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Broad Shoulders, Elizabeth's Killer ?

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  • Lewis C
    replied
    Originally posted by Herlock Sholmes View Post

    We have Inspector Abberline still talking of Schwartz as a valid witness at the beginning of November! Was he just talking out of his backside? This tells us all that we need to know without looking between any lines. Swanson isn’t being mysterious or dropping hints he’s stating something clear and straightforward without the need of implying an added ‘if.’ “If Schwartz is to be trusted, and the evidence leaves us with no doubt…” ie “Therefore we believe that Schwartz can be trusted.” No talk of ‘let’s wait and see,’ or ‘maybe more evidence will arise.’ This is 3 weeks after the murder. The investigation is done…what else can they expect to find unless someone comes forward with previously unheard information? Swanson is talking of the moment, after 3 weeks of investigation. The police have arrived at their conclusion and their conclusion is that Schwartz was telling the truth (as he clearly was.)


    This is all very simple and requires no complications. Schwartz saw an incident. Not a single, smidgeon of doubt can be placed against him.

    Can anyone give me a valid reason why Schwartz would have lied without veering off into conspiracy land?
    Hi Herlock,

    IIRC, you recently mentioned it as a possibility that the Schwartz incident occurred considerably earlier that Schwartz said. I have said that I think Swanson's statement shows he has a least a little bit of doubt, and maybe it's doubt of this nature. As Jeff pointed out, the main point of Swanson's statement was to say that BS man was more likely than Parcelman to be Stride's killer. If that's what he's talking about, then the time of Schwartz incident is important. If it happened considerably earlier than Schwartz thought, then Parcelman would have been with Stride after BS man was, and in that case Parcelman would be the more likely killer. So if Swanson had doubt, it may have been mostly about the time Schwartz gave rather than about whether the incident happened.

    Leave a comment:


  • Lewis C
    replied
    Originally posted by The Rookie Detective View Post

    Lechmere is very much a case of "The boy who cried wolf" in that it's now immensely difficult to question the likes of Schwartz, because of the superficial impact that Lechmere has had on the case.


    I think that the police had Schwartz as their number 1 witness from the moment he gave his statement, and that this continued to be the case for some time....until the uncertainties surrounding Schwartz's account began to come to the forefront, because not a single word he said could be proven, verified or corroborated.

    Not a single word.
    Hi RD,

    Schwartz' account was unverified and uncorroborated from the beginning, it didn't become that way later on, so I don't see that as a reason for the police to have more doubt later than they had had previously.

    Leave a comment:


  • Herlock Sholmes
    replied
    Looking at Schwartz.

    I’d start with the fact that the majority of witnesses are honest (if occasionally mistaken) I’d also suggest that when witnesses are found to have lied their motive for doing so is usually fairly obvious; no convoluted plots - because they were somewhere they shouldn’t have been, because they were trying to protect someone, because they were up to something. They had a vested interest in lying. Although motives aren’t usually discovered until later we know that we have no known motive for Schwartz to have lied, even just about why he was in Berner Street that night. We don’t know if the police followed up on his story of checking to see if their house move had occurred but they could have.

    Every attempt to accuse Schwartz of lying requires speculation and imagination, but these are things that you can apply to almost any witness. ‘Extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence.’ The claim that a man placed himself at the scene of a knife murder when he wasn’t there, in the middle of a series of murders with the public baying for blood, and with no one to back him up in any claim not to have been the murderer, is the most extraordinary of claims. So what is our extraordinary evidence? No one saw the incident. Yes, at 12.45am in a dimly lit, empty backstreet. No one heard it. Yes, with no one else outside and with the woman not making any great noise. That’s it. That’s the evidence against Schwartz which justifies a claim that he wasn’t there. Would anyone dare to call it extraordinary? What about strong? Reasonably strong? Fair? I’d use ‘feeble.’ Or ‘non-existent.’

    What about a claim that he was there and up to no good? Simple question - why bother placing himself at the scene. Just keep quiet. No one could place him there.

