Originally posted by Karl
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The New York Times today was examining how the coup took everyone by surprise, and it's failure has also caused consternation among those scholars who analyze the causes of military coup -d'etats. Apparently they only are expected to occur (this was what the article said, based on this research) in societies that are living close to the poverty level, and where child mortality is high. Turkey's economy has been improving since the last military intervention in the late 1990s, and it has been having sustained reduction in child mortality. It was therefore not considered likely to have any real chance for any coup, even with the current problems dealing with Erdogan and his regime. Further, the fact that it was only a faction of the military (mostly from the airforce) behind this attempt suggests serious fissures in the unity of the military elite in Turkey (it was also mentioned that most of the army leaders - general that is - were not involved in this coup).
Jeff
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