building with Jack for sometime, and he might have frequented the east end fantasizing about what he would do if he were alone with a prostitute.
IF this was a Ripper victim I agree that I would have been in total impulse, and after it was committed he found that he had a thirst for it, and perfected his "fantasy" (in other words what he really wanted to do) the other murders were planned and thought out, he took his time, and was careful not be caught by police, and left no evidence behind that wasn't intended. Of course this all culminates with the killing of Mary Kelly. All the murders seem to "advance" becoming more and more brutal (as if Tabram's murder was not brutal enough).
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I agree wholeheartedly with elleryqueen74. Very well put!
I couldn't have penned it down better myself. I have always found it troubelsome to accept such an extreme and rather different evolution in MO during only three weeks, from Tabram to Nichols. To me, it is quite suggestive, that two different killers were involved - the psychology of the killers are different, and so was the handywork. In my view - and I'll always stick to it - Tabram's murder was a frenzied attack out of control. The Nichols murder was controlled and the body parts that were attacked was targeted much more selective.
To me this didnt indicate the same killer at all.
And as elleryqueen points out, there is a general tendency to accuse Jack the Ripper of every possible prostitute killing made in the area during the same time period. Considering the social status of the area, and the large number of prostitutes, it is actually more surprising that MORE gruesome killings DIDN'T happen than they actually did.
But I am sure of, if he'd had the chance he had probably killed Diddles as well.
All the best
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Originally posted by elleryqueen74 View PostI don't think the evolution of the mo could be quite so extreme in the very next murder, if we are to accept that Nichols was his next victim. You may expect some evolution but to that extreme so soon? I don't know.
All of the other "evidence" you bring up suggesting that JtR could be responsible for Tabram could also suggest JtR was responsible for quite a lot of murders before and after the C5 dating back year and years after, I really don't think JtR was guilty of every murder of a prostitute that happened at night in silence with a knife in the east end of London in and around that time, the evidence for mine is just too broad.
There was strangulation, and the back of her head was bruised. (tried to knock her out, silence her?)
and also, from the inquest:
Dr. T. R. Killeen: "His opinion was that one of the wounds was inflicted by some kind of dagger, and that all of them were caused during life."
So, you have a man who maybe decided that next time it would be a better idea to kill them first before mutilating them.
Would that be something possible?
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I havent yet acquired your book Tom, so Im going by the descriptions of the contents that have been made here, but If I understand it correctly you suggest that there were at least 2 serial killers working in Whitechapel at the same time?
If so,...thats a huge start towards getting some real understanding about these crimes. If we can find evidence of multiple killers....which I personally believe is there within the Canonical Group itself, let alone in the cumulative unsolved file,.....then we come closer to seeing the true landscape of that environment. There were many men capable of very nasty deeds around at that time.....if we can accept that scenario....maybe we can look at the Canonicals afresh.
I know we disagree on many points here and there, but I am impressed by the fact that you didnt write a "heres my Jack story and my reasoning" book.
Cheers
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Caz and others, such as Rob House and Wolf Vanderlinden, have not had much trouble seeing a natural evolution from Tabram to Nichols. I, on the other hand, always have. Looking strictly at the medical evidence I just could not convince myself that they were killed by the same man or men. However, all the discoveries I made OUTSIDE the medical evidence have led me to conclude that there's three possibilities:
1) The same man/men killed Tabram and Nichols.
2) One of the men who killed Tabram (assuming there was two) killed Nichols. This would be he man who had the dagger-like blade.
3) The person who killed Nichols was completely separate from the person who killed Tabram but operating under the same agency. So, the murders were connected but not by the same person.
In short, I do believe there's a connection. And I do believe that Horsnell, Smith, and Tabram were a series committed by the same man/men.
Yours truly,
Tom Wescott
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Originally posted by Barnaby View PostAs Tom's book details, there is a psychopath operating in a tiny area killing women by raping them with a sharp object. And then the canonical 5 occur in the exact same tiny area to the exact same type of women. To me, it is incredulous to believe there is no connection.
We can, if we try, create rational arguments to explain every difference.
Is that what you think?
There is nothing about the Tabram murder that speaks of 'Jack' beyond the use of a knife, or knives. And seeing as (so we are told) most men in the East End carried some sort of knife, then even the same weapon is of little to no significance.
All the circumstantial evidence points to soldiers being responsible, the fact they appear to have banded together to cover for each other is only to be expected.
We really wouldn't expect the culprit to own up would we?
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Originally posted by elleryqueen74 View PostI don't think the evolution of the mo could be quite so extreme in the very next murder, if we are to accept that Nichols was his next victim. You may expect some evolution but to that extreme so soon? I don't know.
Mike
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Originally posted by caz View PostHi Barnaby,
I agree.
I don't quite understand the argument that the killer of Tabram could not have evolved, in such a short space of time, into the man who killed Nichols, when the alternative is usually that Nichols was his first victim. How he was meant to go from nothing to Nichols if he couldn't go from, say, Smith and Tabram to Nichols, is never really addressed.
Love,
Caz
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Yours truly,
Tom Wescott
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