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  • #16
    Originally posted by Sam Flynn View Post
    Thanks, Mike. Perhaps it has something to do with the fact that, after having studied statistics for three years at university, "coincidence" spooks me less than it does most people.
    I knew your fascination for that area didnt just suddenly pop-up.

    Im not sure that we have the statistical basis to make evaluations on some of these issues though, like for probable behaviors of common individuals in the year 1888 in London for example.

    Or on how much Grafitti was present at the time in the area, how much related to Jewish men, at what locations, ....

    Without having the broad tools to found a statistical study on in the first place, its kind of hard to dismiss many of the coincidental features cropping up in these murders and events, for me anyway.

    Cheers Sam

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    • #17
      Originally posted by perrymason View Post
      Without having the broad tools to found a statistical study on in the first place
      True, but that's no reason to give up on taking an analytical approach to the case. We do have some contemporary facts at our disposal, we also have near-contemporary data from which we can extrapolate, and contemporary data from which we may draw reasonable assumptions. In the circumstances, that's a good enough baseline for me.
      Kind regards, Sam Flynn

      "Suche Nullen" (Nietzsche, Götzendämmerung, 1888)

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      • #18
        Originally posted by Sam Flynn View Post
        Thanks, Mike. Perhaps it has something to do with the fact that, after having studied statistics for three years at university, "coincidence" spooks me less than it does most people.
        Hi Sam,

        Where did I get the idea that you did psychology at uni? Must have been one of my senior moments - or maybe I'm one degree under.

        Originally posted by perrymason View Post
        So...a killer had some chalk on them? Thats a big deal?
        Where did that come from, Perry? Of course it's no big deal. But I didn't even mention the chalk.

        My question concerned the logistics involved in Kate's killer learning the details of Liz's murder in time to write a message which supposedly denies responsibility for it.

        If he was doing his best to avoid all human contact after leaving Mitre Square, and he hadn't been in Berner St at all, I just wondered how the news about an earlier murder was meant to have reached his ears. Even if the whole area was buzzing with it by then, he wouldn't have heard a word if he was deliberately keeping well out of people's way.

        Love,

        Caz
        X
        "Comedy is simply a funny way of being serious." Peter Ustinov


        Comment


        • #19
          Originally posted by caz View Post
          Where did I get the idea that you did psychology at uni? Must have been one of my senior moments - or maybe I'm one degree under.
          True, Caz, but the degree I took was more "science-based" than "arts/humanities-based" (BSc rather than BA) and, as such, it placed a strong emphasis on experimental design and statistics. The latter was a compulsory, and examined, subject throughout the course.
          Last edited by Sam Flynn; 10-06-2009, 02:15 AM.
          Kind regards, Sam Flynn

          "Suche Nullen" (Nietzsche, Götzendämmerung, 1888)

          Comment


          • #20
            Originally posted by caz View Post

            Where did that come from, Perry? Of course it's no big deal. But I didn't even mention the chalk.

            My question concerned the logistics involved in Kate's killer learning the details of Liz's murder in time to write a message which supposedly denies responsibility for it.

            If he was doing his best to avoid all human contact after leaving Mitre Square, and he hadn't been in Berner St at all, I just wondered how the news about an earlier murder was meant to have reached his ears. Even if the whole area was buzzing with it by then, he wouldn't have heard a word if he was deliberately keeping well out of people's way.

            Love,

            Caz
            X
            Hi Caz,

            The chalk bit was intended as a preemptive strike, didnt mean to infer it was your bone of contention.

            On how and when he might hear of Liz Strides murder......well, theres nothing that says he didnt live near Berner himself, maybe on Batty Street perhaps...and if he waited 70 minutes to casually drop the apron off he could have gone to Goulston for a reason after learning of the crime by overhearing street conversation on his way home after the Mitre murder...., not just because it was on his way home......he could have been staying in a lodging house and heard of it by the manager or other tenants who had heard the news.

