Craig
The interesting thing for me with Pierre's post is exactly what he means by insignificant?
Does he consider the descriptions to be inaccurate, of low reliability or does he not believe the witnesses are talking about the victim and the killer.
Those are two very different interpretations.
Can I suggest we wait and see if Pierre clarifies his position when next he logs on. Am interested to see which view, if either, he is taking.
regards
Steve
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This is indeed an excellent dissertion. I've always thought the PC Smith sighting deserves more prominence. However, how does Schwart's BS man, first seen by him, strolling tipsily up Berner St, fit in? Could Schwart's timing be completely off and the whole incident (involving a completely different man and woman) have occured up to an hour before he said it did?
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Hi John
Yes - that's true.
However when we read the witness statements the client and victim appeared "connected" - in close contact. It seemed they had agreed on the transaction.
These two sightings were also very close to body being discovered
All the best
Craig
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[QUOTE=Craig H;380461]Originally posted by Pierre View Post
Hi Pierre,
From a historical source perspective, what would a witness statement need to cover for it to be credible ?
Both Smith and Lawende saw someone with the victims 15 - 30 minutes before their bodies were discovered, and gave a similar description.
All the best
Craig
Alot can happen in 15-30 minutes though. A prostitute could easily pick up another client in 15-30 minutes.
Cheers John
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[QUOTE=Pierre;380445]Originally posted by Craig H View Post
Hi Craig,
The statements of Smith and Lawende are not significant if you ask me.
Kind regards, Pierre
From a historical source perspective, what would a witness statement need to cover for it to be credible ?
Both Smith and Lawende saw someone with the victims 15 - 30 minutes before their bodies were discovered, and gave a similar description.
All the best
Craig
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Originally posted by John G View PostHi Steve,
There are numerous other reasons which cast doubt on Schwartz's evidence. As I replied to Craig, I will post a more detailed analysis at a later time.
Steve
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Originally posted by Elamarna View PostJohn
I see from Gavin’s work, that we still have an issue, if that’s the right word, with how long the beat would take, obviously that is something we cannot be sure about and have to live with 25-30mins.
Time keeping again I see, but taken as a whole it does suggest that it may have been nearer to 12.45 than Smith suggested, but still does not rule out 12.40.
Of course it raises the issue of Schwartz, and gives a very brief window for what he claimed to see, but actually that is all it needs. So case on Schwartz still unresolved using that data.
Steve
There are numerous other reasons which cast doubt on Schwartz's evidence. As I replied to Craig, I will post a more detailed analysis at a later time.
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Originally posted by Pierre View PostHi Steve,
I just want to make a small comment generally for you discussion here. What you are discussing is taking place before the murders.
We often find this sort of thinking in the discussion about witnesses or even in the discussion about Lechmere. You can follow a small group of people or some individuals to a certain point in time, preferably as close to the postulated TOD as possible. But after that point, which always is hypothetical, there is just a lack of sources.
It strikes me that I have been thinking in an opposite way all along. I have not been thinking pre but post. At least 80 percent of the time.
Now, I do not say that thinking pre murder(s) is wrong. Far from it. I am just saying that there are two aspects of thinking here.
Regards, Pierre
Pierre
I have no issues with post at all, 3 times in 24 hours must be a record!
However seriously, I feel both types of thinking are required if one is to attempt to get as fuller view of events as possible.
Steve
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Originally posted by John G View PostHi Steve,
You might find Gavin Bromley's excellent dissertation on PC Smith's beat of interest. His extremely detailed analysis, considering various scenarios, also supports a later sighting time. See:http://www.casebook.org/dissertation...l?printer=true
I see from Gavin’s work, that we still have an issue, if that’s the right word, with how long the beat would take, obviously that is something we cannot be sure about and have to live with 25-30mins.
Time keeping again I see, but taken as a whole it does suggest that it may have been nearer to 12.45 than Smith suggested, but still does not rule out 12.40.
Of course it raises the issue of Schwartz, and gives a very brief window for what he claimed to see, but actually that is all it needs. So case on Schwartz still unresolved using that data.
Steve
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[QUOTE=Pierre;380445]Originally posted by Craig H View Post
Hi Craig,
The statements of Smith and Lawende are not significant if you ask me.
Kind regards, Pierre
Can we safely assume from that, you do not believe either man saw the actual killer?
Steve
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[QUOTE=Craig H;380439]Hi Pierre
Thanks for your post and ideas. Much appreciated.
There seems agreement that the PC William Smith and Joseph Lawende were the most credible witnesses of seeing the Ripper just prior to the murders; and provide a similar description of :- 28 - 30 year old
- 5 ft 7 in
- Moustache
The statements of Smith and Lawende are not significant if you ask me.
Kind regards, Pierre
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Originally posted by John G View PostHi Steve,
You might find Gavin Bromley's excellent dissertation on PC Smith's beat of interest. His extremely detailed analysis, considering various scenarios, also supports a later sighting time. See:http://www.casebook.org/dissertation...l?printer=true
have read Gavin's views on mitre square but not this oneLast edited by Elamarna; 05-11-2016, 02:08 PM.
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Hi Pierre
Thanks for your post and ideas. Much appreciated.
There seems agreement that the PC William Smith and Joseph Lawende were the most credible witnesses of seeing the Ripper just prior to the murders; and provide a similar description of :- 28 - 30 year old
- 5 ft 7 in
- Moustache
Does your person match that criteria ?
All the best
Craig
[QUOTE=Pierre;380138]Originally posted by Craig H View Post
Hi Craig,
I appreciate that but the problem is that "facts" are social constructions. When it comes to history, facts are established using source criticism. And a lot of people are not historians here, so they will have a lot of non-historical ideas about what a "fact" should be. Just throwing some light on this problem.
There is an interesting question here: Why is this the "consistent picture", given the time of the sightings (night time/early morning) and the place (streets in Whitechapel)? If we make an ideal type of what you call "the consistent picture" we can make a statistical hypothesis that this type of man was common at night in Whitechapel. What does this imply?
A well established fact. Was he afraid of being recognized by people who knew him? Did he wait for the victims to become more drunk so he could kill them easier? Or was it just because there were less people out?
Maybe he did not cut out of comfort. Maybe he did it out of hatred and for destruction.
Perhaps he did.
At least the day after Warren resigned on paper.
But placing body parts in the new Scotland Yard building.
Yes. What fools the police are, indeed.
Yes. An important clue.
I don´t.
I don´t like speculation.
Interesting post, Craig.
Kind regards, Pierre
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Originally posted by Craig H View PostHi John
Thanks for posting this.
A thorough analysis. Also supports view that PC Smith's observation may have been closer to 12.45 which strengthens the credibility.
All the best
Craig
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