Originally posted by Herlock Sholmes
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The Jack the Ripper Mystery is Finally Solved — Scientifically
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Last edited by GBinOz; Today, 12:14 AM.No experience of the failure of his policy could shake his belief in its essential excellence - The March of Folly by Barbara Tuchman
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Originally posted by Filby View PostI'm very much an amateur sleuth here on these forums, but even I know that any one author or scientist who claims to have "finally solved" the JtR case is probably the farthest from it.
But what I’m arguing isn’t just a slogan. It’s based on a convergence of hard, documented evidence: six years of medical training under Julius Dreschfeld at Owens College, possession of a dissecting scalpel, documented nights in Whitechapel refuges, obsessive writings about prostitutes, and a police description from Major Henry Smith that Thompson alone matches point-for-point. When you add probability calculations, the odds of anyone else fitting that profile in 1888 London collapse to nearly zero.
So while most suspect theories rely on a diary, a coincidence, or a clever interpretation, this one rests on verifiable biographical facts that line up with what the police themselves recorded. That’s why I present it with confidence: not because I want to say “case closed” for the sake of it, but because the evidence is strong enough to demand it be taken seriously.
Comment
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Originally posted by Richard Patterson View Post
Filby, I understand the instinct — the Ripper case has been littered with “final solutions” that turned out to be little more than hunches. Skepticism is healthy.
But what I’m arguing isn’t just a slogan. It’s based on a convergence of hard, documented evidence: six years of medical training under Julius Dreschfeld at Owens College, possession of a dissecting scalpel, documented nights in Whitechapel refuges, obsessive writings about prostitutes, and a police description from Major Henry Smith that Thompson alone matches point-for-point. When you add probability calculations, the odds of anyone else fitting that profile in 1888 London collapse to nearly zero.
So while most suspect theories rely on a diary, a coincidence, or a clever interpretation, this one rests on verifiable biographical facts that line up with what the police themselves recorded. That’s why I present it with confidence: not because I want to say “case closed” for the sake of it, but because the evidence is strong enough to demand it be taken seriously.
He was medically trained (passed his medical exams, lived with a surgeon, knew dissection techniques).
→ He had a documented history of psychotic violence toward women — including written hatred of prostitutes and dark fantasies of killing them.
→ He lived within 100 metres of the 1888 murder sites.
→ He was an active arsonist and fire-starter — linked to sadistic psychopathy.
→ He wrote essays at the time describing prostitutes as “putrid ulcers,” “blasphemies,” and called for them to be drowned in the Thames.
→ He delighted in reading and writing about the killing of women with blades — even his own play had this as its central scene.
→ His movements align perfectly with the timeline of the murders and
Comment
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Lewis,
Here is the link to the thread in question. My post is based on the research from Chris and I in no way, imply my research in this.
"Puckeridge" - Casebook: Jack the Ripper Forums (Post #13 and #14 by Chris)
Abby,
was he definitely smiths suspect? he actually never names him, and in tje context it seems he may be talking about one of the medical students, morford even?
Did you read post #14? notice the reports were initialled by Major Henry Smith. Chris states:
"Among the surviving City of London CID records at the London Metropolitan Archives are two reports, relating how on 24 September 'Puckridge' had been shadowed from Cheapside to his lodgings in a coffee house in Rupert Street in the West End, and how on the following day two detectives called on the proprietor of the coffee house, who told them that Puckridge had slept there every night for the previous four weeks. The report on how Puckridge was traced to Rupert Street, to which a description of him has been added below, appears to have been initialled by Henry Smith."
Here is Report 1 on 25 September
25th Sept. 1888
I beg to report that in company
with D. S. Child, I saw Mr. W. Tolfree, Proprietor
of the Imperial Coffee House, 50 Rupert Street.
in answer to our Enquiry he informed us that
the man Puckridge had been Lodging with
him for the last four weeks, and had slept
every night in the House. he also said Puckridge
was Eccentric in his habits and given to Eccessive
Drinking, and appears to have ample means.
Fredk. Lawley
D. S.
R. Child. D. S.
Here is Report 2.
