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Could we prove any suspect guilty "beyond a reasonable doubt?"

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  • Sherlock Holmes
    replied
    Originally posted by Wyatt Earp View Post
    “Could Bury be convicted in an 1889 courtroom?” and “Could Bury be convicted in a 2015 courtroom?” are separate questions. For example, the “Ellen Bury’s throat wasn’t cut” defense, which is unfortunately still being trotted out today, would be quickly demolished in a 2015 courtroom. You could call Keppel to the stand, he would testify that the MO of a serial killer can change from crime scene to crime scene, and that would be the end of that. On the other hand, I could see an 1889 jury struggling with the absence of a cut throat, and perhaps attaching undue weight to it during deliberations.
    Just because Ms/Mrs Bury's throat was not cut does not mean Bury should not have ended up wearing Devil's Claws and being topped

    For those of you who don't understand what I just said, I said: Just because Ms/Mrs Bury's throat was not cut does not mean Bury should not have ended up wearing prison stripes and being hanged.
    Regards
    Mr Holmes
    Last edited by Sherlock Holmes; 10-14-2015, 03:33 PM.

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  • Wyatt Earp
    replied
    “Could Bury be convicted in an 1889 courtroom?” and “Could Bury be convicted in a 2015 courtroom?” are separate questions. For example, the “Ellen Bury’s throat wasn’t cut” defense, which is unfortunately still being trotted out today, would be quickly demolished in a 2015 courtroom. You could call Keppel to the stand, he would testify that the MO of a serial killer can change from crime scene to crime scene, and that would be the end of that. On the other hand, I could see an 1889 jury struggling with the absence of a cut throat, and perhaps attaching undue weight to it during deliberations.

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  • harry
    replied
    Gut,
    Indeed there is a difference.Unless it has been changed,the common law term,as set out later I believe, in the Judges Rules,was "'considered''.Now I know the Judges rules as such did not come into being until 1912,but case law prevailed.A person could be considered guilty.

    It is relevant to the heading,in my opinion,as we today talk around it.We can consider what is evidence to us,that may not have appeared so in 1888.For instance did Hutchinson lie?,did Cross lie?.Was Kosminki identified?,and we can in our own minds set a value on that evidence.If we believe, would a jury believe.

    You see,I do think,on the balance of probability, that Hutchinson lied.Others that Cross lied.Others that Kosminski was identified,and if all the facts claimed by various authors are true,then a jury might believe as those persons believe,that there is enough evidence.
    Regards.

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  • GUT
    replied
    Originally posted by harry View Post
    Perhaps the first thing that should be noted,is that most everyone comes to a flawed conclusiom.'A person is innocent until proven guilty'. The correct terminology is, A person should be considered innocent until proven guilty,and that state only alludes to the trial.The word ''considered ' means the guilt or innocence is open to argument and discussion.
    There is nothing that pevents a police officer for instance considering a person guilty at any time,indeed one must have a consideration of guilt before a person is placed before a court.We can argue about whether there was enough evidence,or whether such evidence proves guilt beyond a reasonable doubt,in the Ripper killings.
    Might be nit-picking Harry but it is actually "presumed innocent", not "considered innocent" there is a subtle difference..

    And I thought the issue was "Is there enough evidence to get a conviction on the criminal standard of proof."

    Personally I don't think there is even enough on the Balance of Probabilities.

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  • harry
    replied
    Perhaps the first thing that should be noted,is that most everyone comes to a flawed conclusiom.'A person is innocent until proven guilty'. The correct terminology is, A person should be considered innocent until proven guilty,and that state only alludes to the trial.The word ''considered ' means the guilt or innocence is open to argument and discussion.
    There is nothing that pevents a police officer for instance considering a person guilty at any time,indeed one must have a consideration of guilt before a person is placed before a court.We can argue about whether there was enough evidence,or whether such evidence proves guilt beyond a reasonable doubt,in the Ripper killings.

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  • GUT
    replied
    Originally posted by Wyatt Earp View Post
    Would also apply to lawyers who give a “no” on the convictability question—are they working for the Ostrog faction??


    Yep.

    A true expert should be impartial, but many aren't.