    None of this holds water. None of it justifies all of these contortions and limbo dancing under the evidence just to try and demonise one witness. View the evidence as it’s presented to us. Nothing about the story that we have of what occurred that night raises as much as an eyebrow from me. I’m not remotely suspicious or concerned that there was something occurring that we haven’t noticed.

    Only one important question remains. Who killed Elizabeth Stride?

    Leave a comment:


  • Herlock Sholmes
    replied
    Originally posted by The Rookie Detective View Post

    Lechmere is very much a case of "The boy who cried wolf" in that it's now immensely difficult to question the likes of Schwartz, because of the superficial impact that Lechmere has had on the case.


    I think that the police had Schwartz as their number 1 witness from the moment he gave his statement, and that this continued to be the case for some time....until the uncertainties surrounding Schwartz's account began to come to the forefront, because not a single word he said could be proven, verified or corroborated.

    Not a single word.
    We have Inspector Abberline still talking of Schwartz as a valid witness at the beginning of November! Was he just talking out of his backside? This tells us all that we need to know without looking between any lines. Swanson isn’t being mysterious or dropping hints he’s stating something clear and straightforward without the need of implying an added ‘if.’ “If Schwartz is to be trusted, and the evidence leaves us with no doubt…” ie “Therefore we believe that Schwartz can be trusted.” No talk of ‘let’s wait and see,’ or ‘maybe more evidence will arise.’ This is 3 weeks after the murder. The investigation is done…what else can they expect to find unless someone comes forward with previously unheard information? Swanson is talking of the moment, after 3 weeks of investigation. The police have arrived at their conclusion and their conclusion is that Schwartz was telling the truth (as he clearly was.)


    This is all very simple and requires no complications. Schwartz saw an incident. Not a single, smidgeon of doubt can be placed against him.

    Can anyone give me a valid reason why Schwartz would have lied without veering off into conspiracy land?

    Leave a comment:


  • The Rookie Detective
    replied
    Originally posted by Herlock Sholmes View Post

    There were no doubts by the time that Swanson wrote his summary.

    No doubts from an official police perspective at the time, but Swanson himself is seemingly unconvinced; hence his opening line.

    If there were ever doubts then it makes more sense that these ‘doubts’ occurred early on until the evidence gleaned from the ongoing investigation showed that he was telling the truth.

    On the contrary. It seems that the complete opposite is the case, and doubt was very much present when Swanson wrote his summary; but NOT in an "official" sense. Swanson isn't questioning anything; he's instead making a subtle statement. It's therefore not a question of self-doubt from Swanson's perspective, but rather a way of planting his personal belief into the mix without questioning the official police line.

    I think that, to the ‘crusade against Charles Cross’ we can add a ‘crusade against Israel Schwartz.’
    Lechmere is very much a case of "The boy who cried wolf" in that it's now immensely difficult to question the likes of Schwartz, because of the superficial impact that Lechmere has had on the case.


    I think that the police had Schwartz as their number 1 witness from the moment he gave his statement, and that this continued to be the case for some time....until the uncertainties surrounding Schwartz's account began to come to the forefront, because not a single word he said could be proven, verified or corroborated.

    Not a single word.

    Leave a comment:


  • Herlock Sholmes
    replied
    Originally posted by NotBlamedForNothing View Post

    So, the doubts must refer to existing evidence, although the identification of Pipeman might have changed thinking, had it ever occurred. Your phrase "their current way of thinking" suggests you understand the Met police to have been a monolithic entity, with no significant differences of opinion, within.



    The Star chose to publish this "tittle-tattle", effectively undermining their own scoop of the previous day. Why would they? A hypothetical equivalent would have been the Evening News publishing this:

    In the matter of the fruiterer who said he sold grapes to a male companion of the deceased woman, the Leman St police have reason to doubt the truth of the story.



