Was he lying?

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  • FrankO
    replied
    Originally posted by GBinOz View Post
    While not refuting the content of your post, I'd like to add some comments of my own.

    I find it very odd that in an area that Paul nominated as being dangerous, Lechmere chose to approach a man that was, reportedly, trying to evade him, and touch him on the shoulder before offering a word of explanation. Was Lechmere trying to see if Paul would run? Why would Paul allow a stranger in a dark dangerous location to approach so close rather than running away? Didn't Lechmere run the risk of Paul thinking he was about to be attacked and robbed and reacting with a right cross to Lechmere's chin? What assessment might the police have made had Neil found, not only a woman's dead body, but also a unconscious man lying a few yards from her body?
    Hi George,

    I wouldn't call it very odd, but I admit that it seems a bit odd. The odd thing being that Lechmere didn't speak before he Paul had reached him, but maybe he just didn't want to speak before, because he didn't want to scare him (any more than necessary) or scare him off altogether. Of course, if he was guilty, then it might have been because he was trying to see how Paul would react to him, to get an idea if Paul had seen or heard something suspicious. On the other hand, indeed, he might have run the risk of Paul thinking he was about to be attacked & robbed and receiving one or a couple of unexpected blows on the chin.

    After Lechmere and Paul's encounter with Mizen, Lechmere chose to accompany Paul along Hanbury St rather than take the slightly shorter (?) route along Old Montague St. We cannot know what, if anything, was said on that journey, but Lechmere did gain the opportunity to find out a little more about what Paul may have seen, or heard, and possibly Paul's impressions of what had happened.[/QUOTE]
    We don't know if Lechmere chose to accompany Paul. It would all depend on whether Lechmere was guilty or not. So, yes, a guilty Lechmere might have chosen to accompany Paul to find out more, but, at the same time, an innocent Lechmere may very well not have chosen to accompany Paul, and Hanbury Street was just part of his normal route.

    All the best,
    Frank

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  • Herlock Sholmes
    replied
    Originally posted by Newbie View Post

    That doesn't fit the data Herlock, unless Paul was running down the street.
    Lech, leaving around 3:30 am (it doesn't really matter his starting time),
    walking from Doveton to Broad street, would need to go 3.6 mph (1.8 miles in 30 minutes),
    to get to work at 4 am.

    Paul, 70 yards away at some point on Buck's row, would need to go into a full sprint, to gain 30 yards.
    Lech would have gone down Buck's row some 60 - 70 yards with Paul trailing him.

    Are you sure you want him running down the street?

    If both are traveling at a constant rate, its a simple zeroth order simultaneous equations with very specific boundary values.
    I placed the equation in my long thread ..... go crunch the numbers.
    There are three aspects of these events that you aren’t considering. First, how good was Cross’ hearing. And second, that we have only a truncated version of events. Neither Cross nor Paul broke events down into exact timings. And third, the fallibility of human memory. We see this all through the case. So.. if Cross was 70 yards in front of Paul…

    Cross slows down a little before stopping as he sees the shape across the road. He tries to make out what it was from his position. So that’s 10 seconds - Paul is now 60 yards away.

    Cross moves to the middle of the road and peers through the darkness and thinks ‘that might not be a tarpaulin after all…it could be a body.” He’s wary of approaching what could be a figure so he hesitates whilst still looking to see if it really is a body or is his imagination just turning a random shape into a body? Another 15 or 20 seconds has passed - Paul is now 40-45 yards away.

    Cross hears the footsteps and waits for the man to arrive.

    We don’t need equations. We need the application of common sense and the acceptance of the circumstances and the realisation of human behaviour.

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  • Geddy2112
    replied
    Originally posted by Newbie View Post

    No Geddy,

    but I did mention that killing someone and then taking a walk around the block theory as being so remote that it could be ruled out.

    Maybe Paul killed Polly Nichols, and then went back to his flat to take a piss, and then headed out to go to work?
    It's actually not that barmy as you suggest if you 'd actually read the thread. Words like 'exactly 3:45' in Paul's story because he knew the time Neil would be in Bucks Row to give him an alibi. Believe me it's not as far fetched as the Lechmere theory and no I'm not suggesting Paul is JTR although he has links to two murder sites does he not.

