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Previous Assaults on Liz

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  • #76
    az writes:
    "All posts 'suddenly' surface with no more or less warning than any other."

    generally speaking, you are right, Caz. But surely, when you are having a conversation with a friend of yours, asking him how he´s been keeping, surely you are hoping for him to come up with an answer kind of, you know...immediatly?
    Anyways, you most certainly are not posting against any rules, and I have not suggested that either. If you feel that answering questions is something that is improved by letting them hang in cyberspace for a few weeks time, who am I to say that it obstructs the flow of the discussion?

    "There’s nothing like using real events to show that violent offenders can and do behave in certain ways, despite the most enthusiastic arguments to the contrary"

    Mmmm, Caz. Problem is, when it can also be offered that people have lost their lives to others than serial killers, even in areas frequented by such creatures, we are left with pretty little evidencewise. Nothing, to be exact.

    "My main objection was to your argument that if only Liz had been killed nobody would imagine a serial killer was at large. It’s circular and meaningless because it relies on Liz not being one of a series. You could say exactly the same about Mary Kelly, or any of the other victims"

    Well, Caz, let´s rephrase it then: If Stride had not fallen prey to whomever it was during that special time, her demise would have gone lost in the river of time looong ago, whereas the Kelly case would always attract a long-lasting interest. Stride´s killing was never something that went beyond the business-as-usual-manual, as far as murders go. Kelly belongs to another league, wouldn´t you say. And that is where I end up saying that the one and only reason for the lasting interest in the business-as-usual-murder that Stride represented, lies in the fact that it has been (mis-)attributed to Jack for all these years.

    "it’s a fact as plain as the nose on my face"
    Could you be more specific, Caz? Can´t recall having seen that nose of yours.

    "What are you going to gain from seeking to exclude a crime that he has at least shown himself capable of committing?"

    Nothing. Nor have I suggested it. What I dislike is the fact that a murder that has precious little in common with the others of a series goes under the name of "canonical".
    And it always must be appreciated that common features are a better way to look for a killer than differences. Chapman could kill, admittedly. That don´t stop me from stating that believing in him as the Ripper sends me into paroxysms of laughter.

    "If you think Liz’s knife wound by itself is ‘enough’ for me, or that I have ever claimed it must have been Jack’s work, you have simply not been reading carefully enough to inspire me with great confidence in your ability to weigh up evidence."

    ..and if you have not noticed that I do not rule Jack out as a possible killer of Stride, you belong to the self same league, Caz. He is, however NOT a very likely killer in the case, and THAT is what I am saying. If I was to speak in percentages, I would say that I weigh it at about 80-20 or 85-15 in favour of Jack NOT being Liz´killer.

    On your bit on Kürten, I have been read up on this story and the details you mention for more than twenty years, Caz. Now that you feel the need to use it to prove that Jack chased BS man away and took over, I can only offer this ingenous passage:
    "You can introduce as many other potential knife-wielders or trigger-happy gunmen as you like and use them to explain individual unsolved crimes. But it helps if you have a good reason to take the known serial offender who was active at the time out of the equation first. "

    Which is exactly what I am doing, Caz: using good reasons to take that serial killer out of the equation, since he does in all probability not belong there in the first place.

    The best!
    Fisherman
    Last edited by Fisherman; 09-05-2008, 08:16 PM.

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    • #77
      Hi Fisherman,

      If you believe that Jack killed Kate, does that not put him a mere mile and a half away that same night. Certainly a walkable distance.

      c.d.

      Comment


      • #78
        Sorry, c.d., but I´m not sure what you are getting at here?

        I do believe that Jack killed Kate. And I do believe that the distance between Berner Street and Mitre Square is very walkable - it was the last time I tried!

        Don´t think that Jack did that particular walk that particular night, though.

        The best, c.d.

        Fisherman

        Comment


        • #79
          Sorry, Fisherman, my post was not clear. I can see arguments for both Jack and the BS man being Mary's killer. And certainly there are un-Jack like aspects to Liz's murder. But what I absolutely cannot understand is the position taken by some in the anti-Jack crowd that for Jack to appear at Dutfields Yard is akin to having him jet in from Argentina when he was, it appears, only a short, walkable distance away.

          c.d.

          Comment


          • #80
            C.d. writes:
            "what I absolutely cannot understand is the position taken by some in the anti-Jack crowd that for Jack to appear at Dutfields Yard is akin to having him jet in from Argentina when he was, it appears, only a short, walkable distance away."

