Originally posted by Trevor Marriott
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Regards
Sir Herlock Sholmes.
“A house of delusions is cheap to build but draughty to live in.”
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Originally posted by Herlock Sholmes View Post
So you know this for a fact Trevor? Absolutely no doubt in your mind? And you’ve arrived at this conclusion despite what the 2 Doctors said just because you’ve looked at the position of the kidney in the body and have found that there was a market for body parts?
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Originally posted by Trevor Marriott View PostRegards
Sir Herlock Sholmes.
“A house of delusions is cheap to build but draughty to live in.”
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Originally posted by Harry D View Post
Apart from when it came to Mary Kelly. Then it was a convenient "copycat".
Her organs were removed at the scene , there is no evidence im aware of that suggest they were hacked out of her body during the mutilation stage ,they may well have been taken out just as carefully and accurately as other victims were pryor to her specific mutilation.
He disagrees with this . That ok with me , he is entitled to his opinion as we all are . Where i do dissagree with him tho is his assurance that his theory is the ''truth'' and 100% correct. As weve seen on other threads nothing to do with jtr is 100% correct as to how the murders were committed and who the murderer was . But hey my opinion only.'It doesn't matter how beautiful your theory is. It doesn't matter how smart you are . If it doesn't agree with experiment, its wrong'' . Richard Feynman
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We can’t know how much time the killer actually had available to him that night but we aren’t going to be too far off in any estimation. I know that some get a little ‘uptight’ when we mention margins for error on times and the fact that clocked weren’t synchronised but these are just facts that he have to accept the possibility of. So what times do we have to work with:
Catherine Eddowes left the station at 1.00. We can’t assume an exact time of course but it doesn’t matter when it comes to the time available to the murderer.
PC Watkin discovered the body at 1.44 although we don’t know source of time) His beat took 12-14 minutes and he said at the inquest:
“I was continually patrolling my beat from ten o'clock up to half-past one. I noticed nothing unusual up till 1.44, when I saw the body.”
So as he said “up to half-past one,” it’s possible that he just added 14 minutes as an upper average to 1.30 arrive at a time of 1.44. So it has to be possible that we might add a measly 1 or 2 minutes to have actually made it 1.46. But I’ll stick to 1.44 for now.
Harvey said, after being asked what time he’d previously been in Aldgate:
“At twenty-eight minutes past one o'clock I passed the post-office clock.” I’m unsure of the location of the PO (someone will know I’m sure) but can we say that Harvey checked the yard at around 1.30? Can we be certain how thoroughly he checked it? But I’ll leave that point for now.
Lawende said the he left the club at 1.30 and it would have been 1.35 when they possible saw Eddowes.
Levy, however, said that they left the club at 1.33/1.34. So there appears to be a slight discrepancy between the two.
Now….allowing the dreaded, but entirely reasonable, margins for error…
We have Watkin discovering the body at 1.44 (+ - 2 mins)
Lawende and Levy saw ‘Eddowes’ at 1.35 (+ or - 2 mins) then allowing 1 minute to get the the murder site.
If the killer left on hearing Watkin approach this would have given him around 8 minutes. If Harvey was a couple of minutes later than he estimated then the killer would have had 10 minutes. If the clock in the club was 2 or 3 minutes fast then we could be looking at 12 minutes. None of us can claim certainty on times. I’m certainly not trying to. I’m just stating that we have to remember a reasonable margin for error. In this particular murder they only had to have been very slight and we can easily get from 8 to 12 minutes for the killer to have done what he did. We can’t claim time accuracies that we have no way of checking, we can’t claim that clocks were all accurate and synchronised and we can’t assume that people had watches when they might simply have been estimating times based on clocks that they’d seen which also might have been wrong.
Regards
Sir Herlock Sholmes.
“A house of delusions is cheap to build but draughty to live in.”
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Originally posted by Herlock Sholmes View PostWe can’t know how much time the killer actually had available to him that night but we aren’t going to be too far off in any estimation. I know that some get a little ‘uptight’ when we mention margins for error on times and the fact that clocked weren’t synchronised but these are just facts that he have to accept the possibility of. So what times do we have to work with:
Catherine Eddowes left the station at 1.00. We can’t assume an exact time of course but it doesn’t matter when it comes to the time available to the murderer.
PC Watkin discovered the body at 1.44 although we don’t know source of time) His beat took 12-14 minutes and he said at the inquest:
“I was continually patrolling my beat from ten o'clock up to half-past one. I noticed nothing unusual up till 1.44, when I saw the body.”
