Kosminski and Victim DNA Match on Shawl

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  • GUT
    Commissioner
    • Jan 2014
    • 7841

    #1036
    Originally posted by wolfie1 View Post
    I agree with all statements, re most credible suspect is someone named Kosminski, but would still prefer to have additional expert opinions re DNA and Shawl dating and blood and semen samples, not Ripperologists, no offence to those on the boards, a fully referenced and Journaled article connected to an institution of Higher Learning, not amateur detective work and gut feelings of armchair researchers.
    G'day Wolfie

    And good luck with getting that!
    G U T

    There are two ways to be fooled, one is to believe what isn't true, the other is to refuse to believe that which is true.

    Comment

    • Stewart P Evans
      Superintendent
      • Apr 2008
      • 2994

      #1037
      Immediate pursuit...

      Originally posted by MrBarnett View Post
      http://www.oldbaileyonline.org/brows...-689#highlight
      A City PC giving chase to a villain in Lolesworth Street, Spitalfields - surely not. Perhaps the fact the perps lived in Spitalfields but were notorious around Billingsgate in the City had something to do with it.
      MrB
      Immediate pursuit is a different matter.
      SPE

      Treat me gently I'm a newbie.

      Comment

      • lynn cates
        Commisioner
        • Aug 2009
        • 13841

        #1038
        provenance

        Hello Poch.

        "you can hardly dismiss this without at least giving it a flick."

        Sure one can--until a serious provenance of the table runner is provided.

        Cheers.
        LC

        Comment

        • Poch
          Constable
          • Mar 2013
          • 52

          #1039
          Originally posted by paul g View Post
          While everything you say makes some sense and is well put across , the one thing I would point out if I am correct is...

          There is no proof that it is Kominskys DNA , just one in forty thousand.
          If I have got this fact wrong please enlighten me.
          99.2% / 100% match of Kosminski apparently.

          The numbers quoted int he book, which I think you're referring to are of Eddowes DNA. Proportionally, 12 people in london in 1888 would have that match, her ancestor whose DNA they matched it with would have matched with 25 people in London today. The actual figures are not 1/40,000, or even 1/400,000 which have now both been bandied about in this thread, but actually 226/63,750,000. All figures from the book.
          Last edited by Poch; 09-09-2014, 04:36 PM.

          Comment

          • MrBarnett
            *
            • Nov 2013
            • 5672

            #1040
            Originally posted by Stewart P Evans View Post
            Immediate pursuit is a different matter.
            Indeed, but doesn't seem to be the case here.

            MrB

            Comment

            • Amanda Sumner
              Detective
              • Oct 2013
              • 303

              #1041
              Originally posted by GUT View Post
              G'day Amanda

              I see so you're another one that wants to let facts get in the way of a story, oh dear!
              Sorry, Gut, but I say it as it is.
              I like stories too, and as a work of fiction this book might do very well, but factual it is not.

              Amanda

              Comment

              • Amanda Sumner
                Detective
                • Oct 2013
                • 303

                #1042
                Originally posted by Stewart P Evans View Post
                Yes, I know what it is, but what I asked is where did you get the picture you posted from?

                Oh, sorry. I found it on the internet under the work of Frederick Foster and uploaded it onto here.

                Amanda

                Comment

                • GUT
                  Commissioner
                  • Jan 2014
                  • 7841

                  #1043
                  Originally posted by Poch View Post
                  99.2% / 100% match of Kosminski apparently.

                  The numbers quoted int he book, which I think you're referring to are of Eddowes DNA. Proportionally, 12 people in london in 1888 would have that match, her ancestor whose DNA they matched it with would have matched with 25 people in London today. The actual figures are not 1/40,000, or even 1/400,000 which have now both been bandied about in this thread, but actually 226/63,750,000. All figures from the book.
                  So with Kosminski 8 in a 1000, or 8,000 in a million or 80,000 in ten million or 360,000 in 40 million other possible matches.

                  Yep that seals it for moi.
                  G U T

                  There are two ways to be fooled, one is to believe what isn't true, the other is to refuse to believe that which is true.