            No arguing there, c.d. In fact, no matter what victim he had picked after Stride (theoretically), be that Nichols, Chapman, Eddowes or Kelly, the area is such a restricted one that he could probably have reached it all in time. To argue against that would be stupid.

            The best, c.d!
            Fisherman

            Comment


            • #81
              Hi Fisherman,

              I must learn not to write in haste. What I was implying was that if Jack was but a mile and a half away later that evening when he killed Kate, is it so hard to imagine him earlier at Dutfields Yard? I am tlking strictly in terms of time and distance.

              Hope this one is a little bit more clear. It has been a long week.

              c.d.

              Comment


              • #82
                Originally posted by Fisherman View Post

                But surely, when you are having a conversation with a friend of yours, asking him how he´s been keeping, surely you are hoping for him to come up with an answer kind of, you know...immediatly?
                Anyways, you most certainly are not posting against any rules, and I have not suggested that either. If you feel that answering questions is something that is improved by letting them hang in cyberspace for a few weeks time, who am I to say that it obstructs the flow of the discussion?
                Hi Fisherman,

                Are you doing this to see if you can make me a bit cross? It won’t work you know. I told you that the delay in getting back to threads to read the latest posts and add any comments is ‘not some deliberate debating tactic’ but due to personal time constraints, and actually puts me at a disadvantage. So why make it sound like I’m deliberately ignoring a friend in mid conversation who has just asked how I have been keeping? That’s patently absurd. This is a message board and people come and go and contribute if they feel like it as their spare time permits. If you don’t immediately respond to this I promise not to take umbrage because I won’t know until I get a chance to return myself.

                Did I say anything to give you the impression that questions are best left hanging for weeks before addressing? No, I said the exact opposite: ‘I usually have to wade through so many posts in order to challenge anything, and it would obviously be more effective to do so straight away, rather than weeks after the original post appeared.’

                And you had the cheek to suggest elsewhere that I was misrepresenting what you had written. In any case, I don’t see how it can obstruct the flow of a discussion by adding a few observations a few days or weeks after the last person posted to it. If a discussion is ongoing when I enter it, I’m certainly not the only poster who has ever referred back to some unresolved issue within that discussion. What issues are ever resolved anyway?

                You may be right about the Kelly case belonging to another league and attracting a long-lasting interest whether or not there had been a Jack around to shoulder the blame. But I suspect Glenn would have to beg to differ, since I am always reminded of his claim to have seen plenty of one-off murders that were even more horrific in nature, that have attracted so little interest that only he appears to know about them. A league of their own to be sure.

                I agree that ‘it always must be appreciated that common features are a better way to look for a killer than differences’. So why don’t you follow that advice instead of chucking out all the common features and allowing yourself to be seduced by the differences that can make fools of us all?

                I have noticed that you do not rule Jack out as Liz’s killer, which is why I was careful to ask what you would gain from seeking to exclude a crime that he was obviously capable of committing, and didn’t say you had excluded it. Again, you could benefit from reading with a bit more care before jumping in to accuse me of belonging to ‘the self same league’. So actually it does pay not to respond too quickly without checking that what you are about to post is both accurate and fair. It's not very courteous when I have taken the time to word things carefully and you don't take a blind bit of notice.

                Similarly I was not offering Kurten’s example to prove that Jack chased BS away. I thought it was obvious that I was using Kurten to support Claire’s observation that predators can and do exploit situations where a potential victim has just been left particularly vulnerable. It’s not the hugely unlikely scenario a handful of posters apparently thought it was. I’m not including you in that handful because if you already knew that Kurten played the role of a Jack rescuing a Liz from a BS then you knew the possibility was there but didn't think it worth mentioning.

                I’m afraid I have not yet seen you come up with one reason that I would consider ‘good’ to take Jack away from Berner Street. You can keep stating that ‘in all probability’ Jack doesn’t belong there, but you haven’t made a convincing case for him not belonging there, or for a different throat-cutting assassin belonging there more.

                I’m just happy if I can provide some extra food for thought. You don’t have to suck it and see, but I always think there’s something a bit unhealthy about fussy eaters.

                Love,

                Caz
                X
                Last edited by caz; 09-06-2008, 02:48 AM.
                "Comedy is simply a funny way of being serious." Peter Ustinov


                Comment


                • #83
                  Hi Caz!