So as he said “up to half-past one,” it’s possible that he just added 14 minutes as an upper average to 1.30 arrive at a time of 1.44. So it has to be possible that we might add a measly 1 or 2 minutes to have actually made it 1.46. But I’ll stick to 1.44 for now.
Harvey said, after being asked what time he’d previously been in Aldgate:
“At twenty-eight minutes past one o'clock I passed the post-office clock.” I’m unsure of the location of the PO (someone will know I’m sure) but can we say that Harvey checked the yard at around 1.30? Can we be certain how thoroughly he checked it? But I’ll leave that point for now.
Lawende said the he left the club at 1.30 and it would have been 1.35 when they possible saw Eddowes.
Levy, however, said that they left the club at 1.33/1.34. So there appears to be a slight discrepancy between the two.
Now….allowing the dreaded, but entirely reasonable, margins for error…
We have Watkin discovering the body at 1.44 (+ - 2 mins)
Lawende and Levy saw ‘Eddowes’ at 1.35 (+ or - 2 mins) then allowing 1 minute to get the the murder site.
If the killer left on hearing Watkin approach this would have given him around 8 minutes. If Harvey was a couple of minutes later than he estimated then the killer would have had 10 minutes. If the clock in the club was 2 or 3 minutes fast then we could be looking at 12 minutes. None of us can claim certainty on times. I’m certainly not trying to. I’m just stating that we have to remember a reasonable margin for error. In this particular murder they only had to have been very slight and we can easily get from 8 to 12 minutes for the killer to have done what he did. We can’t claim time accuracies that we have no way of checking, we can’t claim that clocks were all accurate and synchronised and we can’t assume that people had watches when they might simply have been estimating times based on clocks that they’d seen which also might have been wrong.
Cheers, GeorgeThe needs of the many outweigh the needs of the few, or the one.
Disagreeing doesn't have to be disagreeable - Jeff Hamm
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Originally posted by GBinOz View Post
Excellent post Herlock. There does seem to be more of an acceptance that accurate to the minute clock times aren't realistic for those days since the discussions on that topic in the Stride thread.
Cheers, GeorgeRegards
Sir Herlock Sholmes.
“A house of delusions is cheap to build but draughty to live in.”
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Originally posted by Herlock Sholmes View PostWe can’t know how much time the killer actually had available to him that night but we aren’t going to be too far off in any estimation. I know that some get a little ‘uptight’ when we mention margins for error on times and the fact that clocked weren’t synchronised but these are just facts that he have to accept the possibility of. So what times do we have to work with:
Catherine Eddowes left the station at 1.00. We can’t assume an exact time of course but it doesn’t matter when it comes to the time available to the murderer.
PC Watkin discovered the body at 1.44 although we don’t know source of time) His beat took 12-14 minutes and he said at the inquest:
“I was continually patrolling my beat from ten o'clock up to half-past one. I noticed nothing unusual up till 1.44, when I saw the body.”
So as he said “up to half-past one,” it’s possible that he just added 14 minutes as an upper average to 1.30 arrive at a time of 1.44. So it has to be possible that we might add a measly 1 or 2 minutes to have actually made it 1.46. But I’ll stick to 1.44 for now.
Harvey said, after being asked what time he’d previously been in Aldgate:
“At twenty-eight minutes past one o'clock I passed the post-office clock.” I’m unsure of the location of the PO (someone will know I’m sure) but can we say that Harvey checked the yard at around 1.30? Can we be certain how thoroughly he checked it? But I’ll leave that point for now.
Lawende said the he left the club at 1.30 and it would have been 1.35 when they possible saw Eddowes.
Levy, however, said that they left the club at 1.33/1.34. So there appears to be a slight discrepancy between the two.
Now….allowing the dreaded, but entirely reasonable, margins for error…
We have Watkin discovering the body at 1.44 (+ - 2 mins)
Lawende and Levy saw ‘Eddowes’ at 1.35 (+ or - 2 mins) then allowing 1 minute to get the the murder site.
If the killer left on hearing Watkin approach this would have given him around 8 minutes. If Harvey was a couple of minutes later than he estimated then the killer would have had 10 minutes. If the clock in the club was 2 or 3 minutes fast then we could be looking at 12 minutes. None of us can claim certainty on times. I’m certainly not trying to. I’m just stating that we have to remember a reasonable margin for error. In this particular murder they only had to have been very slight and we can easily get from 8 to 12 minutes for the killer to have done what he did. We can’t claim time accuracies that we have no way of checking, we can’t claim that clocks were all accurate and synchronised and we can’t assume that people had watches when they might simply have been estimating times based on clocks that they’d seen which also might have been wrong.