                  Comment

                  • GUT
                    Commissioner
                    • Jan 2014
                    • 7841

                    #1044
                    Originally posted by Amanda Sumner View Post
                    Sorry, Gut, but I say it as it is.
                    I like stories too, and as a work of fiction this book might do very well, but factual it is not.

                    Amanda
                    Just joking Amanda so many ripper books would make great fiction.
                    G U T

                    There are two ways to be fooled, one is to believe what isn't true, the other is to refuse to believe that which is true.

                    Comment

                    • Stewart P Evans
                      Superintendent
                      • Apr 2008
                      • 2994

                      #1045
                      Surely...

                      Originally posted by MrBarnett View Post
                      Indeed, but doesn't seem to be the case here.
                      MrB
                      Surely he was in the company of a Metropolitan officer (H Divn) and they were watching, and pursuing, offenders. How can this compare with covert surveillance by a group of Metropolitan officers deep in the City?

                      And, you may have noticed in another post, Metropolitan Police Orders listed all officers on special duties or working other divisions. We have all the Police Orders for the period and Amos Simpson does not appear on them.
                      SPE

                      Treat me gently I'm a newbie.

                      Comment

                      • Stewart P Evans
                        Superintendent
                        • Apr 2008
                        • 2994

                        #1046
                        Dna

                        Originally posted by GUT View Post
                        So with Kosminski 8 in a 1000, or 8,000 in a million or 80,000 in ten million or 360,000 in 40 million other possible matches.
                        Yep that seals it for moi.
                        Well, case solved, you can go then.

                        What was stated during the Cornwell DNA tests was that mitochondrial DNA could not be tied into an individual. It would match up with around 400,000 of the population and was not accurate enough for her purposes. Do we have something different here?
                        SPE

                        Treat me gently I'm a newbie.

                        Comment

                        • Observer
                          Assistant Commissioner
                          • Mar 2008
                          • 3177

                          #1047
                          Originally posted by Amanda Sumner View Post
                          Thank you Mr Evans.
                          It is a copy of the original drawing that Frederick Foster drew of Eddowes as she was found before she was taken away to the mortuary. As everyone can see, she had no shawl. No shawl was found among her belongs, neither was a shawl reported as being in the vicinity.

                          Regards,

                          Amanda
                          What if it was taken before the artist executed his sketch?

                          Comment

                          • Stewart P Evans
                            Superintendent
                            • Apr 2008
                            • 2994

                            #1048
                            Wondered

                            Originally posted by Amanda Sumner View Post
                            Oh, sorry. I found it on the internet under the work of Frederick Foster and uploaded it onto here.
                            Amanda
                            I merely wondered as I took the photograph and you hadn't sourced it. No need to apologise.
                            SPE

                            Treat me gently I'm a newbie.

                            Comment

                            • GUT
                              Commissioner
                              • Jan 2014
                              • 7841

                              #1049
                              Originally posted by Stewart P Evans View Post
                              Well, case solved, you can go then.

                              What was stated during the Cornwell DNA tests was that mitochondrial DNA could not be tied into an individual. It would match up with around 400,000 of the population and was not accurate enough for her purposes. Do we have something different here?
                              Looks pretty much the same to me Cornwell said 400,000 99.2% equals 360,000 in 40 million, pretty close.

                              So why would anyone accept it?

                              In case it wasn't obvious

                              Yep that seals it for moi.
                              Was sarcasm.
                              G U T

                              There are two ways to be fooled, one is to believe what isn't true, the other is to refuse to believe that which is true.

                              Comment

                              • GUT
                                Commissioner
                                • Jan 2014
                                • 7841

                                #1050
                                Originally posted by Observer View Post
                                What if it was taken before the artist executed his sketch?
                                By someone who there is no record of having been present, who is alleged to have said that he took it on the way to the mortuary?
                                G U T

                                There are two ways to be fooled, one is to believe what isn't true, the other is to refuse to believe that which is true.

                                Comment

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