    Originally posted by Newbie View Post
    He did say that he was running late .... killing someone to start out the morning will do that to a guy.
    So you agree Lechmere is not a strong candidate then? See this is another Christerism, in his book he states 'on a morning he was running late' that is not actually true. He was not running late when he left the house he was only 'behind time' after the finding of the body and talking to Mizen etc.

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  • Herlock Sholmes
    replied
    Originally posted by Newbie View Post
    So, I got no nibbles?

    I'll truncate what I just wrote; I'll probably just start a new thread and place it at the lead.


    truncated version:

    1. Lechmere walked up Buck's row with Paul trailing him by some 40 - 60 yards behind, over a time of 40 - 45 seconds.

    2. It was dim along Buck's row and a dangerous neighborhood: any one walking it at that time should have been on their guard:
    which would mean in particular, anticipating new sounds.

    3. PC Neil, while occupied with investigating the body by feel & sight, immediately heard the footsteps of PC Thain from 130 yards away.
    PC Thain had not even entered Buck's row, but sounds travelled exceptionally well down that narrow stone street aligned with stone buildings, with no gaps.

    4. Lechmere, on his guard walking up the dark street, should have noticed that new sounds were isuing behind him:
    - modern theories on sensory perception dictate that novel sounds are prioritized in the auditory system
    - repetitive sounds are de-emphasized / ignored by somatic nerves and the auditory cortex.

    5. Lechmere says that he never heard Paul's footsteps until he was crossing to the middle of the street, towards Polly Nichols body.
    - Lech's defenders, who employ the antiquated footsteps drown out the other footsteps theory,
    would need to explain why Lech finally heard these footsteps at this point: he was not only still walking,
    but his brain was occupied visually with analyzing the recumbent body of Polly Nichols .... downgrading auditory cortical impulses.

    6. Paul never mentions seeing or hearing Lechmere, until nearby the body of Polly Nichols

    7. Lechmere, after marking Paul from around 40 yards away, immediately discontinues his movement to the body: a body only a few steps away. Most here at this point, one would imagine, would make a quick check to ascertain the woman's condition before addressing the stranger.

    Finding a woman collapsed on the edge of a street being an urgent situatin ..... life was cheap back then?

    8. However, if Lechmere had actually come from the body, he would need to make some excuse for not only just encountering the body,
    but standing in the street and waiting for Paul .... hence, the just happened to hear footsteps in the middle of the street testimony.

    Sherlock earlier made big hand waving gestures about his belief that something highly improbable negates any argument: for instance, the improbabliity of Lechmere encountering and murdering Polly Nichols, so close to his time of work.

    CAL's own description of events fits perfectly what one would expect from one coming from the body,
    but fits very poorly the notion that he was just in front of Paull all that time.


    So, does highly improbable apply the other way? Or, will the argument shift to he's innocent after all, so what ever improbable series of events happened from point A to point B, had to happen.
    Firstly, it’s Herlock not Sherlock.

    Secondly, Cross walked that route 6 days a week so there is no suggestion that he should have been on any kind of heightened awareness. You are adding a criteria to make your theory fit better.

    Thirdly, despite the fact that I quoted from the inquest testimony you persist in stating that Cross was moving when he heard Paul approach. Why are you doing this if not to, again, shape events to fit your theory. I’ll post the quote again:

    ”He walked into the middle of the road, and saw that it was the figure of a woman. He then heard the footsteps of a man going up Buck's-row, about forty yards away,”

    He walked to the middle of the road…..then (ie when he got to the middle of the road)….he heard Paul.

    Fourthly, what PC Neil heard compared to what Cross heard can only be entirely relevant if you assume that all people have the same level of hearing. Or that Paul’s footsteps made the same level of noise that Thain’s boots did.

    And finally, that’s the second time that you’ve used the phrase ‘hand waving gestures.’ I’ve made no gestures. I’ve pointed out what those that support the clearly innocent Cross deliberately ignore….the evidence. We are seeing increasingly bizarre and pointless efforts to try and shoehorn this man into place as the killer when the evidence is so obviously against it. A ten minute read through of the evidence should be enough for anyone to see that the case against Cross is a fabrication. Nothing is suspicious about him. The only thing that’s suspicious are the levels that people go to to manufacture a case.



