Originally posted by SteveS
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You are rolling out the same old disproved argument that someone can be ruled out of an LCN profile, that you have been using from the start of the argument on here.
Theoretically a peak could drop-out, and a different peak drop-in morphing a profile into another, but this is so extremely unlikely to reproducibly happen in all runs, that you can effectively discount it. For it to happen at more than one site has never been observed and published.
Whittaker, once he has a reference profile to work with (eg Mary or Michael) will just try and fit what he can and explain the rest away as drop-in or drop-out and call ludicrous odds against it not being someone else's relative.
If Whittaker got a peak that corresponded to Michael and/or Mary, and found it absent from James when he was eventually exhumed, then Whittaker would report that as a mismatch, and declare James innocent, just like he did with Alphon.
Whittaker and LCN's co-developer Dr Peter Gill know for certain that they could have made just about anybody guilty of the A6 murder, when they have a reference profile to work to.
Returning to this case. It was another 4 years before the Hanratty appeal was actually heard at the CACD in April 2002. So what were the CPS and the FSS doing during this extraordinarily long period of time, if, as they contend, they had a cast iron profile of Hanratty and Hanratty alone? They were obviously scratching around for additional evidence against Hanratty which doesn't exist and thinking of what to do in the absence of such.
So the Home Office had to sanction the exhumation of Hanratty to allow the FSS to do another fiddle of the interpretation at the last minute. To give it some effect in the public's mind, in advance of the actual appeal hearing, this was leaked to the Sun and The Mail who both proclaimed the result of Hanratty's guilt by DNA evidence as official. It would be interesting to know who leaked the story and whether any money changed hands.
The FSS's report, which was all the defence saw in Hanratty in 2002, is no good in these cases anyway. One needs the EPG's produced from each run along with the analyst's bench notes and an independent set of tests to validate and corroborate. This is what Jamieson and Krane did in Hoey. Independent tests can now not be done for the obvious reason of lack of evidence yet the EPG's and notes are what Woffinden is raising funds to acquire and have reexamined.
KR,
Vic.
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