I'm not going to discuss provenance, or ink samples, or whether a 1880 or 1891 diary can pass for a 1888 diary. I don't know much about any of those things. But I do know a bit about the Whitechapel murders, and the secondary literature about the Whitechapel murders, and that knowledge is enough to make me assign the Maybrick diary to the realm of the improbable.
First, the diary seems strange to me in its limited scope. Who buys a scrapbook thinking "I am going to use this solely to complain about my wife", then starts planning a murder spree, and writes only about the murder spree in that diary. It's not impossible for a person to have such a limited diary - but it's far more likely, imo, that it was cheaper for a hoaxer to only write about the things that people would be interested in. It's also limited in scope a second way: there's not much in there that only the killer would know. The only thing I can find in the diary that might fall into this category is the statement that the killer went back to the scene of the Chapman murder to remove additional organs from the body. I'm not sure this squares with the medical report, which suggests that Chapman's mutilations were expressly made for the purpose of removing her organs, which were removed with one cut. Hardly seems like an afterthought to me. Otherwise, the diary is strangely focused on details that are well known: I know that casebook wasn't around when the diary would have been forged, but it's almost as if somebody went to the casebook victim page and just paraphrased the list of things found near the body, this being one of the few things we know about each of the crimes!
Second, the diary has an undeniably modern take on the killings. In several ways:
In other places, the diary has a very DATED view of the killings, a view more at home in the 70's and 80's than today. For example:
Before the diary defenders chime in - no, nothing I've posted here disproves the authenticity of the diary in a dispositive way. But I submit that "prove it undeniably false, or else" is a special rule that diary supporters have made up just for this discussion, and bears no relation with how we choose the things we believe, either as individuals or as a society. In reality, we lack the ability to fully prove or disprove many of the things we could possibly believe, so instead we use a mix of logic, intuition, and limited evidence to rank things according to plausibility, and believe only the things that fall above a certain line.
The diary falls below that line for me.
First, the diary seems strange to me in its limited scope. Who buys a scrapbook thinking "I am going to use this solely to complain about my wife", then starts planning a murder spree, and writes only about the murder spree in that diary. It's not impossible for a person to have such a limited diary - but it's far more likely, imo, that it was cheaper for a hoaxer to only write about the things that people would be interested in. It's also limited in scope a second way: there's not much in there that only the killer would know. The only thing I can find in the diary that might fall into this category is the statement that the killer went back to the scene of the Chapman murder to remove additional organs from the body. I'm not sure this squares with the medical report, which suggests that Chapman's mutilations were expressly made for the purpose of removing her organs, which were removed with one cut. Hardly seems like an afterthought to me. Otherwise, the diary is strangely focused on details that are well known: I know that casebook wasn't around when the diary would have been forged, but it's almost as if somebody went to the casebook victim page and just paraphrased the list of things found near the body, this being one of the few things we know about each of the crimes!
Second, the diary has an undeniably modern take on the killings. In several ways:
- Abberline is the only police official mentioned. The notion of Abberline and the Ripper being engaged in a Holmes and Moriarty battle of wits between two outstanding geniuses is thoroughly modern, read the press reports of the time and many other police officials are being discussed. Where is SIR CHARLES WARREN, about whom the papers of the time would not shut up?
- The diary bets it all on the C5 being the only London victims. There was no consensus on this at the time, and if anything most grouped all of the murders together, even the pre-Tabram ones and the torso killings. Even if the Ripper only did kill the C5, why no mention of the other murders? If Maybrick pre-meditated this killing spree long before Nichols took her last breath, why nothing in the diary about Tabram's killer stealing his thunder? Why no gloating that many other crimes were being ascribed to him, furthering his goals and stroking his ego? The writer of the diary forgets the other killings: again, a modern trait, not a trait of persons living in the 1888 news cycle.
In other places, the diary has a very DATED view of the killings, a view more at home in the 70's and 80's than today. For example:
- The diary bets it all on the Diemshitz/horse interruption theory. This is no longer widely supported by the Ripperologist community: the idea that Stride was dead many minutes before the horse arrived, her killer either choosing to leave or being disrupted by a club member, has more support and is to some extent corroborated by forensic and eyewitness evidence.
- The diary strongly hints that Maybrick wrote several, if not many, of the letters: it hints that he coined the phrase "Jack the Ripper" and it makes a vague mention of sending rhymes to the police. It's hard to find a serious Ripperologist today who believes that the killer wrote any of the letters.
Before the diary defenders chime in - no, nothing I've posted here disproves the authenticity of the diary in a dispositive way. But I submit that "prove it undeniably false, or else" is a special rule that diary supporters have made up just for this discussion, and bears no relation with how we choose the things we believe, either as individuals or as a society. In reality, we lack the ability to fully prove or disprove many of the things we could possibly believe, so instead we use a mix of logic, intuition, and limited evidence to rank things according to plausibility, and believe only the things that fall above a certain line.
The diary falls below that line for me.
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