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  • GBinOz
    replied
    Originally posted by FrankO View Post

    As has been said (also by you & me both), there's no way a guilty Lechmere could have known that Paul wouldn't see OR hear him when he would have decided to stay put, just as there's no way he could have known how Paul would react after the night in question. Lechmere stated that Paul was 30 to 40 yards behind him, but he couldn't know what Paul would later say about it. It was simply out of his control. So, Paul could have easily stated that he didn't hear or see him ahead or he could even have suggested that Lechmere wasn't walking some distance in front of him at all. And if he himself wouldn't state this of his own volition, some policeman, reporter or the coroner could have made something of why the carmen didn't mention hearing and/or seeing one another on their way down Buck's Row. Lechmere could absolutely not have foreseen/known this and would have had absolutely no control over any of this either.

    Cheers,
    Frank
    Hi Frank,

    While not refuting the content of your post, I'd like to add some comments of my own.

    I find it very odd that in an area that Paul nominated as being dangerous, Lechmere chose to approach a man that was, reportedly, trying to evade him, and touch him on the shoulder before offering a word of explanation. Was Lechmere trying to see if Paul would run? Why would Paul allow a stranger in a dark dangerous location to approach so close rather than running away? Didn't Lechmere run the risk of Paul thinking he was about to be attacked and robbed and reacting with a right cross to Lechmere's chin? What assessment might the police have made had Neil found, not only a woman's dead body, but also a unconscious man lying a few yards from her body?

    After Lechmere and Paul's encounter with Mizen, Lechmere chose to accompany Paul along Hanbury St rather than take the slightly shorter (?) route along Old Montague St. We cannot know what, if anything, was said on that journey, but Lechmere did gain the opportunity to find out a little more about what Paul may have seen, or heard, and possibly Paul's impressions of what had happened.

    Best regards, George

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  • Newbie
    replied
    Originally posted by Herlock Sholmes View Post

    We have to remember that Cross was working from memory and that memory isn’t always totally accurate especially under unusual/stressful circumstances. So the gap between the two might easily have been 70 yards or more by the time that Cross stopped. So when Cross was walking to work he’d have also had his own footsteps which would obviously have been louder than Paul’s. Also there’s the matter of attention. We don’t always pay attention to background sounds. Cross was trudging to work..as he did every say…thinking of who knows what? Why would distant footsteps have drawn his attention? Maybe he had heard Paul’s footsteps earlier? He was never asked if he had or not.

    It’s impossible to build a theory around unknowns. How loud were Paul’s footstep’s? How good was Cross’s hearing? How fast was Paul walking? PC Neil might have had exceptional hearing and Cross’s might have been not so good. We don’t know. But if it’s suggested that there was a larger gap of distance between Paul and Cross then that makes his innocence all the more certain - because he’d have had even more time to flee the scene.

    In a quiet, echoing street Robert Paul simply couldn’t have caught Charles Cross in the act. He couldn’t have sneaked up on him and put him in a position where he felt that he couldn’t have fled the scene safely. Therefore the fact that Cross was still in situ and stood waiting for Paul to arrive proves that he was an entirely innocent man and that the ‘case’ against him has been manufactured by a group motivated by self-interest and ego.
    That doesn't fit the data Herlock, unless Paul was running down the street.
    Lech, leaving around 3:30 am (it doesn't really matter his starting time),
    walking from Doveton to Broad street, would need to go 3.6 mph (1.8 miles in 30 minutes),
    to get to work at 4 am.

    Paul, 70 yards away at some point on Buck's row, would need to go into a full sprint, to gain 30 yards.
    Lech would have gone down Buck's row some 60 - 70 yards with Paul trailing him.

    Are you sure you want him running down the street?

    If both are traveling at a constant rate, its a simple zeroth order simultaneous equations with very specific boundary values.
    I placed the equation in my long thread ..... go crunch the numbers.
    Last edited by Newbie; 06-15-2024, 11:51 PM.

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  • Newbie
    replied
    So, I got no nibbles?