24th Sept. 1888
P. C. P. 105 Benham reports that at 3.30. P.M. 24th
Inst, he saw Puckridge at the west End of Cheapside
followed him through Cheapside, Threadneedle Street, Austinfrias
to No 2 Circas Place London Wall, Puckridge remained
there till 6. P.M. when he left followed by Benham
& P. C. P Smith, he went into Lehmans Confectioners
London Wall, then to the Stirling Castle P. H. &
then through Coleman Street into Cheapside
through the Strand to Charing Cross, waited outside
the Post Office Charing Cross, then on to Leicester
Square, Coventry Street, Lockharts Coffee House,
remained there one hour & 30 minutes then came
out & walked up & down Coventry Street
then returned to Lockharts remained there about
ten Minutes then walked up & down Coventry
Street for about half an hour, then went into
a P. H. in Rupert Street, stopped about 10 minutes
then went to the Imperial Coffee House 50 Rupert
Street, opened the Private door with a latch Key
and went in at 9.45. P.M. I watched the Place
till 12.30. A.M. when the Place was [?]Cosed [Closed?], there
is a notice in the Window - Beds to let for Gentlemen.
25th Sepr.
1888
Thomas Benham
P. C 105
Also, it seems that he was never actually a surgeon or doctor, but only a chemist. correct?
A chemist is like a pharmacist and had medical training. If you look at the statement by Major Smith he states his man had been a medical student. The next statement I copied here from Chris is Charles Warrens statement that covers two of Major Smiths points. Puckeridge was educated as a surgeon and released from an asylum on August 4th.
'Puckeridge' was mentioned in a report by Sir Charles Warren to the Home Office dated 19 September 1888:
"A man called Puckeridge was released from an asylum on 4 August. He was educated as a Surgeon - has threatened to rip people up with a long knife. He is being looked for but cannot be found as yet."
[Evans and Skinner, Ultimate Sourcebook, p. 132]
Now, here is the statement in 1910 from Henry Smith.
"After the second crime I sent word to Sir Charles Warren that I had discovered a man very likely to be the man wanted. He certainly had all the qualifications requisite. He had been a medical student; he had been in a lunatic asylum; he spent all his time with women of loose character, whom he bilked by giving them polished farthings instead of sovereigns, two of these farthings having been found in the pocket of the murdered woman. Sir Charles failed to find him. I thought he was likely to be in Rupert Street, Haymarket. I sent up two men, and there he was; but, polished farthings and all, he proved an alibi without the shadow of doubt."
[Smith, From Constable to Commissioner, p. 147]
To summarize, look at the dates of the reports. Sept 24th and 25th. Those occurred AFTER the second crime (Annie Chapman). He was a chemist and educated as a surgeon. (Obviously had medical training). AND Sir Charles looked for him but could not find him. Last, he lodged on Rupert Street. What are the chances it is NOT Puckeridge he was talking about?
Back to you, Richard.
Last edited by jerryd; Today, 02:19 AM.
Comment
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Originally posted by jerryd View PostLewis,
Here is the link to the thread in question. My post is based on the research from Chris and I in no way, imply my research in this.
"Puckeridge" - Casebook: Jack the Ripper Forums (Post #13 and #14 by Chris)
Abby,
was he definitely smiths suspect? he actually never names him, and in tje context it seems he may be talking about one of the medical students, morford even?
Did you read post #14? notice the reports were initialled by Major Henry Smith. Chris states:
"Among the surviving City of London CID records at the London Metropolitan Archives are two reports, relating how on 24 September 'Puckridge' had been shadowed from Cheapside to his lodgings in a coffee house in Rupert Street in the West End, and how on the following day two detectives called on the proprietor of the coffee house, who told them that Puckridge had slept there every night for the previous four weeks. The report on how Puckridge was traced to Rupert Street, to which a description of him has been added below, appears to have been initialled by Henry Smith."
Here is Report 1 on 25 September
25th Sept. 1888
I beg to report that in company
with D. S. Child, I saw Mr. W. Tolfree, Proprietor
of the Imperial Coffee House, 50 Rupert Street.
in answer to our Enquiry he informed us that
the man Puckridge had been Lodging with
him for the last four weeks, and had slept
every night in the House. he also said Puckridge
was Eccentric in his habits and given to Eccessive
Drinking, and appears to have ample means.
Fredk. Lawley
D. S.
R. Child. D. S.
Here is Report 2.
