Originally posted by Lechmere
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Patrick
In the Nichols killing certainly, there was no evidence of spray.
I don’t accept your assertions that the culprit, whoever he was, would have been covered in blood.
I'm not asserting it. It's simply more reasonable to assume that the killer would get blood on his person than that he would not. Just as it's reasonable to assume if I spend an evening making pizzas I'm going to get sauce on my shirt.
The example I gave of a family man was indeed explicitly intended to illustrate that if someone like Charles Lechmere was a potential psychopathic serial killer then his opportunities to fulfil his intentions would be restricted and would determine a kill pattern such as occurred. This does not of course prove that it was him – but what we know of his lifestyle fits the pattern well.
What do we know of him and his lifestyle that leads us to believe he may have been Jack the Ripper? Was he ultimately confined to an institution? Was he hanged for murder a few years later? Did he hate women? Was he dealt a bad hand from a prostitute? What do you know that we may not?
For any potential culprit to get off the ground this first base must be covered, in my opinion.
Looking at it neutrally – if any of us truly can – I don’t think we can say that it was more likely that the killer was married or unmarried. Based on what we know of this case, I don’t think that an opinion can sensibly be formed one way or another.
Of course it can. We can base suppositions and opinion on established patterns, historical examples, statistics, trends, etc. For instance, if you tell me that you have an NBA player standing behind door number one, I'm going to make guess that this person is a male, African-American, and over, say, 6'2", Now you might open the door and show me a white, 6' point guard, but I stand a pretty good chance of being right if I base my conclusion on probabilities, facts, statistics, etc.
Serial killers come in all shapes and size. In my opinion this sequence shows signs of someone who controls when he acts. Not of someone who gets totally overcome by atavistic passions. Such killers tend to be more careless and easily caught.
Clearly this is someone who is controlled by passions, urges, compulsion, etc. However, this does not necessarily mean he's careless or out of control. JtR falls into the category of an organized killer. Thus, the attacks, while still precipitated by psychotic compulsion are planned to some extent and somewhat more carefully executed.
The difference between turning up to work in what was probably a near deserted and dirty workplace as one of the first starters, and walking into a hotel with someone on the desk is, I would have thought obvious.
It's not obvious. If he's not a butcher and Pickford's was not a slaughterhouse. He was a cart driver. Blood on his person is going to stand out. If a UPS driver showed up at work with blood on his clothes, it would likely be noted and remembered.
If Charles Lechmere killed Chapman while at work, then I would presume that he would not park his cart in the immediate vicinity. If it was ten minute walk away, that would be quite sufficient distance for no one in the area to know him as the Pickfords driver.
More proof against him, I think. We can't have it both ways. We can't say that the East End was a dangerous, crime-ridden place and then argue that you can park a cart and leave it untended while the driver meanders off to murder prostitutes, time permitting. Unless we are to assume that an unwitting coworker was minding the cart while Cross was off being Jack the Ripper. This strains credulity even further, in my opinion.
In the Nichols killing certainly, there was no evidence of spray.
I don’t accept your assertions that the culprit, whoever he was, would have been covered in blood.
I'm not asserting it. It's simply more reasonable to assume that the killer would get blood on his person than that he would not. Just as it's reasonable to assume if I spend an evening making pizzas I'm going to get sauce on my shirt.
The example I gave of a family man was indeed explicitly intended to illustrate that if someone like Charles Lechmere was a potential psychopathic serial killer then his opportunities to fulfil his intentions would be restricted and would determine a kill pattern such as occurred. This does not of course prove that it was him – but what we know of his lifestyle fits the pattern well.
What do we know of him and his lifestyle that leads us to believe he may have been Jack the Ripper? Was he ultimately confined to an institution? Was he hanged for murder a few years later? Did he hate women? Was he dealt a bad hand from a prostitute? What do you know that we may not?
For any potential culprit to get off the ground this first base must be covered, in my opinion.
Looking at it neutrally – if any of us truly can – I don’t think we can say that it was more likely that the killer was married or unmarried. Based on what we know of this case, I don’t think that an opinion can sensibly be formed one way or another.
Of course it can. We can base suppositions and opinion on established patterns, historical examples, statistics, trends, etc. For instance, if you tell me that you have an NBA player standing behind door number one, I'm going to make guess that this person is a male, African-American, and over, say, 6'2", Now you might open the door and show me a white, 6' point guard, but I stand a pretty good chance of being right if I base my conclusion on probabilities, facts, statistics, etc.
Serial killers come in all shapes and size. In my opinion this sequence shows signs of someone who controls when he acts. Not of someone who gets totally overcome by atavistic passions. Such killers tend to be more careless and easily caught.
Clearly this is someone who is controlled by passions, urges, compulsion, etc. However, this does not necessarily mean he's careless or out of control. JtR falls into the category of an organized killer. Thus, the attacks, while still precipitated by psychotic compulsion are planned to some extent and somewhat more carefully executed.
The difference between turning up to work in what was probably a near deserted and dirty workplace as one of the first starters, and walking into a hotel with someone on the desk is, I would have thought obvious.
It's not obvious. If he's not a butcher and Pickford's was not a slaughterhouse. He was a cart driver. Blood on his person is going to stand out. If a UPS driver showed up at work with blood on his clothes, it would likely be noted and remembered.
If Charles Lechmere killed Chapman while at work, then I would presume that he would not park his cart in the immediate vicinity. If it was ten minute walk away, that would be quite sufficient distance for no one in the area to know him as the Pickfords driver.
More proof against him, I think. We can't have it both ways. We can't say that the East End was a dangerous, crime-ridden place and then argue that you can park a cart and leave it untended while the driver meanders off to murder prostitutes, time permitting. Unless we are to assume that an unwitting coworker was minding the cart while Cross was off being Jack the Ripper. This strains credulity even further, in my opinion.
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