    I'll truncate what I just wrote; I'll probably just start a new thread and place it at the lead.


    truncated version:

    1. Lechmere walked up Buck's row with Paul trailing him by some 40 - 60 yards behind, over a time of 40 - 45 seconds.

    2. It was dim along Buck's row and a dangerous neighborhood: any one walking it at that time should have been on their guard:
    which would mean in particular, anticipating new sounds.

    3. PC Neil, while occupied with investigating the body by feel & sight, immediately heard the footsteps of PC Thain from 130 yards away.
    PC Thain had not even entered Buck's row, but sounds travelled exceptionally well down that narrow stone street aligned with stone buildings, with no gaps.

    4. Lechmere, on his guard walking up the dark street, should have noticed that new sounds were isuing behind him:
    - modern theories on sensory perception dictate that novel sounds are prioritized in the auditory system
    - repetitive sounds are de-emphasized / ignored by somatic nerves and the auditory cortex.

    5. Lechmere says that he never heard Paul's footsteps until he was crossing to the middle of the street, towards Polly Nichols body.
    - Lech's defenders, who employ the antiquated footsteps drown out the other footsteps theory,
    would need to explain why Lech finally heard these footsteps at this point: he was not only still walking,
    but his brain was occupied visually with analyzing the recumbent body of Polly Nichols .... downgrading auditory cortical impulses.

    6. Paul never mentions seeing or hearing Lechmere, until nearby the body of Polly Nichols

    7. Lechmere, after marking Paul from around 40 yards away, immediately discontinues his movement to the body: a body only a few steps away. Most here at this point, one would imagine, would make a quick check to ascertain the woman's condition before addressing the stranger.

    Finding a woman collapsed on the edge of a street being an urgent situatin ..... life was cheap back then?

    8. However, if Lechmere had actually come from the body, he would need to make some excuse for not only just encountering the body,
    but standing in the street and waiting for Paul .... hence, the just happened to hear footsteps in the middle of the street testimony.

    Sherlock earlier made big hand waving gestures about his belief that something highly improbable negates any argument: for instance, the improbabliity of Lechmere encountering and murdering Polly Nichols, so close to his time of work.

    CAL's own description of events fits perfectly what one would expect from one coming from the body,
    but fits very poorly the notion that he was just in front of Paull all that time.


    So, does highly improbable apply the other way? Or, will the argument shift to he's innocent after all, so what ever improbable series of events happened from point A to point B, had to happen.
    Last edited by Newbie; 06-15-2024, 11:30 PM.

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  • Newbie
    replied
    Originally posted by Geddy2112 View Post

    For goodness sake Newbie, that does not get him off the hook at all. Did you read the thread I linked to? To summarise what if Paul had killed Polly then doubled back around Winthrop Street back into Bucks Row, then he would have been BEHIND Cross.
    No Geddy,

    but I did mention that killing someone and then taking a walk around the block theory as being so remote that it could be ruled out.

    Maybe Paul killed Polly Nichols, and then went back to his flat to take a piss, and then headed out to go to work?

    He did say that he was running late .... killing someone to start out the morning will do that to a guy.

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  • Fiver
    replied
    Originally posted by Geddy2112 View Post

    However the Missing Evidence fakeumentary had a Pickfords 'expert' on who claimed they delivered all the time to butchers around the area. Mmmm the evidence still seems to be missing.

    Narrator - A tantalising FACT could explain that mystery (being covered in blood.) Historian Arthur Ingram is an expert on Pickfords. His (Arthur's) research has uncovered his job was to deliver meat to butchers around East London.
    That's another lie in the "documentary", we have no period work records for Charles Cross. Ingram's expertise is after Pickfords switched to motorized vehicles.
    Last edited by Fiver; 06-15-2024, 05:57 PM.

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  • Geddy2112
    replied
    Originally posted by Sunny Delight View Post

    An extremely important point. I was actually unaware of that and had assumed that Lechmere would have been handling a meat cart with all that entailed.
    However the Missing Evidence fakeumentary had a Pickfords 'expert' on who claimed they delivered all the time to butchers around the area. Mmmm the evidence still seems to be missing.

