Originally posted by PRIVATE INVESTIGATOR 1
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Whichever way you go, there are leaps of faith involved.
It could quite easily be argued the other way.
I don't believe the WM knew the police beats, but it is often argued that he did: then why stand idly at Church Passage with so little time before Watkins came back 'round and why go in that place at all knowing Harvey's and Watkins' beats. Leaving aside the police beats, it's convenient to think that the couple 'concluded a deal' just at the right time to make it work and just at the right time to be seen by Lawende and associates. And, in the event he didn't know the police beats, then the WM had an enormous and implausible slice of luck.
It all has to work like clockwork and the WMs judgement has to be fortuitous.
They 'conclude the deal' just at the right time to make it work. It has to go smoothly for the WM, i.e. he has to be able to get Catherine in the position he wants her very quickly.
When PC Harvey walked down Church Passage, you have to believe that the WM made a very bold decision to stay put when a policeman was walking towards him with a lantern. It is debatable how far that lantern would have reached, but Watkins saw Catherine's body from say 25 feet. At the bottom of Church Passage, Harvey would have been approximately 70 feet away. 50 feet is not far. P.C Pearce said he could see the body clearly from his bedroom window, so it might not have been as dark as we imagine. The doctors weren't surprised the WM was able to carry out his work in that corner, suggesting it wasn't altogether pitch-black.
You have to believe that the WM was fortuitous in that he chose not to exit into Mitre Street, which was the closest exit to him.
You have to believe that the suggested minimum time for undertaking the mutilations was that which happened, which again would be a huge slice of luck in order to make it all fit, i.e. working as quick as he possibly could which unknown to him would enable him to avoid Watkins (unless he knew the police beats and was working to that time, but even in that event it takes some believing that he was able to do what he did while keeping his eye on his more than likely non-existent watch).
You could take the points one by one and reason them out with a decent argument to suggest otherwise, but putting them all together: it is an implausible scenario.
There's no easy answer for this one, leaps of faith whichever way you go.
I reckon there are fewer leaps of faith involved in believing Lawende and associates did not see Catherine and she was already in the square at that point.
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