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  • #16
    Originally posted by Steven Russell View Post
    The questions I was trying to ask in post #1 are: Did Anderson already have his mind made up that the Ripper was a Polish Jew before he had even heard of his suspect (the man identified by Swanson as "Kosminski") and did this cause him to give whatever evidence existed more weight than it deserved because it agreed with a theory he had already formed? That's what I meant by "confirmation bias".

    Best wishes,
    Steve.

    PS Chris, I've only just read your posts on the Seaside Home thread and hope you didn't think I was nicking your ideas.
    Hi Steve

    I have a feeling that for Anderson, as for the modern-day profilers, Kosminski ticked the right boxes. Yes his stereotyping of Jewish behavior might have factored into it, but I think he had an expectancy that it would be a Jew like Kosminski or someone much like him. The fact that Kosminski was a lunatic and of a low class similar to the "degraded" women the killer was murdering, fit an expectancy often expressed by the police and others, that the killer must be a madman and himself of the lower classes.

    All the best

    Chris
    Christopher T. George
    Organizer, RipperCon #JacktheRipper-#True Crime Conference
    just held in Baltimore, April 7-8, 2018.
    For information about RipperCon, go to http://rippercon.com/
    RipperCon 2018 talks can now be heard at http://www.casebook.org/podcast/

    Comment


    • #17
      Originally posted by ChrisGeorge View Post
      The fact that Kosminski was a lunatic and of a low class similar to the "degraded" women the killer was murdering, fit an expectancy often expressed by the police and others, that the killer must be a madman and himself of the lower classes.
      Aaron Kozminski's family were respectable - and in one case quite prosperous - working people. I really can't see that they were of a similar class to the Ripper's victims. Or if they were, you'd have to say that nearly everyone who lived in the East End was.

      Comment


      • #18
        Originally posted by Chris View Post
        Aaron Kozminski's family were respectable - and in one case quite prosperous - working people. I really can't see that they were of a similar class to the Ripper's victims. Or if they were, you'd have to say that nearly everyone who lived in the East End was.
        You make a good point, Chris. Thanks. Yes the Kozminskis did own businesses, and the family were not as degraded as the women who were the victims, so you are absolutely correct. Possibly though from the lofty position of Anderson there was a similarity, or else as you indicate perhaps the fact that they were all from the low class East End lent them an association, undeserved or not. We still come back to Anderson's characterization of Kozminski as a "low class Polish Jew" don't we?

        Chris
        Christopher T. George
        Organizer, RipperCon #JacktheRipper-#True Crime Conference
        just held in Baltimore, April 7-8, 2018.
        For information about RipperCon, go to http://rippercon.com/
        RipperCon 2018 talks can now be heard at http://www.casebook.org/podcast/

        Comment


        • #19
          Originally posted by Chris View Post
          Yes, and this doesn't just apply to immigrants. Protecting members of your family must be one of the most basic of human instincts.

          But surely the problem with Anderson is that he was saying this characteristic was unique to Polish Jews - to the extent that the police were able to deduce that the killer must be a Polish Jew, starting only from the supposition that he had been shielded by his family.
          Or more pronounced in Polish Jews. Anderson wouldnt have vast knowledge of differing immigrant populations. Irish and Jewish being the vast majority of incomers to the city.

          And to come second to the Irish would be no mean feet when considering its Anderson judging them.

          Comment


          • #20
            Originally posted by ChrisGeorge View Post
            You make a good point, Chris. Thanks. Yes the Kozminskis did own businesses, and the family were not as degraded as the women who were the victims, so you are absolutely correct. Possibly though from the lofty position of Anderson there was a similarity, or else as you indicate perhaps the fact that they were all from the low class East End lent them an association, undeserved or not. We still come back to Anderson's characterization of Kozminski as a "low class Polish Jew" don't we?

            Chris
            They perhaps arrived as low class. With hard work and skill they were becoming more respectable each passing year. Its the story of thousands of immigrant families.

            Comment


            • #21
              Apology.

              Just been looking at Scorpio's Kozminski thread and I do remember having read post no. 1 before I started this thread. It is obvious that I ripped off Scorpio's idea albeit unconsciously. So sincere apologies for that, Scorpio. Must try to avoid reading the boards when drunk!

              Best wishes,
              Steve.

              Comment


              • #22
                I cannot think why the Anderson confirmation bias angle is not discussed more.
                Thanks for reading my thread.
                SCORPIO

                Comment


                • #23
                  Originally posted by Scorpio View Post
                  I cannot think why the Anderson confirmation bias angle is not discussed more.
                  Thanks for reading my thread.
                  Me neither. Pity I was too dense to think of it on my own.

                  Steve.

                  Comment


                  • #24
                    Originally posted by ChrisGeorge View Post
                    Hi Errata

                    I think Sir Robert Anderson was a product of his time, with the type of attitudes of the day, but also speaking as he was as someone who had held an exalted position in Scotland Yard. I would suggest that the generalization that he makes about poor Polish Jews is similar to the statements that Littlechild makes about sexual deviants: in effect saying, "this is the way they are, I know." There's a kind of certainty there that you also see in Macnaghten's writing: declarations spoken by a man who has held a high position in the police.

