Rating The Suspects.

[Herlock Sholmes]

And again…when the MM appeared Abberline had been retired for two years. He’d heard of the suspect but how would he have known about Macnaghten’s private info? All that Abberline was doing was commenting on limited information.

[FISHY1118]

Yes, it’s clear. That’s not the point, rather, the idea that Abberline was somehow well informed about Druitt is proven to be questionable.
“I know all about that story” - he clearly does not.

Yes but the fact remains the body of Montague J''Druitt'' that which was pulled from the Thames is what Abberline the man who was in charge of the entire investigation was clearly saying when he gave his interview. ''But there is absolutely nothing beyond the fact that he was found at that time to incriminate him. ”

[JeffHamm]

Thanks Jeff,

No list or poll is going to give us the likeliest ripper of course but I just wanted to be able to get a view of what type of person might be the likeliest and then comparing the criteria against the named suspects. No major surprises I don’t think. Although of the top 20 the one that I wouldn’t have expected to have made it is Barnado.

I agree, and I wouldn't suggest this produces a list that could be viewed as a "probability of being JtR", rather just a comparison of suspects on some ideas that seem related to the case. Those harder to place in London clearly have "some explaining to do" by those who put them forth, so that makes them weaker fits. Higher scores are just easier stories to tell - it isn't hard to suggest Burry was violent given his wife's murder, for example, but for those with no known history of violence does make one pause and wonder. In a way, this could be viewed as who is it easier to argue for rather than who is more probable ( since none of the items is actually evidence of any involvement in the JtR murders).

- Jeff

[Herlock Sholmes]

Hi Herlock,

Ah, I had originally made a mistake and had age and location scores mixed up, but the changes you've made I think work well and seem in keeping with the intention of the scoring system. On the whole, I think it does a pretty good job of ordering suspects, so well done.

- Jeff

Thanks Jeff,

No list or poll is going to give us the likeliest ripper of course but I just wanted to be able to get a view of what type of person might be the likeliest and then comparing the criteria against the named suspects. No major surprises I don’t think. Although of the top 20 the one that I wouldn’t have expected to have made it is Barnado.

[JeffHamm]

Amendment 7


Changes

In line with suggestions from Jeff


Changed Druitt’s location from 2 to 1

Changed Sickert’s location from 1 to 0

Changed Gull’s age/physical score from 1 to 0

Hi Herlock,

Ah, I had originally made a mistake and had age and location scores mixed up, but the changes you've made I think work well and seem in keeping with the intention of the scoring system. On the whole, I think it does a pretty good job of ordering suspects, so well done.

- Jeff

[Lewis C]

Just been rereading this thread and wondering what some people have against Druitt as a suspect but then somehow favour Kosminski as if the opinions of the police about Druitt count for nothing but then a frankly **** and bull story about an alleged I.D. parade by the police carries great weight. Plus we don't even know that we have the right man pegged as Kosminski. Note I don't think either Druitt or Kosminski were the Ripper and I rate them both about the same as suspects. Somewhere between Sickert who I think it highly unlikely as the Ripper and Bury who I rate as the top suspect.

Hi John,

There was someone posting here a few months ago that often commented on Kosminski's weakness as suspect, sometimes when it didn't have much to do with the subject at hand.

There are some reasons why one could view Aaron Kosminski as a stronger suspect than Druitt. For one, AK lived in the area, and Druitt didn't, so AK would have had more opportunities to roam the streets, and more opportunity to have the familiarity with the Whitechapel streets and alleys that it seems that The Ripper would have needed to have.

For those who believe that Alice McKenzie was a Ripper victim, AK could have killed her, but Druitt couldn't have.

My sense is that Macnaughten didn't feel certain that Druitt was The Ripper, he merely thought that Druitt was the strongest suspect. Anderson, on the other hand, felt certain, said the case had been solved. So both were the favored suspect of a policeman, but Anderson favored his suspect more strongly. I agree with your point, however, that we don't know for sure that Aaron Kosminski was Anderson's suspect.

I agree that both are stronger suspects than Sickert, but not as strong as Bury, but for me, there are a lot of suspects that would fall in that range.

[Herlock Sholmes]

Now why that does sound familiar.. ?!

Ah yes.. time for another cup of tea.


The Baron

I haven’t a clue what you’re talking about but what I do notice is that you couldn’t answer my previous post to you. Just in case you missed it, here it is again.

I tell you what Baron, based on the criteria that I openly and very clearly stated at the beginning, please point out to me where I’ve been biased in favour of Druitt. If you can’t ….. and you won’t be able to….id suggest that you post on non-Druitt-related threads as all mention of him clearly upsets you so much thatyou lose all sense of balance.

And btw you never answered when I asked why you think it so important to keep mentioning that Macnaghten had a different job before he joined the Met? I’ll save you the trouble because we all know the answer - because your favoured suspect, Kosminski, is also reliant on someone that had a different job before he became a high ranking police officer. I’m talking about Anderson of course. But clearly in your ‘unbiased’ world there appears to be one rule for Anderson and another for Macnaughten

Another chance for you to duck and dodge.

[The Baron]

accept an old man’s story that contained so many falsehoods that it can’t even be considered remotely reliable

Now why that does sound familiar.. ?!

Ah yes.. time for another cup of tea.