But you dont know what time the couple entered Mitre Square they were seen standing talking at 1.35am there is no evidence that they were seen to move off. So that being said we do not know what time the couple left that spot to walk into the square it could have been as late as 1.38am. The longer it took for them to walk into the square the less time the killer had with the victim at the crime scene.
Then we have Pc Harvey who came down Church passage at 1.40am approx according to his signed testimony, his time must be fairly accurate because he had left that location when he heard Morris blowing his whistle and before 1.44am when Watkins found the body and long enough for the killer to murder and mutilate Eddowes,
So I dont know whatclock you are working to with your timings
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Originally posted by Trevor Marriott View Post
You are making it up again just as you did on the Richardson thread
So just to be clear then Trevor…..you’re saying that all timings are spot on, all clocks were perfectly accurate and all clocks were perfectly synchronised?
But you dont know what time the couple entered Mitre Square they were seen standing talking at 1.35am there is no evidence that they were seen to move off.
To Lawende - You were not curious enough to look back and see where they went. - No.
And there’s no evidence that they stood around so it’s possible that they walked directly to the spot. A possibility os all that’s required.
So that being said we do not know what time the couple left that spot to walk into the square it could have been as late as 1.38am. The longer it took for them to walk into the square the less time the killer had with the victim at the crime scene.
You can’t prove a positive with a ‘might have been’ Trevor. Or do you dispute that?
Then we have Pc Harvey who came down Church passage at 1.40am approx according to his signed testimony, his time must be fairly accurate because he had left that location when he heard Morris blowing his whistle and before 1.44am when Watkins found the body and long enough for the killer to murder and mutilate Eddowes,
Harvey: “I go as far as to the end of Church Passage. I was at the end of Church Passage about 18 or 19 minutes to 2.” So 1.41/1.42 he got to the end of the passage…he didn’t go into the square.
You will notice the word ‘about’ Trevor. People don’t say ‘about’ if they’re confident of the time. I assume that you don’t dispute that?
So I dont know whatclock you are working to with your timings
www.trevormarriott.co.uk
Regards
Sir Herlock Sholmes.
“A house of delusions is cheap to build but draughty to live in.”
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Originally posted by Trevor Marriott View Post
You are making it up again just as you did on the Richardson thread
But you dont know what time the couple entered Mitre Square they were seen standing talking at 1.35am there is no evidence that they were seen to move off. So that being said we do not know what time the couple left that spot to walk into the square it could have been as late as 1.38am. The longer it took for them to walk into the square the less time the killer had with the victim at the crime scene.
Then we have Pc Harvey who came down Church passage at 1.40am approx according to his signed testimony, his time must be fairly accurate because he had left that location when he heard Morris blowing his whistle and before 1.44am when Watkins found the body and long enough for the killer to murder and mutilate Eddowes,
So I dont know whatclock you are working to with your timings
www.trevormarriott.co.uk
From The Times, 12th October 1888.
"By Mr. Crawford. - The distance between the Imperial Club and the top of Church-passage, where he [Lawende] saw the man and the woman standing together, was about nine or ten yards. He fixed the time of leaving the club at half-past 1 by reference to the club clock and to his own watch, and it would have been about 25 minutes to 2 o'clock when he saw the man and woman standing together…"
So, Lawende has reference to the club clock and his own watch, and this is a very short walk from the Imperial Club to Church Passage.
According to The Telegraph report of the inquest, both Lawende and Levy stated they rose to leave at 1.30am and Levy added a few more details in that they came out 3 to 4 minutes later. This would be consistent with reaching Church passage at 1.35am. Obviously, there is a degree of estimating by both Levy and Lawende but given they would have done that walk countless times, and the short space of time involved from rising to leave to arriving at Church Passage; we really shouldn't expect Lawende and Levy to be too far out with their timings.
As you quite rightly point out, there is the time required to enter the square. In the event Lawende saw Catherine and the WM, can it reasonably be argued that the WM was aware of police beats given that Watkins had passed by at 1.30-1.32am, they were still standing talking at 1.35am and Watkins was due back at 1.44am? I don't think so. That being the case, there is no reason to think the WM and Catherine immediately hurried into the square as soon as Lawende, Levy and Harris turned the corner.