24th Sept. 1888
P. C. P. 105 Benham reports that at 3.30. P.M. 24th
Inst, he saw Puckridge at the west End of Cheapside
followed him through Cheapside, Threadneedle Street, Austinfrias
to No 2 Circas Place London Wall, Puckridge remained
there till 6. P.M. when he left followed by Benham
& P. C. P Smith, he went into Lehmans Confectioners
London Wall, then to the Stirling Castle P. H. &
then through Coleman Street into Cheapside
through the Strand to Charing Cross, waited outside
the Post Office Charing Cross, then on to Leicester
Square, Coventry Street, Lockharts Coffee House,
remained there one hour & 30 minutes then came
out & walked up & down Coventry Street
then returned to Lockharts remained there about
ten Minutes then walked up & down Coventry
Street for about half an hour, then went into
a P. H. in Rupert Street, stopped about 10 minutes
then went to the Imperial Coffee House 50 Rupert
Street, opened the Private door with a latch Key
and went in at 9.45. P.M. I watched the Place
till 12.30. A.M. when the Place was [?]Cosed [Closed?], there
is a notice in the Window - Beds to let for Gentlemen.
25th Sepr.
1888
Thomas Benham
P. C 105
Also, it seems that he was never actually a surgeon or doctor, but only a chemist. correct?
A chemist is like a pharmacist and had medical training. If you look at the statement by Major Smith he states his man had been a medical student. The next statement I copied here from Chris is Charles Warrens statement that covers two of Major Smiths points. Puckeridge was educated as a surgeon and released from an asylum on August 4th.
'Puckeridge' was mentioned in a report by Sir Charles Warren to the Home Office dated 19 September 1888:
"A man called Puckeridge was released from an asylum on 4 August. He was educated as a Surgeon - has threatened to rip people up with a long knife. He is being looked for but cannot be found as yet."
[Evans and Skinner, Ultimate Sourcebook, p. 132]
Now, here is the statement in 1910 from Henry Smith.
"After the second crime I sent word to Sir Charles Warren that I had discovered a man very likely to be the man wanted. He certainly had all the qualifications requisite. He had been a medical student; he had been in a lunatic asylum; he spent all his time with women of loose character, whom he bilked by giving them polished farthings instead of sovereigns, two of these farthings having been found in the pocket of the murdered woman. Sir Charles failed to find him. I thought he was likely to be in Rupert Street, Haymarket. I sent up two men, and there he was; but, polished farthings and all, he proved an alibi without the shadow of doubt."
[Smith, From Constable to Commissioner, p. 147]
To summarize, look at the dates of the reports. Sept 24th and 25th. Those occurred AFTER the second crime (Annie Chapman). He was a chemist and educated as a surgeon. (Obviously had medical training). AND Sir Charles looked for him but could not find him. Last, he lodged on Rupert Street. What are the chances it is NOT Puckeridge he was talking about?
Back to you, Richard.
"Is all that we see or seem
but a dream within a dream?"
-Edgar Allan Poe
"...the man and the peaked cap he is said to have worn
quite tallies with the descriptions I got of him."
-Frederick G. Abberline
Comment
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Originally posted by Filby View Post
I apologize for being a bit harsh on this, but I did read your list of identifiers for the "data" you correlated. In fact, just looking at this broadly, your independent variables could have fit the three, if not more, primary suspects mentioned in the memorandums, etc. too. You are missing, in my view, the sexual component to these killings. Moreover, if you believe the "Lusk" letter and Goulston Graffito are linked to JtR, which I do, I doubt he was writing essays in his spare time.
He was medically trained (passed his medical exams, lived with a surgeon, knew dissection techniques).
→ He had a documented history of psychotic violence toward women — including written hatred of prostitutes and dark fantasies of killing them.
→ He lived within 100 metres of the 1888 murder sites.
→ He was an active arsonist and fire-starter — linked to sadistic psychopathy.
→ He wrote essays at the time describing prostitutes as “putrid ulcers,” “blasphemies,” and called for them to be drowned in the Thames.
→ He delighted in reading and writing about the killing of women with blades — even his own play had this as its central scene.
→ His movements align perfectly with the timeline of the murders and
In Nightmare of the Witch-Babies we meet the “lusty knight” — a figure who doesn’t woo but rends, who rides not toward love but toward desecration. He is conjured in the poem as the scourge of a degenerate world, a knight whose passion is cutting, whose lust is mutilation. It isn’t romantic fantasy. It’s sexualised violence reframed as cleansing — the same twisted impulse we see in the Ripper murders, where the body of a prostitute becomes the text upon which rage and obsession are carved.
