Originally posted by Trevor Marriott
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I have never said that lost, stolen or destroyed papers are not an option. I have simply and accurately stated that the case papers have been severely culled and that what we possess is a fraction of what once existed.
Look, I pointed out many posts ago that one argument advanced by those who do not think Shakespeare wrote the plays attributed to him is that there is no reference to him ever having owned a book. Bill Bryson's response was to point out that there is no evidence that he ever wore trousers either, but we don't assume he spent his life naked from the waist down. With certain caveats, Bryson is right and his example not only points out why we can't base conclusions on an absence of corroboration in paucity of evidence, it also shows that reasonable conclusions can be drawn on the basis of probability. You know and I know as a fact that any investigation of a suspect would have generated paperwork, so there would have been paperwork in the files relating to suspects, if only a summary of the results of the investigation, so just as it is reasonable to assume Shakespeare wore leg coverings, so it is reasonable to deduce that there would have been paperwork about Tumblety, Kosminski, Druitt, Ostrog and so on. When it is logical and probable that something existed you need to prove that it didn't, hence it is not enough to say Shakespeare never owned a book or that files on the suspects never existed simply because the sparse records we possess don't corroborate it.
This is history, not police work.
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