    This does not explain why the sentence appears in the report, nor why we don't see a similar sentence for other witnesses. It is Schwartz and Schwartz alone, who merits a disclaimer.
    There were no doubts by the time that Swanson wrote his summary. That’s why he said just that. Swanson would have conferred with officers like Abberline who would the papers have conferred with for their ‘Leman Street’? Probably Officer Bloggs who was willing prepared to say anything for a bit of beer money. Where are the ‘doubts’ about Schwartz in his November 1st letter? He has forgotten to mention them even in an internal police report.

    If there were ever doubts then it makes more sense that these ‘doubts’ occurred early on until the evidence gleaned from the ongoing investigation showed that he was telling the truth.

    I think that, to the ‘crusade against Charles Cross’ we can add a ‘crusade against Israel Schwartz.’

    Leave a comment:


  • The Rookie Detective
    replied
    "If Schwartz is to be believed"...


    There are 3 separate sections to the syntax of this statement that warrant assessment.

    Firstly, the word "If"

    Well, there is no question mark present and so Swanson is not asking a direct question. At face value this would suggest that Swanson is making a statement rather than being inquisitive.

    However, when we add the next part; "is to be"...we have some context for the initial word "If"
    This part of the phrase highlights and concerns timing.

    The phrase "is to be" implies that at the point of writing, Swanson is suggesting that there is currently is some uncertainty, because he refers to a potential future event that has not yet transpired.

    And when we then add the word "believed" the implication is that Swanson is highlighting a potential issue with truth and not Schwartz's interpretation of events.


    Of course, when we add the following sentence referring to the police report having no doubt, it acts as a perfect counterbalance to what Swanson is saying.

    it's a clever way for Swanson to acknowledge that there's no doubt in what Schwartz is saying from an official police perspective, with a drop of scepticism that aims to highlight that there is still belief to be found and therefore hint that Swanson himself has doubts.

    He merges his professional and personal opinions in the first 2 sentences, but in such a subtle way that it does just enough to raise an eyebrow, but is careful enough to not rock the boat.


    "If Schwartz is to be believed" comes from a personal opinion that something doesn't sit right, but is then followed with a sentence that confirms that the police report and statement given by Schwartz at the time of writing have no doubt in Schwartz. This serves to highlight the official police line at the time.

    It would seem that Schwartz was believed initially, and at the time Swanton wrote what he did, the police STILL had no doubt...OFFICIALLY.

    But somewhere at the 11th hour, something went wrong for Schwartz, and the man who should have been the prime witness ends up not even attending the inquest and ultimately dissappears from history; like he never existed in the first place.

    Perhaps he was given a change of identity to protect him and his family?

    Unlikely, seeing as Schwartz is an enigma PRIOR to the murder also.


    In summary, it is clear that the police took Schwartz seriously and had no doubt in him, even up to the point that Swanson wrote what he did...

    ...but Swanson himself clearly has some doubt because he begins with the phrase "If Schwartz is to be believed..."

    That phrase is Swanson's way of telling us there is something wrong in his own personal belief in Schwartz, but that not to the extent that he's prepared to go in opposition to the official police line at the time of writing.

    He is perhaps the window into the world of Schwrartz and gives us some reasoning; albeit subjective, that he personally doesn't believe Schwartz.

    It would be interesting to see if the official belief in Schwartz changed as a result of what Swanson wrote.

    If the timing fits, then I would suggest it was Swanson himself who threw the spanner in the works and managed to cast doubt in Schwartz from an official perspective.

    Leave a comment:


  • Lewis C
    replied
    My read is that the phrase "If Schwartz is to be believed" expresses some doubt on Swanson's part, but the rest of the passage indicates that he doesn't have very much doubt. So he's allowing for the possibility that Schwartz isn't to be believed, but he thinks it's far more likely that Schwartz is to be believed. As Jeff mentioned, the rest of his statement isn't what I'd expect him to have said if he thought Schwartz wasn't to be believed. I don't think there's an implied second "if". To say that "the police report of his statement casts no doubt upon it" is not to say that the police report makes Schwartz' account a certainty.