Now place that alongside what Thompson published under the pseudonym “Francis Tancred” in Catholics in Darkest England. Here he writes as a crusader, explicitly borrowing the name of a medieval knight of Jerusalem, and describes London’s streets as a kind of fallen Holy Land, black even in daylight, filled with “girls harlots in the mother’s womb.” He casts himself as one who “unveils secret meanings,” who “diagnoses the disease” of the city, and then — chillingly — declares that “the Assassin has left us a weapon which but needs a little practice to adapt it to the necessity of the day.”
This is not the language of a gentle poet. This is Thompson self-fashioning as the very “lusty knight” of his verse — a crusader-assassin, licensed in his own mind to cleanse London of corruption. The sexual motive is there, but refracted through a religious and moral lens: prostitutes are not women to him, they are “ulcers,” “blasphemies,” “harlots in the womb.” Cutting them open was, in his warped psyche, both a lust and a purification ritual.
And remember, when the West India Docks went up in flames on the very night of Nichols’ murder, Thompson was sleeping rough at a Salvation Army shelter nearby. Contemporary voices worried that the Army’s militant revivalism might inspire a deranged imitator to see killing as crusade. Thompson all but confesses to see killing as crusade. Thompson all but confesses to that role in his Tancred essay. When he tells readers that “the Assassin has left us a weapon which but needs a little practice to adapt it to the necessity of the day,” he is not writing as a detached social critic. He is writing as a man who already carries a surgeon’s scalpel in his pocket, who has lived among the very “harlots in the womb” he describes, and who has framed himself as both poet and knight, lusting not for love but for mutilation and purification.
So the “lusty knight” is not an ambiguous metaphor. It is Thompson’s alter ego. The poems, the essays, the biographical facts — they align. He saw himself as a crusader in London’s “darkest England,” wielding the blade of the Assassin in a moral war against prostitutes. When we recognise that, the supposed gap between literature and life collapses. His verse is his confession; his “lusty knight” was not imagined, but embodied in Whitechapel’s streets.
Comment
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Originally posted by jerryd View PostLewis,
Here is the link to the thread in question. My post is based on the research from Chris and I in no way, imply my research in this.
"Puckeridge" - Casebook: Jack the Ripper Forums (Post #13 and #14 by Chris)
Abby,
was he definitely smiths suspect? he actually never names him, and in tje context it seems he may be talking about one of the medical students, morford even?
Did you read post #14? notice the reports were initialled by Major Henry Smith. Chris states:
"Among the surviving City of London CID records at the London Metropolitan Archives are two reports, relating how on 24 September 'Puckridge' had been shadowed from Cheapside to his lodgings in a coffee house in Rupert Street in the West End, and how on the following day two detectives called on the proprietor of the coffee house, who told them that Puckridge had slept there every night for the previous four weeks. The report on how Puckridge was traced to Rupert Street, to which a description of him has been added below, appears to have been initialled by Henry Smith."
Here is Report 1 on 25 September
25th Sept. 1888
I beg to report that in company
with D. S. Child, I saw Mr. W. Tolfree, Proprietor
of the Imperial Coffee House, 50 Rupert Street.
in answer to our Enquiry he informed us that
the man Puckridge had been Lodging with
him for the last four weeks, and had slept
every night in the House. he also said Puckridge
was Eccentric in his habits and given to Eccessive
Drinking, and appears to have ample means.
Fredk. Lawley
D. S.
R. Child. D. S.
Here is Report 2.
24th Sept. 1888
P. C. P. 105 Benham reports that at 3.30. P.M. 24th
Inst, he saw Puckridge at the west End of Cheapside
followed him through Cheapside, Threadneedle Street, Austinfrias
to No 2 Circas Place London Wall, Puckridge remained
there till 6. P.M. when he left followed by Benham
& P. C. P Smith, he went into Lehmans Confectioners
London Wall, then to the Stirling Castle P. H. &
then through Coleman Street into Cheapside
through the Strand to Charing Cross, waited outside
the Post Office Charing Cross, then on to Leicester
Square, Coventry Street, Lockharts Coffee House,
remained there one hour & 30 minutes then came
out & walked up & down Coventry Street
then returned to Lockharts remained there about
ten Minutes then walked up & down Coventry
Street for about half an hour, then went into
a P. H. in Rupert Street, stopped about 10 minutes
then went to the Imperial Coffee House 50 Rupert
Street, opened the Private door with a latch Key
and went in at 9.45. P.M. I watched the Place
till 12.30. A.M. when the Place was [?]Cosed [Closed?], there
is a notice in the Window - Beds to let for Gentlemen.