                    All the best

                    Chris
                    To an extent, you gotta wonder how much lofty certainty is based on simply not having been there. He was not on the case for the first murder, and was on vacation for the next three. He comes back, he is being held responsible, he holds himself responsible, and he has to get notes from a classmate.

                    Now, one one hand, that was well within his wheelhouse. He coordinated information from agents and police as part of his job. But on the other hand, he hadn't been directing the work done. He came back to find out all sorts of things that had been done in his absence. And I imagine quite a bit of it would have been done differently had he been there. The bit of drivel about only a low class Polish Jew could escape notice when covered in blood was a conclusion made by the police while he was gone. Clearly others could have made it around Whitechapel covered in blood. Someone wearing black for instance... So why did Anderson just accept that conclusion? And accept it wholeheartedly?

                    I think its possible that in order to feel in control of an investigation he had so far little to do with, he had to function almost as though he had given all of those orders himself. He was certainly going to judged as though he did. So someone told some cops to go out and find out who could do such a thing, they came back with "lower class Polish Jews". Anderson could a: say "No that's clearly crap, do it again, and properly this time" which would devalue any investigative effort in his absence. Or b: he could say "Good job lads!" assumed that they did their job with due diligence, and accept their report as fact. And I think if he really did think the cops were full of it he WOULD have ordered it done it again. Or dismissed. I just don't think he had enough experience with the flow of Whitechapel to judge the likelihood of such a statement.
                    The early bird might get the worm, but the second mouse gets the cheese.

                    Comment


                    • #25
                      Originally posted by Errata View Post
                      The bit of drivel about only a low class Polish Jew could escape notice when covered in blood was a conclusion made by the police while he was gone.
                      I don't think anyone put it in those terms though, did they? That would have been obviously ridiculous.

                      I am sure Anderson had better reasons than those you suggest for suspecting a Polish Jew. Let's not forget our old friend Leather Apron. Assuming he was not a newspaper concoction, LA was a strong early suspect and I am still not 100% convinced that John Pizer was the real Leather Apron (although some people probably did call him by that name).

                      Best wishes,
                      Steve.
                      Last edited by Steven Russell; 05-29-2011, 06:32 AM.

                      Comment


                      • #26
                        Originally posted by Steven Russell View Post
                        I don't think anyone put it in those terms though, did they? That would have been obviously ridiculous.

                        I am sure Anderson had better reasons than those you suggest for suspecting a Polish Jew. Let's not forget our old friend Leather Apron. Assuming he was not a newspaper concoction, LA was a strong early suspect and I am still not 100% convinced that John Pizer was the real Leather Apron (although some people probably did call him by that name).

                        Best wishes,
                        Steve.
                        Well, things are somewhat unclear, although clearly kinda odd. It says

                        "One did not need to be a Sherlock Holmes to discover that the criminal was a sexual maniac of a virulent type ; that he was living in the immediate vicinity of the scenes of the murders ; and that, if he was not living absolutely alone, his people knew of his guilt, and refused to give
                        him up to justice. During my absence abroad the Police had made a house-to-house search for him, investigating the case of every man in the
                        district whose circumstances were such that he could go and come and get rid of his blood-stains in secret. And the conclusion we came to was
                        that he and his people were certain low-class Polish Jews ; for it is a remarkable fact that people of that class in the East End will not give
                        up one of their number to Gentile justice"

                        Now clearly they did not have a house to house search in Whitechapel. I think a: that's a rather tall order and b: that would have been a major story. So if not an actual house to house search, then it was a directed house to house search. Ie:"Look for these types of people and see if they could have gotten away with it". And while not an invalid method, it's not technically what was described. Realistically any man who lived alone and had a semi-private entrance should have fallen into the category of "guy who could have done it". Or any man who had access to a place to change outside of the home. Or any number of other circumstances. So then how on earth do you get to "certain low-class Polish Jews" out of literally thousands of other viable options?

                        I think you have to either a: be looking for a specific person without wanting to be seen to be looking for a specific person or b: have the search criteria start out as a bunch of cops sitting around saying "Oh! you know who I bet it is? I bet its a Jew butcher!" and the others going "Yeah!" and adding to it. Situation A makes sense if they were looking for say, Leather Apron. There is a guy they know who has a similar MO and they want to see if he could have done it. But then why a "house to house search"? Why not say "We thought it was Chuck. And we think it could have been". If it's Situation B, then you've just hamstrung your investigation. If the only way to get away with bloodstains you can come up with is a Jewish butcher, then you aren't looking at doctors, clinic workers, mortuary workers, even typesetters get covered with a rust red stain from the ink. You don't think about people who can get in and out of their houses because they have a private entrance (or can leave a window unlocked). You don't think about people wearing black wool.