    Narrator - A tantalising FACT could explain that mystery (being covered in blood.) Historian Arthur Ingram is an expert on Pickfords. His (Arthur's) research has uncovered his job was to deliver meat to butchers around East London.

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  • Herlock Sholmes
    replied
    Originally posted by FrankO View Post
    Quite so, Mike. For an innocent Lechmere it wouldn't have been much of a risk stating that Paul was 30 to 40 yards behind him as he did, because he had the truth at his side. For a guilty Lechmere it would have been a different matter.


    As you know, I'm less outspoken than you, but what I wrote before is yet another point against a guilty Lechmere, as far as I'm concerned. One that I hadn't thought of before.

    Cheers,
    Frank
    You’re less easily irritated than I am Frank…which is a good thing. It just the unjustifiable level of confidence that irritates me. It shouldn’t do…but it does.

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  • FrankO
    replied
    Originally posted by Herlock Sholmes View Post

    Hello Frank,

    And this is the vital point that Cross supporters deliberately ignore. Cross couldn’t have known what Paul saw or didn’t see; hear or didn’t hear (an example is that if Cross heard Paul, and Paul saw him standing in the middle of the road, how could he have known that Paul hadn’t heard his footsteps as he moved from the body to the position that he saw him?) Cross also had absolutely no control over, or way of predicting, Paul’s actions or any suggested actions that he might have made and he certainly couldn’t have expected to have been able to have manipulated a situation where he could speak to a Constable out of Paul’s earshot so that he could lie his way past him.
    Quite so, Mike. For an innocent Lechmere it wouldn't have been much of a risk stating that Paul was 30 to 40 yards behind him as he did, because he had the truth at his side. For a guilty Lechmere it would have been a different matter.

    As far as I’m concerned Frank, Cross has been comprehensively debunked as a suspect. The Ed and Christer Show will go on though with their adoring acolytes. Maybe their eyes will be opened one day?
    As you know, I'm less outspoken than you, but what I wrote before is yet another point against a guilty Lechmere, as far as I'm concerned. One that I hadn't thought of before.

    Cheers,
    Frank

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  • Herlock Sholmes
    replied
    Originally posted by FrankO View Post
    Hi Mike,

    As you suggest, nobody can claim that what Lechmere is quoted to have stated would preclude that there, in reality, might well have been a few seconds between Lechmere hearing footsteps for the first time, then turning his eyes towards the sounds and then actually seeing Paul. Or that, in reality, Paul may have been a bit further from Lechmere than he estimated. Because, after all, the lighting circumstances weren't great. Also, it's perfectly possible that Lechmere, upon first seeing something on the opposite side of the street, slowed down and then arriving in the middle of the street, stopping altogether, thus giving Paul some seconds to come closer. And, of course, there's no reason to think that Paul couldn't have walked faster than Lechmere did. If he, in reality, did, then he might well have started some 70-80 yards behind Lechmere.

    As has been said (also by you & me both), there's no way a guilty Lechmere could have known that Paul wouldn't see OR hear him when he would have decided to stay put, just as there's no way he could have known how Paul would react after the night in question. Lechmere stated that Paul was 30 to 40 yards behind him, but he couldn't know what Paul would later say about it. It was simply out of his control. So, Paul could have easily stated that he didn't hear or see him ahead or he could even have suggested that Lechmere wasn't walking some distance in front of him at all. And if he himself wouldn't state this of his own volition, some policeman, reporter or the coroner could have made something of why the carmen didn't mention hearing and/or seeing one another on their way down Buck's Row. Lechmere could absolutely not have foreseen/known this and would have had absolutely no control over any of this either.

    Cheers,
    Frank
    Hello Frank,

    And this is the vital point that Cross supporters deliberately ignore. Cross couldn’t have known what Paul saw or didn’t see; hear or didn’t hear (an example is that if Cross heard Paul, and Paul saw him standing in the middle of the road, how could he have known that Paul hadn’t heard his footsteps as he moved from the body to the position that he saw him?) Cross also had absolutely no control over, or way of predicting, Paul’s actions or any suggested actions that he might have made and he certainly couldn’t have expected to have been able to have manipulated a situation where he could speak to a Constable out of Paul’s earshot so that he could lie his way past him.

