What I don't understand is why Pierre hasn't stated exactly how many characters form the name of his suspect. It's pretty crucial if one is trying to establish the mathematical probability involved.
Pawn tickets in Mitre Square
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[QUOTE=Pierre;390760]But all that demonstrates is that your suspect has an unusual name. Therefore, in order to find that name, all you have to do is subjectively select a piece of information-I won't say evidence-from the vast amount of information available during the Ripper enquiry, which contains letters that are also present in the name of your suspect.Originally posted by Elamarna View Post
Hi Steve,
Sorry, I was sloppy when I wrote "census". I have checked the entire digital archives. Same result.
Regards, Pierre
Statistically, I would have thought it would be a virtual logical certainty that you would be eventually successful, regardless of who your suspect happens to be.
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[QUOTE=Pierre;390760]Hi PierreOriginally posted by Elamarna View Post
Hi Steve,
Sorry, I was sloppy when I wrote "census". I have checked the entire digital archives. Same result.
Regards, Pierre
While that is a better search, I have to ask if that is the case, why did you question my mention of birth and death records?
Why did you ask why would I search them?
Sorry but it seems odd to say the least.
Steve
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[QUOTE=John G;390762][QUOTE=Pierre;390760]
Yes, John. This is what I have been trying to point out to Steve. He started with an idea that a name could be used by a lot o people. Therefore, it would be impossible to know who was the person behind a name, if a name was in the pawn tickets.But all that demonstrates is that your suspect has an unusual name.
That, however, is not a problem. And I had never been thinking about it. I was just used to the name being unusual. So when Steve wanted to use that argument against the hypothesis, it just struck me that there is just one person in the archives with that name.
It doesn´t work that way. You have to have a reason to think that sources are important.Therefore, in order to find that name, all you have to do is subjectively select a piece of information-I won't say evidence-from the vast amount of information available during the Ripper enquiry, which contains letters that are also present in the name of your suspect.
The reason why I am examining the mustard tin is not only the letters giving information about a specific name. The hypothesis for the mustard tin is connected to an hypothesis for the motive and other data sources.Statistically, I would have thought it would be a virtual logical certainty that you would be eventually successful, regardless of who your suspect happens to be.Last edited by Pierre; 08-21-2016, 10:56 AM.
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[QUOTE=Elamarna;390764]Because I have a lot of work to do right now and therefore I did not have the time to read your text properly. Sorry Steve!Originally posted by Pierre View Post
Hi Pierre
While that is a better search, I have to ask if that is the case, why did you question my mention of birth and death records?
Why did you ask why would I search them?
Sorry but it seems odd to say the least.
Steve
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I most certainly can. And did. I have read all your posts in this thread and was thus able to summarize the position with full accuracy.Originally posted by Pierre View PostYou can not answer for me.
Had you not rudely ignored Caligo's post I wouldn't have had to answer on your behalf.
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Originally posted by Pierre View Post
The reason why I am examining the mustard tin is not only the letters giving information about a specific name. The hypothesis for the mustard tin is connected to an hypothesis for the motive and other data sources.
So once again we have an hypothesis the reasoning for which is undisclosed and derived from the unknown sources.
If we do not know the reasoning behind an hypothesis how can we discuss if it is valid or not
If we do not have the sources how can one question anything.
Originally posted by Pierre View Post
Because I have a lot of work to do right now and therefore I did not have the time to read your text properly. Sorry Steve!
Sorry Pierre I am not convinced by the reply.
However best to let it rest I think before you dig the hole even deeper.
Take care
steve
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Using the same rules, the name of Pierre's suspect will also be found in the 'Dear Boss' letter (I know this because so are the 42 characters).Originally posted by John G View PostBut all that demonstrates is that your suspect has an unusual name. Therefore, in order to find that name, all you have to do is subjectively select a piece of information-I won't say evidence-from the vast amount of information available during the Ripper enquiry, which contains letters that are also present in the name of your suspect.
Statistically, I would have thought it would be a virtual logical certainty that you would be eventually successful, regardless of who your suspect happens to be.
The whole thing is absurd.
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So are the names "Hatman" and Jarsdel, if you include the street names. And those English surnames are now extinct! See: http://blogs.ancestry.com/cm/2014/11...to-go-extinct/Originally posted by David Orsam View PostUsing the same rules, the name of Pierre's suspect will also be found in the 'Dear Boss' letter (I know this because so are the 42 characters).
The whole thing is absurd.Last edited by John G; 08-21-2016, 11:36 AM.
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Dear Steve,Originally posted by Elamarna View Post
So once again we have an hypothesis the reasoning for which is undisclosed and derived from the unknown sources.
If we do not know the reasoning behind an hypothesis how can we discuss if it is valid or not
If we do not have the sources how can one question anything.
Sorry Pierre I am not convinced by the reply.
However best to let it rest I think before you dig the hole even deeper.
Take care
steve
I am always grateful for your comments, they are meaningful. However, there is no "digging a hole deeper", on the contrary. I am testing things, and there is no need for negative metaphors. They are not meaningful.
The sources from 1888-1889 are important and they deserve a realistic test. Of course, when sources are not discussed, that test is not visible.
But still, many of your comments are helpful and they are taking the case forward.
Also, the criticism of David is sometimes helpful, but not in the way he expects it to be.
Anyway, thanks Steve.
Best wishes, Pierre
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I'm wondering what you think you know about my expectations.Originally posted by Pierre View PostAlso, the criticism of David is sometimes helpful, but not in the way he expects it to be.
But if something is getting through then I'll take that.
Do you have anything else to add to this thread or should we conclude it now?
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Does the High Priest want to close the church?Originally posted by David Orsam View PostI'm wondering what you think you know about my expectations.
But if something is getting through then I'll take that.
Do you have anything else to add to this thread or should we conclude it now?
If you are finished with it, you do not have to participate in it.
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I have no idea if the High Priest, whoever that is, wants to close the church.Originally posted by Pierre View PostDoes the High Priest want to close the church?
If you are finished with it, you do not have to participate in it.
I was asking you if you have anything else to add to this thread.
If not, what else is there to say about the pawn tickets?
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