Originally posted by Trevor Marriott
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When posters like Jeff, Sam, myself and others look at “what if’s’” “maybe’s” and “perhapses” we are simply trying to weigh up alternatives. Of course we cannot be certain of events that occurred 130 years ago and so we attempt to gauge likelihoods. If we dismissed every aspect of the case where there is doubt or conflict or error the boards would fall silent.
We aren’t trying to show anything really. The evidence of authorities tell us that Phillips TOD was unsafe to rely on but, as you said, this in itself doesn’t mean that he couldn’t have been correct. And so we are left with three witnesses to evaluate, all of whom point to a later time of death but of course one doesn’t tally up time wise. So we have three witnesses who all have to have been mistaken or lying for an earlier TOD. I’d say that even the odds are against this. Not impossible of course but a large majority of posters appear to go with the witnesses over the Doctor so far.
And when you talk of “what if’s” isn’t that exactly what you are doing with Cadosch? What if the ‘no’ came from elsewhere? What if the noise was something else? Or Fish with Richardson, what if the door obscured the body. And what if he didn’t realise this?
Or perhaps Phillips was lucky and got it right? Or maybe Chandler was correct and Richardson didn’t mention sitting on the steps? It works both ways so we try to evaluate and thats what we are doing. I see nothing wrong with that.
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