    These obvious hurdles are why they have to go along ridiculous tangents making comedic ‘links’ in an attempt to bolster this clearly innocent man. There is nothing in favour of him being a suspect. He was at the scene alone for a time - so was every other person in crime history that discovered a body. The victim was ‘freshly killed’ - for which we can also use the phrase ‘recently killed.’ We agree - she was killed not long before Cross arrived. There was an innocuous disagreement in what was said to Mizen - totally inconsequential unless a completely unbelievable ‘scam’ is imagined. And he used the name Cross instead of Lechmere - nothing remotely suspicious about that unless it can be shown that he did so to avoid police scrutiny, which he transparently couldn’t have.

    There is no case to answer for Cross. Scobie felt that there was only because he was fed incorrect information. Likewise most ‘supporters’ - they’ve accepted the manipulations without question and turned the blindest of blind eyes to the quite deliberate leaving out of the word ‘about’ from book and documentary which, combined with the total invention of a 3.45 discovery time, led to the creation of the illusion of a gap.

    As far as I’m concerned Frank, Cross has been comprehensively debunked as a suspect. The Ed and Christer Show will go on though with their adoring acolytes. Maybe their eyes will be opened one day?

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  • FrankO
    replied
    Originally posted by Herlock Sholmes View Post
    This is just a summing up and it’s difficult to judge distance just by sound alone. So wouldn’t it be more likely that he heard Paul and then saw him when he was around 40 yards away? So he could have heard him, waited a few seconds until he saw the guy appear out of the dark around 40 yards away. Add this to the time it took Cross to stop, walk to the centre of the road, peer through the dark to make out what the shape was, perhaps hesitate for 5 seconds or so before he heard Paul’s footsteps and we have fair distance between them as they walked to work. And who knows how good Cross’s hearing was?
    Hi Mike,

    As you suggest, nobody can claim that what Lechmere is quoted to have stated would preclude that there, in reality, might well have been a few seconds between Lechmere hearing footsteps for the first time, then turning his eyes towards the sounds and then actually seeing Paul. Or that, in reality, Paul may have been a bit further from Lechmere than he estimated. Because, after all, the lighting circumstances weren't great. Also, it's perfectly possible that Lechmere, upon first seeing something on the opposite side of the street, slowed down and then arriving in the middle of the street, stopping altogether, thus giving Paul some seconds to come closer. And, of course, there's no reason to think that Paul couldn't have walked faster than Lechmere did. If he, in reality, did, then he might well have started some 70-80 yards behind Lechmere.

    As has been said (also by you & me both), there's no way a guilty Lechmere could have known that Paul wouldn't see OR hear him when he would have decided to stay put, just as there's no way he could have known how Paul would react after the night in question. Lechmere stated that Paul was 30 to 40 yards behind him, but he couldn't know what Paul would later say about it. It was simply out of his control. So, Paul could have easily stated that he didn't hear or see him ahead or he could even have suggested that Lechmere wasn't walking some distance in front of him at all. And if he himself wouldn't state this of his own volition, some policeman, reporter or the coroner could have made something of why the carmen didn't mention hearing and/or seeing one another on their way down Buck's Row. Lechmere could absolutely not have foreseen/known this and would have had absolutely no control over any of this either.

    Cheers,
    Frank

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  • Sunny Delight
    replied
    Originally posted by Fiver View Post

    The meat cart is a Lechmerian invention. Pickfords was a general goods service.
    An extremely important point. I was actually unaware of that and had assumed that Lechmere would have been handling a meat cart with all that entailed. Charles Lechmere is the poster boy for a suspect where the evidence is made to fit rather than the evidence leading us to the suspect. Of all the suspects I actually have Lechmere as one of the worst. Almost every bit of evidence that is used to try and almost 'frame' the man can be easily explained and ultimately dismissed.

    I do commend those who tried to look at the case with a fresh idea but the tv programme and all the rest I found unpleasant. This was a real person with real family and friends. He was someone who it appears lived a full and decent life living to the age of 71. Just because he is now only a picture or a name to many does not mean he should be treated with such disrespect.

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