                        I'm pretty sure that the cops did not make a house to house search, and I don't think they investigated EVERY man "whose circumstances were such that he could go and come and get rid of his blood-stains in secret". I don't even think they could have accomplished that in the amount of time Anderson was gone. So why did he say they did? Was he exaggerating? Lying? Was he exaggerated to? Lied to? Vastly oversimplifying a process that had little to do with actual statistics and actual investigation and much more to do with broadly checking off certain economic strata and races based on stereotypes and popularity, eventually ending up with either Polish Jews or like, Gypsies, and there weren't Gypsies in town? It's possible. Or maybe they said "well, Leather Apron was Jewish, and Lipski was Jewish, ergo Jack the Ripper is Jewish, and since the Queen's granddaughter is now a Russian, we're gonna look at the Polish."

                        I don't know. And unless we find a whole lot more notes, I don't think I will ever know. I know I believe that Anderson was an honorable man. But "Brutus too is an honorable man". I don't know what are mistakes vs. misstatements vs. sloppiness vs. lack of imagination or who is responsible. I know it is likely, given Anderson's statement. But maybe somehow they really did all of those things and eliminated everyone in Whitechapel through due diligence except for some Polish Jews. I just don't think any evidence supports that. Or laws of physics really.
                        The early bird might get the worm, but the second mouse gets the cheese.

                        Comment


                        • #27
                          Originally posted by Chris View Post
                          But surely the problem with Anderson is that he was saying this characteristic was unique to Polish Jews - to the extent that the police were able to deduce that the killer must be a Polish Jew, starting only from the supposition that he had been shielded by his family.
                          Chris,

                          I don't necessarily believe this is the case. He never said, "Especially Polish Jews." If he believed a Jew was the murderer from whatever information he had, this was a qualification to support his belief, right or wrong and it woudl apply to any immigrant group or as you have said, a family, even a sorority group or a cricket club. I have little doubt, had he information that the murderer was a n Inuit, he would have said that same thing, and generally speaking, ir would have been true.

                          Mike
                          huh?

                          Comment


                          • #28
                            Originally posted by The Good Michael View Post
                            I don't necessarily believe this is the case. He never said, "Especially Polish Jews." If he believed a Jew was the murderer from whatever information he had, this was a qualification to support his belief, right or wrong and it woudl apply to any immigrant group or as you have said, a family, even a sorority group or a cricket club.
                            But I read Anderson's narrative as follows:
                            (1) The murderer obviously lived in the "immediate vicinity" of the murder sites.
                            (2) He was obviously either living "absolutely alone" or being protected by the people he was living with.
                            (3) During the house-to-house search the police had investigated [and eliminated] every man in the vicinity who was living alone ("every man in the district whose circumstances were such that he could go and come and get rid of his blood-stains in secret").
                            (4) Therefore the murderer must have been protected by those he was living with, and hence the conclusion that he was a "low-class Polish Jew" - because low-class Polish Jews in the East End will not give up their own to Gentile justice.

                            The logic only works if Polish Jews are unique in that respect. If most of the population shared that characteristic, Anderson's narrative would provide no explanation at all for his conclusion that the murderer was a Polish Jew.

                            Comment


                            • #29
                              To Chris

                              Let me ask you something.

                              Do you believe that the story which Anderson published in 1910 is what he believed, regarding Ripper the case, in 1888?

                              As in, the four points you laid out in the previous post. Are they what Anderson believed in 1888 at the height of the murders?

                              Comment


                              • #30
                                Originally posted by Chris View Post
                                But I read Anderson's narrative as follows:
                                (1) The murderer obviously lived in the "immediate vicinity" of the murder sites.
                                (2) He was obviously either living "absolutely alone" or being protected by the people he was living with.
                                (3) During the house-to-house search the police had investigated [and eliminated] every man in the vicinity who was living alone ("every man in the district whose circumstances were such that he could go and come and get rid of his blood-stains in secret").
                                (4) Therefore the murderer must have been protected by those he was living with, and hence the conclusion that he was a "low-class Polish Jew" - because low-class Polish Jews in the East End will not give up their own to Gentile justice.

                                The logic only works if Polish Jews are unique in that respect. If most of the population shared that characteristic, Anderson's narrative would provide no explanation at all for his conclusion that the murderer was a Polish Jew.
                                Chris, your conclusions are sound, but the areas that were searched and the people questioned probably had a very high percentage of low-class Jews. Let me paraphrase a bit:

                                (The areas being searched are full of low-class German Catholic immigrants)

                                It is a fact that people of that class are reluctant to give up one of theirs to Anglican justice. We came to the conclusion that the murderer was a low-class German because of the reluctance of the people to give us any information. It had to be that they were hiding something.

                                being from low class Germans who were kicked out of Bosnia, I take no offense in that conclusion.

                                So, the slant is the same, but it is based upon suspicions due to the make-up of the populace. It may be an erroneous conclusion, and a bit too judgmental, but it isn't necessarily racist.

                                Mike
                                Last edited by The Good Michael; 05-29-2011, 11:58 AM.
                                huh?

                                Comment

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