The Baron

[Herlock Sholmes]

I agree with the changes - If Gull doesn't rate a 0 age/physical score, nobody does.

On hatred on women, I think Gull should get lower than a zero. No only is there no evidence of misogyny, he actively supported women joining a medical profession, donating money and speaking publicly to support a scholarship for women doctors,

Personally I think that Gull should dwell in the same category as Lewis Carrol and Prince Eddy as there is nothing to remotely connect him to the murders accept an old man’s story that contained so many falsehoods that it can’t even be considered remotely reliable.

[Fiver]

Amendment 7


Gull > 0 - 1 - 0 - 0 - 0 - 0 - 1 - 0 = 2


Changes

In line with suggestions from Jeff


Changed Druitt’s location from 2 to 1

Changed Sickert’s location from 1 to 0

Changed Gull’s age/physical score from 1 to 0

I agree with the changes - If Gull doesn't rate a 0 age/physical score, nobody does.

On hatred on women, I think Gull should get lower than a zero. No only is there no evidence of misogyny, he actively supported women joining a medical profession, donating money and speaking publicly to support a scholarship for women doctors,

[Fiver]

Maybe if you wait a little more Fishy you will see Druitt gets some 10+ points and Gull will be at 0 to 1 point

That is how our unbiased minds work!

You can keep adding categories that suit your favourite suspect, and ignore facts that support your less favourite suspects, give extra points here and less points there..


It is more like a heavily biased game at best.


The Baron

While it would be possible to do that, Herlock clearly isn't, as is obvious from where Druitt stands in the ranking.

[Herlock Sholmes]

Amendment 7

Kelly > 2 - 2 - 3 - 2 - 2 - 1 - 0 - 1 = 13

Bury > 2 - 2 - 3 - 0 - 2 - 1 - 0 - 1 = 11

Cutbush > 2 - 2 - 2 - 2 - 0 - 1 - 0 - 0 = 9

Deeming > 2 - 1 - 4 - 0 - 0 - 2 - 0 - 0 = 9

Hyams > 2 - 2 - 2 - 2 - 0 - 0 - 0 - 1 = 9

Kosminski 2 - 2 - 1 - 2 - 1 - 0 - 0 - 0 = 8

Pizer > 2 - 2 - 1 - 0 - 2 - 1 - 0 - 0 = 8

Grainger > 2 - 1 - 2 - 0 - 1 - 1 - 0 -1 = 8

GSC Lechmere > 2 - 2 - 2 - 0 - 0 - 1 - 0 -1 = 8

Chapman > 2 - 2 - 1 - 0 - 1 - 0 - 1 - 0 = 7

Tumblety > 1 - 1 - 0 - 0 - 2 - 2 - 1 - 0 = 7

Barnado > 2 - 2 - 0 - 1 - 0 - 1 - 1 - 0 = 7

G. Wentworth Bell Smith > 2 - 2 - 0 - 1 - 0 - 2 - 0 - 0 = 7

Cohen > 2 - 2 - 1 - 1 - 0 - 1 - 0 - 0 = 7

Thompson > 2 - 2 - 0 - 0 - 0 - 1 - 1 - 0 = 6

Levy > 2 - 2 - 0 - 1 - 0 - 0 - 1 - 0 = 6

Druitt > 2 - 1 - 0 -1 - 1 - 0 - 0 - 0 = 5

Barnett > 2 - 2 - 0 - 0 - 0 - 1 - 0 - 0 = 5

Stephen > 2 - 1 - 0 - 1 - 0 - 0 - 0 -0 = 4

Stephenson > 2 - 1 - 0 - 0 - 0 - 0 - 1 - 1 = 5

Bachert > 2 - 2 - 0 - 0 - 0 - 0 - 0 - 0 = 4

Cross > 2 - 2 - 0 - 0 - 0 - 0 - 0 - 0 = 4

Hardiman > 2 - 2 - 0 - 0 - 0 - 0 - 0 - 0 = 4

Hutchinson > 2 - 2 - 0 - 0 - 0 - 0 - 0 = 4

Mann > 2 - 2 - 0 - 0 - 0 - 0 - 0 - 0 = 4

Maybrick > 2 - 1 - 0 - 0 - 0 - 0 - 0 - 1 = 4

Sickert > 2 - 0 - 0 - 0 - 0 - 1 - 0 - = 3

Gull > 0 - 1 - 0 - 0 - 0 - 0 - 1 - 0 = 2


Changes

In line with suggestions from Jeff


Changed Druitt’s location from 2 to 1

Changed Sickert’s location from 1 to 0

Changed Gull’s age/physical score from 1 to 0

[c.d.]

"A Mr M. J. Druitt, said to be a doctor & of good family" -- the wording here is a little tricky. Does the "said to be" only apply to being a doctor or does it also refer to "of good family?" The latter would imply that Macnaghten didn't know the family and that the information did not come directly from a family member.

c.d.

[Herlock Sholmes]

Thanks Jeff and George. I’ll have a bit of a think and make some amendments later today.

[GBinOz]

With regard to Gull, my understanding of the theory as presented is that Netley did the killing and Gull did the mutilations after the victim was dead....no heavy lifting required by the latter. Perhaps the listing should be Gull/Netley, with the rating adjusted accordingly?

Cheers, George