Originally posted by Darryl Kenyon
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You say that all he did at the site was in sync with innocence.
But are you not saying that all he did AFTER PAUL ARRIVED was in sync with innocence? Becasue what he did BEFORE cannot be corroborated. There, we need to trust Lechmre on his own words to be able to say "That seems innocent".
If you couple this with my former paragraph, you will see that IF he was the killer, I actually believe that once Paul arrived, he would be more likely to lie about it than to say "Truth be told, I killed her".
Anyways, now that I have - once more - explained this matter, that really should not need any explanation at all, letīs look at how I think you reason:
I believe you think that all the carman did at the murder site is in sync with innocence, and so the matters that can point to either guilt or innocence should be interpreted as innocent as a reward for the "good behavior" he showed at the murder site. For example, Mizen said that Lechmere spoke of another PC in Bucks Row, and if that was true, it would be no good thing for the carman, even less so if he lied about it in court when Mizen divulged it.
But since the carman was so very nice and law-abiding at the murder scene, letīs instead make Mizen the liar - or misunderstanding or havinf a hearing impariment, and getting thing wrong. Problem solved!
And it IS - one of them. But not all.
If we for a moment drop kind-hearted you from the narrators role and put cynic old me in charge instead, what happens?
Let me show you!
First, I take a look at the circumstances under which Lechmere "found" Nichols. If he found her at a stage when she was already long gone, it wouold speak in favour of his innocence, and more or less eradicate any possibility of guilt.
But he didnīt, did he? He instead found her at a remove in time that is perfectly consistent with him being the killer. In fact, two forensic physicians agree that she would likely have bled out fully in the interval of 3-5 minutes, although they DO say that she could perhaps have bled for up to 10-15 minutes.
Any way we look at it, Lechmere cannot be taken out of the picture on the blood evidence. Instead, with the 3-5 minute interval, he is the only likely killer - which is why it is good for him that Ingemar Thiblin said that it COULD perhaps be up to 10-15, minutes. It is a possibility, but a less likely one than 3-5 minutes, and the longer the time, the lesser the likelihood.
Once I realize this, and once I know that no other person has been recorded on the site in the minutes preceding Lechmere, I know that I have to look for whether or not there are anomalies involved that should not be there in the ideal case.
In the ideal case, he shoould have told the court that his name was Charles Lechmere. If he did, there would be name issue. But he didnīt.
In the ideal case, the clothing should have revealed all the damage done to Nichols. But it didnīt.
In the ideal case, Mizen and Lechmere should have agreed about the conversation they had. But they didnīt.
In the ideal case, IF the two were to disagree, the story Lechmere told Mizen should at least not be shaped in a way that was 100 per cent consistent with the carman having crafted a lie that was tailormade to take himself past the police. But it was.
In the ideal case, Lechmere should have said "Of course, mate!" when Paul suggested that the two should prop Nichols up. But he didnīt.
In the ideal case, Paul shaould have heard and seen Lechmere walking in front of himself. But he didnīt.
In the ideal case, Lechmere shgould not be a perfect geographical fit for the other murders in the series. But he was. And in this context, it must be pointed out that the fewest look at this matter the way we need to. Most will say "We know he passed through Bucks Row and that he worked at Broad Street, so of course he had to traverse Spitalfields!" And "Of course the murders happened along his road - it was the Whitechapel killer, and he killed in Whitechapel!"
The full truth of the matter is that the murders committed could of course have been committed anywhere in the East End, in Bow, Shadwell, Poplar, Limehouse .. Anywhere!
But they happened in Spitalfields and Whitechapel.
And Lechmere could have worked anywhere in London, taking him in any direction as he left 22 Doveton Street. He would have gone towards Hackney, Mile End, Dalston, Canary Wharf... Anywhere!
But of all the 360 degrees of the scope, he actually walked the very few ones making up Spitalfields.
The match is a perfect one - and it is a statistically very, very narrow choice.
But all of these things, you are ready and willing to put down to sheer coincidence. Because you think he behaved like a good boy at the murder site. Which is EXACTLY what he would do if he wanted to impress upon Paul and the inquest that he was an innocent man.
Itīs always a choice between that is likeliest, Darryl. And we differ a lot when we make that call.
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