                  A bit touchy, are we? No need, to, I assure you. If I say that I´m fine with you posting away at whatever intervals you choose to, then that´s because I mean it.

                  "I’m afraid I have not yet seen you come up with one reason that I would consider ‘good’ to take Jack away from Berner Street. "

                  Of course I haven´t, Caz. But my interpretation of it is that the reason for this is that you have chosen not to give a damn about the evidence involved. It is hard to squeeze blood out of a stone.

                  What I lean against is probabilities, Caz. Statistical probabilities in many cases. These tell me that:

                  -It is much more probable that Jack was NOT in Berner Street that evening. There are thousands of streets to choose from, and he picked more northern venues at all other occasions.
                  -It would be much more probable that he cut Strides neck to the bone if it was him, than producing a comparatively shallower cut. He did so att ALL other canonical occasions.
                  -It would be much more probable to find Stride on her back than on her side, if it was Jack. The canonical victims were all found on their backs - but for Stride.
                  -It is much more probable that he would have had the time to inflict mutilation damages than not, if it was the Ripper. He did so with all the rest.
                  -It would be more probable for Jack to kill north of Whitechapel High Street if it was Jack. He did in all other cases.
                  -It is much more common for a serial killer to kill one victim per night than two, or more. Sometimes that rule does not apply, but we are well over ninety percent of one-offs normally.
                  -It is much more probable that a woman who is subjected to violence by a man ten minutes before she dies, is actually killed by that man, than it is to believe that another man with violence on his mind appears at the stage.
                  -It is more probable to expect that a man who kills two victims, moving from east to west along the streets, PROCEEDS to the west after his second slaying.

                  Caz, in all these cases it can be argued that it could have gone against statistics, just like you say. Jack COULD have been in Berner Street. He COULD have chosen a shallower cut. He COULD have decided to leave her on her side. He COULD have abandoned the idea of mutilation for some reason. He COULD have opted for a kill south of Whitechapel High Street. He COULD have gone for two victims. He COULD have barged in after BS man. He COULD have doubled back after the second killing.

                  But Caz, surely you must realize that anybody who argues for Jack as Strides killer, is at a statistical disadvantage at each of these crucial points? If you don´t agree, you are welcome to argue your case and point out where I would be wrong. It will be a tough call, though!

                  Good to hear that you have picked up on the fact that I keep a door open for Jack, though. What about you? Do you keep a door open for somebody else, and could you venture a percentage that goes to show of what mindset you are?

                  The best, Caz!

                  Fisherman

                  Comment


                  • #84
                    C.d writes:

                    "What I was implying was that if Jack was but a mile and a half away later that evening when he killed Kate, is it so hard to imagine him earlier at Dutfields Yard? I am talking strictly in terms of time and distance."

                    Strictly in terms of time and distance, no, c.d; I have no trouble at all stating that reaching Mitre Square from Berner Street in the time given poses no problems at all. I fail to see that anybody in the history of Ripperology has ever pushed the point that the time would not have been sufficient. Nor do I.

                    The best, c.d.
                    Fisherman

                    Comment


                    • #85
                      I agree, I see no problems with the time and distance factors either and can't see how anyone could. It is perfectly reasonable. After all, Lawende's sighting of Eddowes (most likely) and the man with the red neckerchief occurred 30 minutes after Stride's body was discovered so if the Ripper killed Stride he had plenty of time to reach Duke Street/Church Passage.

                      All the best
                      The Swedes are the Men that Will not Be Blamed for Nothing

                      Comment


                      • #86
                        Originally posted by Glenn Lauritz Andersson View Post
                        I agree, I see no problems with the time and distance factors either and can't see how anyone could.
                        Indeed, Glenn - although those 30+ minutes between the murders need to be accounted for somehow. That's a fairly long time for a killer to be hanging around knowing that he had committed another murder a comparatively short distance away.
                        Kind regards, Sam Flynn

                        "Suche Nullen" (Nietzsche, Götzendämmerung, 1888)

                        Comment


                        • #87
                          Yes, Sam. However, there is a possibility that he just may have hung around the vicinity for a while and simply that no one noticed him during that time. We also don't know exactly how long he stood chatting with Eddowes in that corner or somewhere else before they were seen by Lawende & Co.

                          I wonder, how long does it actually take to walk towards Mitre Square from Berner Street? Everytime I've done that walk I have forgotten to clock it.

                          All the best
                          The Swedes are the Men that Will not Be Blamed for Nothing

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