25th Sepr.
1888
Thomas Benham
P. C 105
Also, it seems that he was never actually a surgeon or doctor, but only a chemist. correct?
A chemist is like a pharmacist and had medical training. If you look at the statement by Major Smith he states his man had been a medical student. The next statement I copied here from Chris is Charles Warrens statement that covers two of Major Smiths points. Puckeridge was educated as a surgeon and released from an asylum on August 4th.
'Puckeridge' was mentioned in a report by Sir Charles Warren to the Home Office dated 19 September 1888:
"A man called Puckeridge was released from an asylum on 4 August. He was educated as a Surgeon - has threatened to rip people up with a long knife. He is being looked for but cannot be found as yet."
[Evans and Skinner, Ultimate Sourcebook, p. 132]
Now, here is the statement in 1910 from Henry Smith.
"After the second crime I sent word to Sir Charles Warren that I had discovered a man very likely to be the man wanted. He certainly had all the qualifications requisite. He had been a medical student; he had been in a lunatic asylum; he spent all his time with women of loose character, whom he bilked by giving them polished farthings instead of sovereigns, two of these farthings having been found in the pocket of the murdered woman. Sir Charles failed to find him. I thought he was likely to be in Rupert Street, Haymarket. I sent up two men, and there he was; but, polished farthings and all, he proved an alibi without the shadow of doubt."
[Smith, From Constable to Commissioner, p. 147]
To summarize, look at the dates of the reports. Sept 24th and 25th. Those occurred AFTER the second crime (Annie Chapman). He was a chemist and educated as a surgeon. (Obviously had medical training). AND Sir Charles looked for him but could not find him. Last, he lodged on Rupert Street. What are the chances it is NOT Puckeridge he was talking about?
Back to you, Richard.
What Smith actually described was vs. what the Rupert St. file shows
Sir Henry Smith’s later summary of “my man” lists five hard traits:- ex-medical student
- ex-asylum inmate
- frequented prostitutes
- passed polished farthings
- found in (or tied to) Rupert St./Haymarket
- ex-medical training (educated as a surgeon) ✅
- ex-asylum inmate ✅
- lodging at 50 Rupert St. ✅
- “eccentric,” “excessive drinking,” “ample means” — but no mention of prostitutes or polished farthings ❌❌
- and an owner saying he “had slept every night for the last four weeks.” (That window covers 27 Aug–24 Sept — i.e., through Nichols on 31 Aug and Chapman on 8 Sept.)
So the file you cite gives Puckridge 3 of Smith’s 5 features, and an alibi City accepted at the time. Smith himself later writes that the Rupert St. man “proved an alibi without the shadow of doubt.”
Why this matters probabilistically
If you treat Smith’s five points as the identifying bundle, the odds that any random London man in 1888 ticks all five is tiny. Using conservative rates often cited in this thread:- ex-med student ~ 1/2,000 (0.0005)
- asylum history ~ 1/1,000 (0.001)
- frequents prostitutes ~ 1/100 (0.01)
- polishes farthings ~ 1/10,000 (0.0001)
- lives in Haymarket/Rupert St. ~ 1/10,000 (0.0001)
That’s the rarity of a full match to what Smith described.
Now compare two candidates to that target:- Puckridge (from the surviving reports): we can document 3/5 (medical, asylum, Rupert St.). We cannot document prostitutes or polished farthings. The three-trait coincidence (0.0005 × 0.001 × 0.0001) is 5 × 10⁻¹¹ ≈ 1 in 20 billion — rare, but not astronomically so — and it comes with an accepted alibi spanning the first two canonical murders. On Smith’s own telling, that ends him as the killer.
- Francis Thompson (from biography & writings): ex-medical student ✅; asylum/mental collapse ✅; lived and moved between Haymarket/Charing Cross and the East End ✅; obsessive contact with/proximity to prostitutes ✅; polished coins behavior reported in the record ✅. That is a 5/5 hit on the traits Smith enumerated — i.e., the full improbability bundle that drives the 1-in-20-quadrillion figure.
