Tumblety's character, his life experiences, his nature is what decides whether or not he thought he was being followed. It might be paranoia, it might be an assumption based on his criminal past. It probably is not based on him catching a cop following him.
His fear would not be based on something that happened. It would be based on what could happen, and what could happen was really bad. Bad enough to cause him to run. Fear makes us hyper vigilant. I feel like it's a safe assumption that as a con man, he was probably more aware of what was going on around him that the average guy. Crank up the fear, rightly or wrongly, and I think someone like that assumes they are being monitored. I think the consequences of being caught are too dire that someone can afford to assume they are not being watched.
His fear would not be based on something that happened. It would be based on what could happen, and what could happen was really bad. Bad enough to cause him to run. Fear makes us hyper vigilant. I feel like it's a safe assumption that as a con man, he was probably more aware of what was going on around him that the average guy. Crank up the fear, rightly or wrongly, and I think someone like that assumes they are being monitored. I think the consequences of being caught are too dire that someone can afford to assume they are not being watched.
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