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  • Wyatt Earp
    replied
    Originally posted by GUT View Post
    and [the skeptic in me says] who is paying him.
    Would also apply to lawyers who give a “no” on the convictability question—are they working for the Ostrog faction??

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  • GUT
    replied
    BTW I'm not saying that prosecution would have "no chance" just cautioning about relying on "a lawyer said a prosecution would have good prospects".

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  • GUT
    replied
    Originally posted by Wyatt Earp View Post
    Abby, I would reply by saying that the people best qualified to assess the strength of the criminal case against Bury are not you or I, but the people who have current or past experience within the legal system—like the lawyer who communicated with Beadle. In his view—which may be no more than a preliminary assessment—there is not only enough circumstantial evidence to convict Bury, but that a prosecution of him would have “every chance of success.” If Bury is convictable—and it would obviously take more than one legal opinion to establish that—then that is significant.
    But didn't someone else say the same about Crossmere and without looking to find names I've seen similar about other suspects over the years.

    My other warning is that it may depend on how serious our expert is taking his task, what info he is actually given and [the skeptic in me says] who is paying him.

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  • Wyatt Earp
    replied
    Originally posted by Abby Normal View Post
    Hi wyatt
    with all due respect-I know circumstantial evidence alone can convict someone, but even the circumstantial evidence againt bury is so weak that I don't think a prosecutor, even back then, would have even tried.

    and this coming from someone who thinks Bury is one of the better candidates for the ripper.
    Abby, I would reply by saying that the people best qualified to assess the strength of the criminal case against Bury are not you or I, but the people who have current or past experience within the legal system—like the lawyer who communicated with Beadle. In his view—which may be no more than a preliminary assessment—there is not only enough circumstantial evidence to convict Bury, but that a prosecution of him would have “every chance of success.” If Bury is convictable—and it would obviously take more than one legal opinion to establish that—then that is significant.

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  • Wyatt Earp
    replied
    Originally posted by GUT View Post
    Wyatt

    I don't think that I know a Barrister who hasn't at one stage or another got it wrong when they predicted the outcome of a case, that's why most don't try and call it with anything like certainty. I know that there have been plenty of times when cases I was running ended up with radically different results than I expected, sometimes better sometimes worse.

    And when they aren't presented with all the facts it is less than worthless.
    GUT, thank you for your view. Some good cautionary notes there.

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  • Abby Normal
    replied
    Originally posted by Wyatt Earp View Post
    Raven, this is from William Beadle’s dissertation here on Casebook:

    “According to a Dundee lawyer who reviewed the case against him which I outlined in the Mammoth Book of Jack the Ripper:

    ‘Based on the evidence presented here, a Crown Prosecution of William Bury for the Ripper murders would have had every chance of success.’”

    So in the opinion of at least one lawyer, one of the suspects here could indeed be proven guilty beyond a reasonable doubt of the Ripper murders.
    Hi wyatt
    with all due respect-I know circumstantial evidence alone can convict someone, but even the circumstantial evidence againt bury is so weak that I don't think a prosecutor, even back then, would have even tried.

    and this coming from someone who thinks Bury is one of the better candidates for the ripper.

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  • GUT
    replied
    Originally posted by Wyatt Earp View Post
    It looks like we have a second opinion, lol.
    Wyatt

    I don't think that I know a Barrister who hasn't at one stage or another got it wrong when they predicted the outcome of a case, that's why most don't try and call it with anything like certainty. I know that there have been plenty of times when cases I was running ended up with radically different results than I expected, sometimes better sometimes worse.

    And when they aren't presented with all the facts it is less than worthless.

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  • Wyatt Earp
    replied
    Originally posted by John G View Post
    Hello Wyatt,

    Do you agree that Bury could have been responsible for Rose Mylett's murder? According to William Beadle Clarke's Yard was just a few minutes walk from Spanby Road. And, of course, she had been strangled, just as Ellen Bury had.
    John, I haven't carefully studied the Mylett murder and don't have an opinion on it.

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  • Wyatt Earp
    replied
    Originally posted by GUT View Post
    G'day Wyatt


    And what does one lawyers opinion mean.

    Nothing.
    It looks like we have a second opinion, lol.

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