The two Rupert St. memos show City shadowed Puckridge and then alibied him. But Smith’s five-point description (with prostitutes and polished farthings) does not match what those memos actually say about Puckridge. Either:- Smith later conflated more than one lead, or
- the Rupert St. man Smith meant was not the same man in the two memos, or
- crucially, the only known person who fits all five traits Smith listed is Thompson, not Puckridge.
- Puckridge: 3/5 traits + a period alibi accepted by City ⇒ mathematically and operationally weak as “the man wanted.”
- Thompson: 5/5 traits, no contemporaneous alibi blocking the window, and an independent biographical/psychological fit to the murders ⇒ the full Smith-bundle match that drives the vanishing odds of coincidence.
Comment
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Originally posted by Herlock Sholmes View Post
I’m assuming that this is Richard Patterson, Geddy. He has posted on here in the past. This sounds like a cynical and unpleasant advertising ploy. How desperate are some people to be ‘the one’? First we get The Church of Charles Cross TV Mission then we got the Shawl DNA Debacle Show and now a lower than whaleshit attempt to make people feel guilty for not denouncing a troubled poet as a serial killer. It’s like a twisted, dishonest attempt a cancelling someone. Stomach-churning crap. Combine this with Diary obsession and we should collectively weep for the state of ripperology.
It’s always telling how quickly some people reach for sneers rather than substance. You dismiss this as “advertising” or “cancel culture,” but never actually engage the mathematics, the documented evidence, or the convergence of traits that make Thompson the only man who fits Smith’s Rupert Street suspect profile. That silence says more than your colourful insults.
I didn’t “pull a name out of a hat.” I spent decades assembling verifiable, testable evidence: medical training under Dreschfeld, time in Whitechapel during 1888, carrying a scalpel, violent misogynistic writings, the prostitute connection, the asylum history, the Rupert Street lodging, the polished coin fraud. Major Smith’s suspect listed five rare features. Thompson ticks all five. The odds of another man doing so are in the realm of 1 in 20 quadrillion. That is not opinion — that is calculation.
You don’t have to like my conclusion. You don’t have to agree. But dismissing it as “stomach-churning crap” without offering a single counter-fact only exposes a refusal to deal with uncomfortable truths. If you want to argue, argue on the evidence. Otherwise, it’s just noise.
As for the women who died, they deserve more than weary jokes about “Church missions” or “TV shows.” They deserve justice — and justice begins with naming their killer based on the strongest available evidence. That evidence points, again and again, to Francis Thompson.
So mock if you like. But history isn’t moved by sneers. It’s moved by facts. And the facts are on the record now.
— Richard
Comment
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Originally posted by Richard Patterson View Post
Now look at the two September 24–25 City CID notes you quoted. For Puck(er)ridge they confirm:- ex-medical training (educated as a surgeon) ✅
- ex-asylum inmate ✅
- lodging at 50 Rupert St. ✅
- “eccentric,” “excessive drinking,” “ample means” — but no mention of prostitutes or polished farthings ❌❌
- and an owner saying he “had slept every night for the last four weeks.” (That window covers 27 Aug–24 Sept — i.e., through Nichols on 31 Aug and Chapman on 8 Sept.)
So the file you cite gives Puckridge 3 of Smith’s 5 features, and an alibi City accepted at the time. Smith himself later writes that the Rupert St. man “proved an alibi without the shadow of doubt.”
The one item you leave out is Major Smith stated, "I thought he was likely to be in Rupert Street, Haymarket. I sent up two men, and there he was." Coincidentally Richard, two policemen (PC Benham and PCP Smith) followed Puckeridge to Rupert Street, where he lodged. Was Major Smith that lucky when recollecting these events in 1910? Adding this detail to the Puckeridge side, what are the odds, Richard? My math is not nearly as good as yours.
