Trevor Marriott: I have been going back and analyzing the evidence you seek to rely on in your attempt to prove Cross killed Nicholls. As I understand what you suggest is that he had up to 13 minutes in which to meet Nicholls and kill her Based on leaving home at approx 3.20am and arriving in Bucks Row at 3.27am and Paul coming along at about 3.40am
None of this is how I envisage things, Trevor. I suggest that he left home at 3.20 or 3.30, 3.30 being the more likely thing, that Paul came into Buck´s Row at 3.45 and thathe reached the body at around 3.46, leaving Lechmere around nine minutes to meet and kill Nichols.
But these are all estimations (apart from Pauls exact timing of 3.45), and it is impossible to determine what applied exactly. All we can say is that it SEEMS from what we have been told, that there would have been time to kill Nichols.
Most of your case is built around timings for as has been suggested if any of the timings are out then it shatters your case because for him to have been the killer your timings have to be almost exact with very little room for maneuverability.
There is learoom for varying times to some extent. But the main thing is that we KNOW that he can´t be taken out of the picture: He WAS there alone with Nichols, she DID bleed as Mizen saw her, and so on. SO speaking about shattering the theory is something that cannot be done, Trevor. You seem to have misunderstood this totally.
He IS in the picture, and he can´t be taken out of it by the timings.
Now based on that, he would either have had to meet NIcholls in Bucks Row or somewhere else on his route to work if the latter then that would have used up more valuable time in getting to Bucks Row because you only allow him 7 minutes from house to Bucks Row.
I have posted this before but I think it is so important and something you clearly have no thought out and allowed for when going public with your theory.
Lets look at the witness timings again.
Pc Neil
first pass in Bucks Row should have been 3.15am approx
second pass should have been 3.27approx (12 minute round beat)
third pass 3.39am approx which is when he finds body.
No. Neil was there AFTER Paul, and Paul was there at 3.45. SO it does not pan out. Moreover, it is entirely uninteresting: Lechmere WAS in place, he WAS alone with the victim and she DID bleed as Mizen saw her. THAT is what matters, nothing else.
Monty kindly informed us that the beats were 30 minute beats so the 12 minute beat could be a mistake. If that is the case then the murder could have taken place between 3.15am and 3.27am, some 12 minutes before Cross got there. This is reliant on Pc Neils movements and time being correct. If they were not, and he was not in Bucks Row at 3.15am then her murder could have occurred some time before that and long before Cross finds the body. Pc Neil then says he found the body at 3.39am
No, the murder could emphatically not have taken place between 3.15 and 3.27.
Now according to the evidence, by 3.39am Cross and Paul had already found the body and gone off to find a policeman, deduct 3-4 minutes for that so that brings the time down to 3.35am approx when Cross and Paul left the scene. Now take of the time allowed for Cross to be seen standing in the road as Paul approached, and time they spent with the body and that takes it down even more.
No time for Cross to kill Nichols
Lets look at other factors which weaken your theory
1. The exact time of death cannot be firmly established
(on this aspect you rely on Dr Llewellyn stating death had occurred at
about 3.45am) As we now know this was guesswork
2. The time of death cannot be established through looking at a wound.
3. The time of death cannot be established through blood loss
4. The witness timings are all over the place and are un-reliable,
I have purposely ignored the smokescreen about walking to work through the murder locations and visiting relatives in the murder locations thats not even worth considering in the grand scheme of things
I have also ignored the giving of a false name I think that has been explored and evem Scobie says it is insignificant
Taking all of these facts together do you reall still think you now have a case which proves beyond a reasonable doubt that Cross killed Nicholls?
I think you have it totally wrong, and I know that the case for Lechmere is a very strong one. Luckily, it hinges not on your inability to understand it. I´m sorry, Trevor, but this post of yours is a mess.
The best,
Fisherman
None of this is how I envisage things, Trevor. I suggest that he left home at 3.20 or 3.30, 3.30 being the more likely thing, that Paul came into Buck´s Row at 3.45 and thathe reached the body at around 3.46, leaving Lechmere around nine minutes to meet and kill Nichols.
But these are all estimations (apart from Pauls exact timing of 3.45), and it is impossible to determine what applied exactly. All we can say is that it SEEMS from what we have been told, that there would have been time to kill Nichols.
Most of your case is built around timings for as has been suggested if any of the timings are out then it shatters your case because for him to have been the killer your timings have to be almost exact with very little room for maneuverability.
There is learoom for varying times to some extent. But the main thing is that we KNOW that he can´t be taken out of the picture: He WAS there alone with Nichols, she DID bleed as Mizen saw her, and so on. SO speaking about shattering the theory is something that cannot be done, Trevor. You seem to have misunderstood this totally.
He IS in the picture, and he can´t be taken out of it by the timings.
Now based on that, he would either have had to meet NIcholls in Bucks Row or somewhere else on his route to work if the latter then that would have used up more valuable time in getting to Bucks Row because you only allow him 7 minutes from house to Bucks Row.
I have posted this before but I think it is so important and something you clearly have no thought out and allowed for when going public with your theory.
Lets look at the witness timings again.
Pc Neil
first pass in Bucks Row should have been 3.15am approx
second pass should have been 3.27approx (12 minute round beat)
third pass 3.39am approx which is when he finds body.
No. Neil was there AFTER Paul, and Paul was there at 3.45. SO it does not pan out. Moreover, it is entirely uninteresting: Lechmere WAS in place, he WAS alone with the victim and she DID bleed as Mizen saw her. THAT is what matters, nothing else.
Monty kindly informed us that the beats were 30 minute beats so the 12 minute beat could be a mistake. If that is the case then the murder could have taken place between 3.15am and 3.27am, some 12 minutes before Cross got there. This is reliant on Pc Neils movements and time being correct. If they were not, and he was not in Bucks Row at 3.15am then her murder could have occurred some time before that and long before Cross finds the body. Pc Neil then says he found the body at 3.39am
No, the murder could emphatically not have taken place between 3.15 and 3.27.
Now according to the evidence, by 3.39am Cross and Paul had already found the body and gone off to find a policeman, deduct 3-4 minutes for that so that brings the time down to 3.35am approx when Cross and Paul left the scene. Now take of the time allowed for Cross to be seen standing in the road as Paul approached, and time they spent with the body and that takes it down even more.
No time for Cross to kill Nichols
Lets look at other factors which weaken your theory
1. The exact time of death cannot be firmly established
(on this aspect you rely on Dr Llewellyn stating death had occurred at
about 3.45am) As we now know this was guesswork
2. The time of death cannot be established through looking at a wound.
3. The time of death cannot be established through blood loss
4. The witness timings are all over the place and are un-reliable,
I have purposely ignored the smokescreen about walking to work through the murder locations and visiting relatives in the murder locations thats not even worth considering in the grand scheme of things
I have also ignored the giving of a false name I think that has been explored and evem Scobie says it is insignificant
Taking all of these facts together do you reall still think you now have a case which proves beyond a reasonable doubt that Cross killed Nicholls?
I think you have it totally wrong, and I know that the case for Lechmere is a very strong one. Luckily, it hinges not on your inability to understand it. I´m sorry, Trevor, but this post of yours is a mess.
The best,
Fisherman
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