    Leave a comment:


  • NotBlamedForNothing
    replied
    ...on turning into Berner St. from Commercial Road & having got as far as the gateway where the murder was committed he saw a man stop & speak to a woman, who was standing in the gateway.

    I've always found the bold bit interesting and note that believers in Schwartz generally ignore it or reject it. Not only do only these words suggest that Schwartz claimed to have watched the abuse of the woman from very close range, but it also becomes significant when we read that Schwartz subsequently crossed the road. That is because almost all if not all of the residences on Berner St, south of the gateway, were on the west side, that is, club side. So, why cross if he has already reached the gateway? Wasn't Schwartz walking down Berner St to see if his wife had completed the expected move of address while he had been out all day and half the night?

    ​I wonder if it were actually the second man (Pipeman) who did the crossing of the road toward the gateway, where Schwartz still stood, having been signalled by the first man (BS). That would be closer to what we see in the Star account, where the two men are communicating, and the second man comes at Schwartz in a menacing manner. Had Schwartz been the one to cross the road and begin to walk away, he is no threat, and it would be best to let him go. Yet, that does not seem to be the case. Either he was pursued, or we have to imagine that our casual pipe smoker got so scared at the first man calling him a name, that he ran off. The problem with that scenario, aside from its believability, is that to flee in Schwartz's direction implies that he starts from a position north of Schwartz (closer to Commercial Rd) and thus moves closer to the man he is supposedly fleeing. The flight or fight response should have him fleeing to the north.

    I don't think we can rely on Schwartz for the complete story. Swanson's "If Schwartz is to be believed", reflects a caution in relying on an uncorroborated witness.

    Leave a comment:


  • Abby Normal
    replied
    Originally posted by NotBlamedForNothing View Post

    Whereas I think you're ignoring evidence to protect the reputation of Israel Schwartz, and thus your peaked cap man theory.
    no im ignoring made up evidence lol

    Leave a comment:


  • NotBlamedForNothing
    replied
    Originally posted by Herlock Sholmes View Post

    Swanson’s summary was written three weeks after the murder. Therefore Swanson, and the police in general, were surely way past the point where they might reasonably have expected new evidence to emerge which would throw doubt onto their current way of thinking?
    So, the doubts must refer to existing evidence, although the identification of Pipeman might have changed thinking, had it ever occurred. Your phrase "their current way of thinking" suggests you understand the Met police to have been a monolithic entity, with no significant differences of opinion, within.

    The current way of thinking was that Schwartz was telling the truth. I don’t think that the police ever had any real doubts about Schwartz. The Leman Street stuff was just Press/police officer tittle-tattle. Why would they? There is nothing remotely unbelievable about his statement unless you suspect ‘sinister forces’ were at work.
    The Star chose to publish this "tittle-tattle", effectively undermining their own scoop of the previous day. Why would they? A hypothetical equivalent would have been the Evening News publishing this:

    In the matter of the fruiterer who said he sold grapes to a male companion of the deceased woman, the Leman St police have reason to doubt the truth of the story.

    I think Schwartz was saying” if Schwartz evidence is to be believed and all of the evidence so far tells us that it should be…”
    This does not explain why the sentence appears in the report, nor why we don't see a similar sentence for other witnesses. It is Schwartz and Schwartz alone, who merits a disclaimer.

    Leave a comment:


  • NotBlamedForNothing
    replied
    Originally posted by Abby Normal View Post

    Bingo herlock . I think people create mysteries where none is needed, whether that’s because they’re trying to fit the evidence to a favored suspect or find a conspiracy in any little thing .
    Whereas I think you're ignoring evidence to protect the reputation of Israel Schwartz, and thus your peaked cap man theory.

    Leave a comment:


  • NotBlamedForNothing
    replied
    Originally posted by The Rookie Detective View Post

    I believe the statement was meant to read like this...

    "If Schwartz is to be believed; and the police report of his statement casts no doubt upon it"...