            Im not so sure that the man that left Mitre Square slipped from shadow to shadow when leaving that scene..he might well have cleaned his hands with a hanky of his own, necessitating the apron section to replace it, and been relatively blood free. He could have just strolled after leaving the immediate area. Particularly if he had to cross major roads...which I think is likely myself. Cops local to the Club werent stopping all couples and singles once Liz Strides murder had been telegraphed across the local stations...they were helping to hold 28 men and some other residents for questioning and trying to start an investigation,... or covering someone who was, getting medical personnel or relaying info to senior authorities.

            If the killer encountered anyone who had heard of the murder in Dutfields Yard while he headed home from Mitre Square, he would have heard the Ripper spin on the story I think.

            From what I can tell, killers may not reveal all the murders they have committed or other crimes they have committed while under arrest or in custody....but they comparatively rarely take credit for ones they didnt commit. Meaning I dont see any reason for Jack to have written any letters, but I could see the logic in his corresponding if it were about something like this.

            If he put both things at that location....the apron section is an admission of guilt for the murder of the woman in Mitre Square. What logically then might the writing be about.....assuming either he did kill both women, or he didnt kill Liz Stride?

            All the best Caz

            Comment


            • #21
              Originally posted by Sam Flynn View Post
              True, Caz, but the degree I took was more "science-based" than "arts/humanities-based" (BSc rather than BA) and, as such, it placed a strong emphasis on experimental design and statistics. The latter was a compulsory, and examined, subject throughout the course.
              Ah, thanks for that, Sam, all is now clear. I should have known that would be the case.

              Hi Perry,

              I still don't like the logistics here. You are suggesting that when he takes the apron he has no idea about the Berner St murder; then he hears people talking about it and, thinking on his feet, decides to put the apron and some chalk to good use and comes up with a cryptic message denying the earlier murder. I say cryptic, because after 121 years only you appear to have grasped that this is what he was trying to say.

              Love,

              Caz
              X
              "Comedy is simply a funny way of being serious." Peter Ustinov


              Comment


              • #22
                Originally posted by caz View Post
                Ah, thanks for that, Sam, all is now clear. I should have known that would be the case.

                Hi Perry,

                I still don't like the logistics here. You are suggesting that when he takes the apron he has no idea about the Berner St murder; then he hears people talking about it and, thinking on his feet, decides to put the apron and some chalk to good use and comes up with a cryptic message denying the earlier murder. I say cryptic, because after 121 years only you appear to have grasped that this is what he was trying to say.

                Love,

                Caz
                X
                Its not rocket science Caz, and Im not a nuclear physicist.

                If Jack didnt kill Liz Stride but did leave the chalk message by the apron section, then it stands to reason the chalk message deals with the Mitre Square murder, or an earlier murder that Jack the Ripper was being blamed for...(within 5 minutes of discovering a woman with a cut throat on the private property of Jewish Men).

                Since the second makes more sense considering the content of the writing, both the "Jewish men (Juwes/Juewes/Juwes)" and the "blame" would be accounted for.....then it seems like the author is suggesting that the Jewish Men at the first murder site were evading blame for something.

                Since they immediately blame someone outside their organization and suggest that the murder of Stride is "another" murder.....I would say that attempting to "evade blame" seems to be accurately ascribed to them.

                Best regards Caz

                Comment


                • #23
                  Ah, but 'if' is the word here.

                  Jack did kill Liz, but because his thunder was stolen by the unsuitable location he thundered on to Mitre Square, neatly explaining how lightning struck twice that night.

                  It's the simple and logical solution, backed by the fully documented double eventers who came after Jack.

                  Love,

                  Caz
                  X
                  "Comedy is simply a funny way of being serious." Peter Ustinov


                  Comment


                  • #24
                    Originally posted by caz View Post
                    Ah, but 'if' is the word here.

                    Jack did kill Liz, but because his thunder was stolen by the unsuitable location he thundered on to Mitre Square, neatly explaining how lightning struck twice that night.

                    It's the simple and logical solution, backed by the fully documented double eventers who came after Jack.

                    Love,

                    Caz
                    X
                    I concede the "IF"...but still stand by it as the most probable answer considering the absence of some key elements that wound indicate 'Jack" in this first murder of the evening.

                    All the best Caz

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