In addition, given he cut a piece of the apron to take with him, this would suggest the WM did not leave in a hurry.
It is tempting to suggest that the couple seen by Lawende and associates were not Catherine and the WM.
But then we have both doctors, Brown and Sequeira, who believed that Catherine was murdered at 1.40am at the earliest.
As with so many other areas of this case, there is no proposal devoid of obstacles.
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Even if we apply a + or - of 2 minutes which really shouldn’t be objected to by anyone we have a period of time that we have absolutely no way of tying down.
Sighting at 1.36, in position by 1.37, Watkins finds body at 1.44 = 7 minutes available.
Sighting at 1.35, in position by 1.36, Watkins finds body at 1.44 = 8 minutes available.
Sighting at 1.34, in position by 1.35, Watkins finds body at 1.44 = 9 minutes available.
Sighting at 1.33, in position by 1.34, Watkins finds body at 1.44 = 10 minutes available.
Sighting at 1.36, in position by 1.38, Watkins finds body at 1.44 = 6 minutes available.
Sighting at 1.35, in position by 1.37, Watkins finds body at 1.44 = 7 minutes available.
Sighting at 1.34, in position by 1.36, Watkins finds body at 1.44 = 8 minutes available.
Sighting at 1.33, in position by 1.34, Watkins finds body at 1.45 = 11 minutes available.
Sighting at 1.34, in position by 1.35, Watkins finds body at 1.45 = 10 minutes available.
Sighting at 1.35, in position by 1.36, Watkins finds body by 1.45 = 9 minutes available.
Sighting at 1.36, in position by 1.37, Watkins finds body at 1.45 = 8 minutes available.
Sighting at 1.33, in position by 1.35, Watkins finds body at 1.45 = 10 minutes available.
Sighting at 1.34, in position by 1.36, Watkins finds body at 1.45 = 9 minutes available.
Sighting at 1.35, in position by 1.37, Watkins finds body at 1.45 = 8 minutes available.
Sighting at 1.33, in position by 1.34, Watkins finds body at 1.46 = 12 minutes available.
Sighting at 1.34, in position by 1.35, Watkins finds body at 1.46 = 11 minutes available.
Sighting at 1.35, in position by 1.36, Watkins finds body at 1.46 = 10 minutes available.
Sighting at 1.36, in position by 1.37, Watkins finds body at 1.46 = 9 minutes available.
Sighting at 1.33, in position by 1.35, Watkins finds body at 1.46 = 11 minutes available.
Sighting at 1.34, in position by 1.36, Watkins finds body at 1.46 = 10 minutes available.
Sighting at 1. 35 in position by 1.37, Watkins finds body at 1.46 = 9 minutes available.
Ive allowed for a gap between the sighting and getting into position of one or two minutes. It could have been longer or less of course but we have no way of knowing this and after all, we’re not trying to prove a time but only trying to show the possibles which is all that we need to do.
As for Harvey:
“By the Jury – “I go as far as to the end of Church Passage. I was at the end of Church Passage about 18 or 19 minutes to 2.” By Mr. Crawford – “I can only speak with certainty as to time with regard to the post office clock.”
He said that he was there at 1.41 or 1.42 but he was reliant on the Post Office clock so how accurate was that? We have no way of knowing. So for all that we know he could have looked into Mitre Square just before Watkins arrived.
So on those 21 possible times we go from 6 minutes to 12 minutes with an average of 9.14 minutes.
Could the killer have done what he did in those times? Doctor’s Brown and Sequiera clearly thought so. I’m unaware of any Doctor at the time or since who has come forward and said that this was an impossible feat.Regards
Sir Herlock Sholmes.
“A house of delusions is cheap to build but draughty to live in.”
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not p*****g on any ones party but i was thinking ?
a doctors say this and that in a respective time !
but a citizen of the community who is obviously unwell mentally.
in the dark committing crimes is
speculative
sorry copy & paste.
i wouldnt be able to find organs either.
you see were i am at asking if killer is of similarity in this normality.
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Originally posted by Herlock Sholmes View Post
Could the killer have done what he did in those times? Doctor’s Brown and Sequiera clearly thought so. I’m unaware of any Doctor at the time or since who has come forward and said that this was an impossible feat.
How on earth could the killer murder mutilate and remove not only a uterus, but a kidney in 3-5 mins when it would have taken Dr Phillips 15 mins to just remove a uterus. Bearing in minds those 3-5 mins quoted by Brown and Sequeira could only have related to the murder and the mutilations.
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