P. C. P. 105 Benham reports that at 3.30. P.M. 24th
Inst, he saw Puckridge at the west End of Cheapside
followed him through Cheapside, Threadneedle Street, Austinfrias
to No 2 Circas Place London Wall, Puckridge remained
there till 6. P.M. when he left followed by Benham
& P. C. P Smith, he went into Lehmans Confectioners
London Wall, then to the Stirling Castle P. H. &
then through Coleman Street into Cheapside
through the Strand to Charing Cross, waited outside
the Post Office Charing Cross, then on to Leicester
Square, Coventry Street, Lockharts Coffee House,
remained there one hour & 30 minutes then came
out & walked up & down Coventry Street
then returned to Lockharts remained there about
ten Minutes then walked up & down Coventry
Street for about half an hour, then went into
a P. H. in Rupert Street, stopped about 10 minutes
then went to the Imperial Coffee House 50 Rupert
Street, opened the Private door with a latch Key
and went in at 9.45. P.M. I watched the Place
till 12.30. A.M. when the Place was [?]Cosed [Closed?], there
is a notice in the Window - Beds to let for Gentlemen.
25th Sepr.
1888
Thomas Benham
P. C 105
Comment
-
Originally posted by jerryd View Post
Thanks Richard.
The one item you leave out is Major Smith stated, "I thought he was likely to be in Rupert Street, Haymarket. I sent up two men, and there he was." Coincidentally Richard, two policemen (PC Benham and PCP Smith) followed Puckeridge to Rupert Street, where he lodged. Was Major Smith that lucky when recollecting these events in 1910? Adding this detail to the Puckeridge side, what are the odds, Richard? My math is not nearly as good as yours.
P. C. P. 105 Benham reports that at 3.30. P.M. 24th
Inst, he saw Puckridge at the west End of Cheapside
followed him through Cheapside, Threadneedle Street, Austinfrias
to No 2 Circas Place London Wall, Puckridge remained
there till 6. P.M. when he left followed by Benham
& P. C. P Smith, he went into Lehmans Confectioners
London Wall, then to the Stirling Castle P. H. &
then through Coleman Street into Cheapside
through the Strand to Charing Cross, waited outside
the Post Office Charing Cross, then on to Leicester
Square, Coventry Street, Lockharts Coffee House,
remained there one hour & 30 minutes then came
out & walked up & down Coventry Street
then returned to Lockharts remained there about
ten Minutes then walked up & down Coventry
Street for about half an hour, then went into
a P. H. in Rupert Street, stopped about 10 minutes
then went to the Imperial Coffee House 50 Rupert
Street, opened the Private door with a latch Key
and went in at 9.45. P.M. I watched the Place
till 12.30. A.M. when the Place was [?]Cosed [Closed?], there
is a notice in the Window - Beds to let for Gentlemen.
25th Sepr.
1888
Thomas Benham
P. C 105
Those surveillance notes give us a man who was eccentric, alcoholic, with medical training and asylum history, lodging at Rupert Street. That gets him 3 of the 5 features Smith listed. But what they don’t give us are the other two: (1) association with prostitutes, and (2) the polished farthings scam. Both appear in Smith’s 1910 description as if they were central identifiers, yet neither appears in the actual 1888 file you’ve quoted. Add to that the alibi City accepted at the time (“slept every night the last four weeks”), and it’s not hard to see why the officers closed the book on him.
Now compare the math. The odds of any random man in 1888 London ticking all five of Smith’s traits is vanishingly small — about 1 in 20 quadrillion. Puckridge gets 3, with no evidence for the other 2, and with an alibi that makes even the 3 less useful. Thompson, by contrast, ticks all 5 in documented sources: six years medical training, an asylum breakdown, an obsessive relationship with a prostitute, the “miracle coin” anecdote paralleling polished farthings, and his residence one street from Rupert. When probability is factored in, the full convergence makes Thompson astronomically more likely than Puckridge to be Smith’s Rupert Street man.
So was Smith “lucky” in 1910? I’d say no. He wasn’t misremembering Puckridge — he was describing someone else, someone who matched his five-point list point for point. The odds don’t lie.
Richard
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Originally posted by Richard Patterson View Post
Add to that the alibi City accepted at the time (“slept every night the last four weeks”), and it’s not hard to see why the officers closed the book on him.
Also Richard, could you please help me with the source/s that you're using for the farthing bit with Thompson? I truly haven't heard you mention it before. I'm not doubting you, I just want to see the context is all.
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Why do we have this continuing reliance on what Major Smith thought? When did he become the number one authority on the Ripper? What happened to Abberline, and the opinions of those who had the necessary expertise and actually viewed what the Ripper had done - Drs Brown and Phillips?
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