    So the wording is exactly the same, but the difference is the use of a semicolon instead of a comma.

    If one reads the statement with a semicolon, the context becomes clear and there's no need to add or change the wording.

    With a semicolon, it indicates that the writer is clarifying that the police statement casts no doubt upon the authenticity of Schwartz's account, but that they themselves have a doubt because they begin by using the word "If"
    It's a way of appearing to keep an open mind, but also using subtle psychology to indicate that there is a doubt about Schwartz despite the initial police report having no doubt.
    A nice way of laying a seed of doubt.
    I agree with your conclusion; but I don't think the semicolon makes much difference.

    Considering the part immediately after the punctuation, what do you suppose the police report consists of, other than Abberline's interview notes? Having not found either the 1st or 2nd man, nor any witness to back up Schwartz's story, how would the police report have cast no doubt on Schwartz?

    This to me sounds as though the police began by believing Schwartz, and they had no doubt he was telling the truth...but then something changed and the use of the word "If" is perhaps the seed that highlights that doubt and change.
    As the 'doubts' report in the Star appears so soon after the murder, we might suppose that doubts arose as soon as the police realised that Schwartz's initial statement did not match what he told Abberline. What else could be the reason? If the doubts hinted at by Swanson related to not finding important witnesses such as Pipeman, these doubts would be reflected in the police report, would they not?

    The wording of the phrase "If Schwartz is to be believed..." is also interesting because the word "believed" indicates there's a question concerning the truth of Schwartz's statement.

    Rather than say...

    "If Schwartz is accurate..."
    or
    "If Schwartz is correct..."

    These would then indicate a question over Schwartz's accuracy of what occurred; ergo, it wouldn't be a question of believing or truth, but rather a question of interpretation.

    But because the phrase " If Schwartz is to be believed..."

    The combination of the words "If" and "believed" at the beginning and end of the first sentence prior to any other grammar, is suggestive that the person who wrote the phrase did not believe Schwartz was telling the truth, reagrdless of the police report that did believe him in the first instance.
    I think this is correct. If no doubts existing in Swanson's mind or in the minds of any important policemen, the sentence would not begin as it does - Swanson would just go immediately to describing what Schwartz had witnessed. Swanson's choice of words conveys important information that we can either accept or ignore.

    Leave a comment:


  • JeffHamm
    replied
    Originally posted by c.d. View Post
    Hi Jeff,

    We are in agreement. Of course, we have no other option but to speculate as we cannot speak to Swanson. My post was simply a cautionary one as I have seen the reasoning on this thread evolve from I think this is what he meant to in all likelihood this is what he probably meant to this is what he meant there can be no other interpretation. No matter how well supported the conclusion is we cannot turn speculation into fact.

    That is all I am saying.

    c.d.

    P.S. Next up Mona Lisa's smile.
    Hi c.d.,
    I figured as much, but could see it being misinterpreted as allowing a free for all (everything is speculation so anything is as good as anything else) or even the other extreme (it is all speculation so no point in trying). So while I expected neither of those were your intent, and being able to seek clarification, I thought it best to to do so.

    - Jeff

    PS: As for my delving into semantic analyses, I hope it is clear that I am just presenting why I think the conclusion I offer is justified, and not that I am claiming my conclusion is fact. I don't claim to speak for Swanson, only explaining my interpretation of what I think he meant.
    Last edited by JeffHamm; 11-18-2024, 11:43 PM.

    Leave a comment:


  • c.d.
    replied
    Hi Jeff,

    We are in agreement. Of course, we have no other option but to speculate as we cannot speak to Swanson. My post was simply a cautionary one as I have seen the reasoning on this thread evolve from I think this is what he meant to in all likelihood this is what he probably meant to this is what he meant there can be no other interpretation. No matter how well supported the conclusion is we cannot turn speculation into fact.

    That is all I am saying.

    c.d.

    P.S. Next up Mona Lisa's smile.

    Leave a comment:

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